Jumpy-Skunk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.4%

Resolved

341

Trades

680

lifetime

Volume

$8.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-26 01:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

81% 82% +$2

Crypto

14% 76% +$0

Politics

4% 81% +$0

Sports

1% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on May 14?	4	$92	46	46	+0	No	+$0	05-14 15:36
will paul hounkp be the next president of benin	3	$81	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-17 22:07
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C or higher on May 14?	3	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-14 15:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 10?	7	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	05-09 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 22°C or below on May 4?	3	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	05-03 21:15
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 80 81f	1	$63	64	0	+64	No	+$0	04-02 04:46
xrp above 1pt4 on april 4	1	$61	62	0	+62	No	+$0	04-04 02:23
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-06 05:52
Will Hugo Pierre win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-07 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 15?	5	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-15 06:24
highest temperature in madrid on march 28 2026 13corbelow	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	03-28 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 16?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-16 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or below on May 7?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-06 19:13
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-05 07:45
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 10?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-10 16:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	3	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	05-06 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 15?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-15 03:24
Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-16 23:01
highest temperature in hong kong on april 5 2026 23c	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	04-05 08:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 17?	3	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 00:33
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on May 9?	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	05-09 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 17?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-17 10:01
highest temperature in lucknow on march 29 2026 40c	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	03-29 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on May 6?	3	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-05 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on May 5?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-05 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 27°C or below on May 5?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-04 15:31
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 13?	5	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:44
will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 24	4	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-24 08:05
highest temperature in warsaw on april 11 2026 7corbelow	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	04-11 04:30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 53°F or below on May 8?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-07 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 01:24:02	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9f3e2b…
10-26 01:23:09	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x844670…
10-26 01:22:20	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc9b386…
10-26 01:21:30	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xca078f…
10-19 01:28:08	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54e00d…
10-09 17:59:40	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1cf89f…
10-09 17:58:46	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xab9ee4…
10-09 17:57:52	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1fc693…
10-06 11:20:04	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8d0cf7…
09-11 14:56:40	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc212ac…
09-11 14:55:25	Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x33b9cc…
09-11 14:54:09	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc1991f…
09-06 04:12:40	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0aadab…
08-28 16:46:46	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x16584b…
08-23 18:29:28	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf5971d…
08-11 19:28:40	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc82aed…
08-02 15:26:03	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb6cf7c…
07-31 08:02:32	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6794f8…
07-20 09:14:58	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc9599f…
07-17 15:35:27	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc38558…
07-13 01:53:34	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$6	0x1003d2…
07-13 01:52:38	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf2b8b4…
07-10 15:18:16	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xeef8b6…
07-04 18:12:35	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a0c55…
06-30 10:10:13	Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6b47ef…
06-29 03:29:19	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa7c301…
06-27 20:18:40	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x5be4a1…
06-19 20:00:20	Will McCartney Kessler be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3817f9…
05-18 02:39:45	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x7287bd…
05-17 17:03:51	Will David Puig win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x07bd2d…
05-17 16:47:17	Will "Is God Is" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfed759…
05-17 13:58:54	Will Brian Harman win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7b9578…
05-17 12:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on May 18?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x45248f…
05-17 10:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 17?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4aa1f2…
05-17 10:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9a0d63…
05-17 10:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5d7227…
05-17 10:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 17?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x3011ea…
05-17 09:43:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x64ad20…
05-17 09:28:56	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb59e55…
05-17 06:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe4e2fa…
05-17 06:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xae3111…
05-17 04:05:36	Will David Puig win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8d190…
05-17 03:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 17?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2506a7…
05-17 00:33:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb68c25…
05-16 23:01:27	Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xb74ce1…
05-16 22:57:48	Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x67ec2d…
05-16 22:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4326b4…
05-16 22:24:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa036a5…
05-16 22:15:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x14a4cb…
05-16 18:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 17?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x94a83b…
05-16 18:36:40	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x687dbb…
05-16 17:05:31	Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdba4ca…
05-16 16:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x65587f…
05-16 15:24:38	Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd38520…
05-16 15:05:16	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xea9072…
05-16 13:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 17?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3ef7dc…
05-16 12:24:44	Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6ff8af…
05-16 11:47:54	Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x894dae…
05-16 11:05:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa36c46…
05-16 10:19:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x433152…
05-16 04:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 16?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x2873aa…
05-16 03:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C or below on May 16?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe2b8b5…
05-16 02:10:55	Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 16?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x54872f…
05-15 20:49:06	Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 16?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x21b0e0…
05-15 20:00:23	Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x178886…
05-15 14:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 16?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x81d44f…
05-15 11:44:37	Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcb349c…
05-15 11:39:11	Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x306e86…
05-15 10:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8d2e05…
05-15 10:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 15?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x580027…
05-15 10:13:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0bf2f8…
05-15 10:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C or below on May 15?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa79b6d…
05-15 10:10:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x47f944…
05-15 08:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C or below on May 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fff25…
05-15 06:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 15?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xef09f3…
05-15 06:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc8e2eb…
05-15 05:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 15?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4f600c…
05-15 04:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 15?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x44828c…
05-15 04:38:47	Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x349f43…
05-15 03:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc58866…
05-15 03:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 15?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x00a280…
05-14 23:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4ecc02…
05-14 22:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 15?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb010f1…
05-14 20:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9df3f8…
05-14 19:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 15?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x07d3bd…
05-14 19:04:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13a3e6…
05-14 17:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on May 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x06e6aa…
05-14 17:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on May 14?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa0ca75…
05-14 16:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on May 14?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x06d70d…
05-14 16:08:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x954443…
05-14 15:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C or below on May 15?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xda0ebd…
05-14 15:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 15?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xee8fda…
05-14 15:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on May 14?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x03ed48…
05-14 15:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C or higher on May 14?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x4e2e7f…
05-14 09:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd985fa…
05-14 07:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa48a9a…
05-14 06:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 15?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4e254e…
05-14 02:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1e804f…
05-14 00:55:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x0cc11c…
05-14 00:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xe62f53…