Impressive-Pancake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

441

Trades

864

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-19 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

74% 80% +$2

Crypto

19% 80% +$1

Politics

4% 50% $0

Sports

1% 67% +$0

Tech

1% 67% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	3	$94	47	47	+0	No	$0	10-12 04:40
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 27?	5	$94	47	47	+0	No	+$0	05-27 10:47
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 25-31?	7	$77	39	39	+0	No	+$0	05-31 07:32
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 90 and 95?	6	$77	39	39	+0	No	$0	05-21 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 73°F or below on July 30?	5	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-30 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 23?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-23 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 29?	3	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-29 05:32
will bitcoin reach 67k on july 10	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-10 21:46
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-20 01:47
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 19?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-19 13:55
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 29?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-29 12:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 28?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-27 18:03
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-30 09:31
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 21	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-21 13:43
Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-30 18:41
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on July 19?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-20 00:27
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-20 20:13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 29?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-29 12:53
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C or below on July 25?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-25 04:55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 24?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-24 04:37
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	6	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-20 23:54
will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 18	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-18 23:18
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 27?	6	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-26 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 10?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-10 14:24
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	02-11 04:53
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be less than 0.7%?	8	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-28 23:55
ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	07-25 01:55
ethereum above 2000 on july 25 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-24 18:13
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$49	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-31 23:59
ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	3	$49	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 16:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 18:53:00	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x962713…
10-18 18:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 19?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xfaff83…
10-16 10:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb24972…
10-13 01:32:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1b0564…
10-12 12:25:29	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 12?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd672b1…
10-12 08:24:43	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 12?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xda3112…
10-12 04:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x52858f…
10-11 20:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4110c9…
10-11 19:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xddc20a…
10-10 07:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on October 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x402fe4…
10-10 01:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe520b7…
10-05 09:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5c93a2…
10-02 01:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on October 3?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x97e9ec…
10-01 22:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 2?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x833a8f…
10-01 06:24:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xedbf22…
09-28 05:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 28?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd1f602…
09-27 19:11:39	bitcoin above 92k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe7d0a5…
09-23 07:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 24?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x90f930…
09-23 05:31:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x310c86…
09-23 01:53:08	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe48546…
09-22 23:06:17	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc90537…
09-22 00:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 22?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x31e3a3…
09-18 16:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 19?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x694923…
09-18 01:38:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc2cb24…
09-17 11:49:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4e3f30…
09-13 03:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 102°F or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x79f506…
09-11 03:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c32da…
09-10 20:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6b2198…
09-07 14:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x861d0b…
09-06 12:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6cd7f3…
09-06 05:14:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xac3b64…
09-06 00:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x59c8fa…
09-05 05:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbcd3b6…
09-05 04:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc3dc22…
09-04 21:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on September 5?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x562e3d…
09-04 19:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x658e17…
09-04 11:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3a59d6…
09-04 03:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x026080…
09-03 16:50:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xce87f7…
09-03 09:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb98abb…
09-03 02:18:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf6959e…
09-02 21:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6f60da…
09-02 12:23:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x15c742…
09-02 06:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b53ff…
09-01 21:35:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 2?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xeb3193…
09-01 06:09:45	bitcoin above 74k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x753639…
09-01 03:46:49	bitcoin above 84k on september 1 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x77794d…
08-31 03:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1cf780…
08-31 01:44:04	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 in August?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x211dfa…
08-30 16:49:45	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfe8aaf…
08-30 15:25:01	bitcoin above 78k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x02e538…
08-30 01:36:00	will bitcoin dip to 76k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x58679a…
08-29 20:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa74907…
08-29 08:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 29?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xee5c4f…
08-29 07:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfc86f6…
08-28 21:25:31	Will "Hazel Eyes" - Sam Smith first week album sales be between 25k and 30k?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa7878d…
08-27 12:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 28?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4d26ee…
08-27 04:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xcfbca3…
08-26 21:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa4827…
08-26 19:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x69da18…
08-26 16:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1832e1…
08-25 13:46:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x8314d8…
08-25 11:55:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe19e93…
08-25 02:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe2d986…
08-24 20:47:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x818bd2…
08-24 16:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe8dd71…
08-24 09:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5f54b8…
08-24 02:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbb52cf…
08-23 21:54:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5cf9e0…
08-14 15:09:15	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 14?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0556c6…
08-14 09:42:18	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb87b65…
08-13 22:19:51	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0e0472…
08-13 16:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4a97c2…
08-13 08:27:04	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3e8e9e…
08-13 05:14:25	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf293a8…
08-12 21:38:03	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9463f1…
08-12 20:57:58	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x405328…
08-12 02:15:24	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0xe7be40…
08-11 23:13:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd501dd…
08-11 14:54:10	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc7facb…
08-11 14:10:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7b6d76…
08-10 21:58:24	will ethereum reach 1950 on august 10	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xd601b7…
08-10 19:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 108°F or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x95d5de…
08-10 15:11:40	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xea3e0b…
08-10 11:56:42	will super troopers 3 score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260804175312532	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8e1200…
08-09 13:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6e8307…
08-09 06:31:13	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6bc120…
08-09 04:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6895c9…
08-09 02:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc2cfc8…
08-08 17:27:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf88283…
08-08 03:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x645397…
08-08 02:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x52333a…
08-08 01:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x213d11…
08-07 21:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x155e22…
08-07 13:07:36	will wti dip to 55 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7fc69c…
08-07 09:15:01	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe76384…
08-06 09:44:32	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd263f8…
08-06 03:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 6?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9c0c91…
08-05 22:43:42	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0xcd8266…
08-05 19:19:56	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4f6084…