Grubby-Meteor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.1%

Resolved

345

Trades

701

lifetime

Volume

$8.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-22 18:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

81% 85% +$3

Crypto

11% 84% +$0

Politics

5% 80% +$0

Sports

2% 54% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on May 7?	3	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	05-07 04:12
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	04-30 14:35
highest temperature in toronto on april 11 2026 16corhigher	2	$72	73	0	+73	No	+$0	04-11 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or below on May 6?	4	$70	35	35	-0	No	+$0	05-06 03:44
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	3	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	05-09 01:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	3	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	05-14 02:51
highest temperature in madrid on april 2 2026 23c	1	$63	64	0	+64	No	+$0	04-02 02:17
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	5	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-17 01:40
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on May 5?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-05 05:42
Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	6	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-04 18:38
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 14?	6	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-14 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 11?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-10 23:59
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 16?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-16 02:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 10?	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-09 23:40
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C or higher on May 5?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-05 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 16?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-15 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 16?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-16 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on May 9?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-08 22:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 17?	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	05-16 22:55
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	04-07 02:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-16 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 6?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-06 08:17
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 17?	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-17 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on May 11?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-10 13:22
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-05 18:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 29	1	$51	52	0	+52	No	+$0	03-29 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on May 7?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-07 20:24
highest temperature in madrid on april 1 2026 24corhigher	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-01 10:39
Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	4	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-15 13:05
highest temperature in chengdu on april 6 2026 26corhigher	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	04-06 03:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 18:15:54	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xad4bee…
10-22 18:15:02	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9444ba…
10-22 18:14:11	Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa18bcc…
10-22 18:13:15	Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3f9933…
10-22 14:24:54	Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb046df…
10-12 00:16:17	Will Austin FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x691b72…
10-12 00:15:24	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xdc650f…
10-12 00:14:33	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x223b18…
10-12 00:13:44	Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe54809…
10-10 14:37:21	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7f2c3c…
09-21 17:00:41	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x037c0e…
09-19 23:23:45	Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x444e57…
09-02 06:46:39	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4825c5…
08-30 11:30:39	Will Austin FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xce14ce…
08-26 00:34:27	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd4c7e4…
08-07 12:34:10	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1d8cd…
08-06 04:07:15	Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xffdbdd…
07-24 21:46:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd84e64…
07-24 17:04:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xee81d6…
07-24 17:03:45	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb01fa9…
07-24 17:02:51	Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x895d64…
07-21 11:23:33	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x513e04…
07-16 15:41:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77388a…
07-14 08:48:22	Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x2ea420…
07-07 19:24:14	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdebc54…
07-05 22:41:01	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x217d88…
06-27 04:39:08	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdf63a7…
06-27 04:38:13	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1ef6e2…
06-27 04:37:17	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x718b32…
06-24 18:29:19	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6b79fd…
06-17 17:53:01	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56a63a…
06-06 20:50:34	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5febc8…
05-17 23:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb942b1…
05-17 16:59:25	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x180924…
05-17 16:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 18?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x79ed33…
05-17 16:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 18?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5056fd…
05-17 15:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 18?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xceb316…
05-17 14:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on May 17?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x5c85b1…
05-17 14:52:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 17?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x4cbd15…
05-17 13:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 18?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4bb0db…
05-17 12:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 18?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x50280b…
05-17 08:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on May 17?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7f03fb…
05-17 06:08:25	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb9707a…
05-17 05:33:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf959f6…
05-17 03:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 17?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x92b341…
05-17 02:54:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9d098d…
05-17 02:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 17?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1f7b62…
05-17 01:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1135e9…
05-17 01:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb10432…
05-17 01:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf0a0ef…
05-17 01:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x241f2f…
05-17 01:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 17?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5fbb35…
05-16 22:55:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xa26690…
05-16 22:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 17?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa0814f…
05-16 21:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 17?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5b4e8c…
05-16 21:03:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8a1d8b…
05-16 20:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 17?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x481fe6…
05-16 20:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 17?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9bb4d5…
05-16 19:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x55f37f…
05-16 19:19:06	Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa2ce3d…
05-16 19:18:42	Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbaff7d…
05-16 18:59:55	Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x59a7de…
05-16 18:56:07	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xde1cc5…
05-16 18:54:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x0fdb72…
05-16 17:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb50b3f…
05-16 17:26:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaf5d27…
05-16 14:52:44	Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc7f1ac…
05-16 14:52:44	Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x65fd6c…
05-16 14:15:13	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x96dcd3…
05-16 12:53:12	Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0ac637…
05-16 09:49:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4d4e6f…
05-16 09:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 16?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x27668d…
05-16 09:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb8a9d9…
05-16 09:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 16?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x26eab7…
05-16 06:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79f204…
05-16 03:59:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd6a283…
05-16 03:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 16?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9a2c3d…
05-16 02:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 16?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xabbde0…
05-16 02:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 16?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x256a3d…
05-15 23:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on May 16?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x201441…
05-15 23:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on May 16?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd8f736…
05-15 21:41:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x93c057…
05-15 20:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on May 16?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x078be5…
05-15 18:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 16?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8c866c…
05-15 17:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 16?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x311add…
05-15 17:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 16?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5843f8…
05-15 16:49:49	Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2409c4…
05-15 16:09:18	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x99a49c…
05-15 16:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C or higher on May 15?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb69a04…
05-15 14:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 15?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9f0d12…
05-15 13:05:37	Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x36eae6…
05-15 12:44:35	Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdbff33…
05-15 12:12:44	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 15?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe781de…
05-15 12:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 15?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x88ccae…
05-15 12:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 16?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x734274…
05-15 11:44:37	Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xcb349c…
05-15 11:36:15	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x952bb3…
05-15 11:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf28579…
05-15 08:38:39	Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1eae25…
05-15 07:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C or higher on May 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x364cfe…