Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on May 14?
open
Total volume
$296
$1,227 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$5,543
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 10:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $98 | $98 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $0 | $173 | $173 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $45 | $45 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 13 | $0 | $155 | $155 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $11 | $11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $68 | $68 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +68 | $68 | $68 | 3 | 05-13 22:32 |
| Fair-Conditioner 0x74f5…7d3a | No | +39 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-14 06:53 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 21:57 |
| Anguished-Replacement 0x6c3a…557c | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-13 21:51 |
| Jumpy-Skunk 0x1104…16cd | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-13 09:29 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 05-13 04:58 |
| Zany-Parliament 0xfcb3…e377 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-13 23:39 |
| Confused-Spread 0x3aae…263f | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 02:40 |
| Partial-Position 0xa51a…c566 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 22:06 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 22:31 |
| Cold-Woman 0x90f3…60b6 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 09:29 |
| Delirious-North 0xf004…8350 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 09:09 |
| Definite-Motor 0xd78c…cdb0 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 05:47 |
| Aggressive-Spectacles 0xafa5…ab3a | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 00:45 |
| Grubby-Meteor 0xbd63…a019 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 23:14 |
| Stormy-Reserve 0x5def…1283 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 04:20 |
| Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 10:50 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 09:16 |
| Zesty-Plot 0x611f…d4d0 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:10 |
| Strict-Belligerency 0x6722…0cb1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 10:50:12 | Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbcac73… |
| 05-14 06:53:59 | Fair-Conditioner 0x74f5…7d3a | No | BUY | 39 | 100¢ | $39 | 0x53816a… |
| 05-14 05:56:23 | Impressive-Pancake 0xaf80…7641 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xb09f7c… |
| 05-14 02:40:33 | Confused-Spread 0x3aae…263f | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x653e53… |
| 05-14 02:10:32 | Strict-Belligerency 0x6722…0cb1 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc6543f… |
| 05-14 02:10:01 | Zesty-Plot 0x611f…d4d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x883a6b… |
| 05-14 00:45:14 | Aggressive-Spectacles 0xafa5…ab3a | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x139f29… |
| 05-13 23:39:27 | Zany-Parliament 0xfcb3…e377 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xe0eaeb… |
| 05-13 23:24:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x94eb6d… |
| 05-13 23:24:02 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12b7a3… |
| 05-13 23:24:02 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0f17ed… |
| 05-13 23:24:02 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6eaeb3… |
| 05-13 23:24:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf900d9… |
| 05-13 23:14:42 | Grubby-Meteor 0xbd63…a019 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa277ba… |
| 05-13 22:32:42 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x9bbabe… |
| 05-13 22:06:53 | Partial-Position 0xa51a…c566 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x63a4f6… |
| 05-13 21:57:00 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5158de… |
| 05-13 21:57:00 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xafa598… |
| 05-13 21:57:00 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x0c199e… |
| 05-13 21:57:00 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaaef2a… |
| 05-13 21:57:00 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11560e… |
| 05-13 21:57:00 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac0828… |
| 05-13 21:57:00 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe9dd1a… |
| 05-13 21:57:00 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x94a886… |
| 05-13 21:51:46 | Anguished-Replacement 0x6c3a…557c | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x8bc962… |
| 05-13 21:27:01 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x27543c… |
| 05-13 21:27:01 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf8e72a… |
| 05-13 21:27:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x83425e… |
| 05-13 21:27:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1c54be… |
| 05-13 21:27:01 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x932b43… |
| 05-13 21:27:01 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb1548… |
| 05-13 21:27:01 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x149504… |
| 05-13 21:27:01 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5a742… |
| 05-13 21:27:01 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac692d… |
| 05-13 21:24:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd4b1df… |
| 05-13 21:24:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa10e7… |
| 05-13 21:23:41 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x61c57d… |
| 05-13 21:18:33 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xdeef32… |
| 05-13 20:18:47 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x58adc4… |
| 05-13 20:18:47 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x815697… |
| 05-13 09:29:38 | Cold-Woman 0x90f3…60b6 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa44939… |
| 05-13 09:29:24 | Jumpy-Skunk 0x1104…16cd | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xf392ff… |
| 05-13 09:16:34 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb05c13… |
| 05-13 09:09:55 | Delirious-North 0xf004…8350 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xca8c16… |
| 05-13 09:06:30 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x66b571… |
| 05-13 06:09:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb17d5c… |
| 05-13 06:09:17 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b1fd2… |
| 05-13 05:47:54 | Definite-Motor 0xd78c…cdb0 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x6cafc4… |
| 05-13 04:58:31 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x7cd0af… |
| 05-13 04:58:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x588e1e… |
| 05-13 01:37:46 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6c42c5… |
| 05-13 01:03:37 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e1ebb… |
| 05-12 22:31:15 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf12597… |
| 05-12 04:20:27 | Stormy-Reserve 0x5def…1283 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa92029… |