Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C or higher on May 15?
open
Total volume
$676
$348 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$3,293
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 14:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | $30 | $28 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $3 | $490 | $487 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 12 | $0 | $265 | $264 |
| Below median | 12 | $1 | $255 | $254 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next-Chin 0xcbc1…99e6 | No | +120 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 05-15 02:48 |
| Dual-Transition 0x5f1d…c41d | No | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 21:23 |
| Horrible-Displacement 0xcddb…befa | Yes | +83 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 06:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9726…1b0d | No | +82 | $81 | $81 | 2 | 05-14 20:03 |
| Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | +53 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 11:44 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-15 04:44 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | Yes | +32 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 01:43 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 11:30 |
| Safe-Cut 0xc4bf…7b36 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-15 07:49 |
| Experienced-Former 0xd871…a133 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-15 03:20 |
| Grubby-Meteor 0xbd63…a019 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-15 07:49 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 06:54 |
| Lean-Yoke 0x272e…6e99 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 05:19 |
| Leading-Porter 0x2032…e43e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 05:46 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 19:34 |
| Formal-Sunrise 0x2d62…0a41 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 05:39 |
| Worldly-Finisher 0x89f6…9914 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 01:30 |
| Squiggly-Daylight 0x5925…6cc4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 23:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 14:14:37 | Repentant-Month 0x5d1f…e6d2 | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xa2527f… |
| 05-15 13:19:44 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x634cf1… |
| 05-15 11:01:27 | Young-Offset 0x4475…b483 | No | SELL | 73 | 100¢ | $72 | 0x6d4e9e… |
| 05-15 09:19:34 | Responsible-Newsletter 0x3e56…5510 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xde019a… |
| 05-15 08:44:55 | Hard-To-Find-Dig 0xb928…2d13 | No | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xc8ffe6… |
| 05-15 07:54:43 | Repentant-Month 0x5d1f…e6d2 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x934366… |
| 05-15 07:51:43 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8ecdd… |
| 05-15 07:49:48 | Grubby-Meteor 0xbd63…a019 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x364cfe… |
| 05-15 07:49:41 | Safe-Cut 0xc4bf…7b36 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x1220fb… |
| 05-15 07:49:32 | Hard-To-Find-Dig 0xb928…2d13 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x668942… |
| 05-15 07:24:11 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcee2fa… |
| 05-15 07:24:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf06606… |
| 05-15 07:24:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd94d5b… |
| 05-15 06:34:24 | Horrible-Displacement 0xcddb…befa | Yes | BUY | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0a7cc9… |
| 05-15 05:39:27 | Formal-Sunrise 0x2d62…0a41 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xc3923e… |
| 05-15 05:38:45 | Cheap-Blank 0x9977…7883 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc52b35… |
| 05-15 04:44:23 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7473d6… |
| 05-15 04:08:50 | Blank-Notebook 0x99bf…9ba8 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8474c2… |
| 05-15 04:08:27 | Young-Offset 0x4475…b483 | No | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0xe275d4… |
| 05-15 03:58:21 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdf126c… |
| 05-15 03:53:36 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf47fa5… |
| 05-15 03:20:39 | Experienced-Former 0xd871…a133 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x87ef0c… |
| 05-15 02:48:20 | Next-Chin 0xcbc1…99e6 | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x638506… |
| 05-15 01:43:17 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | Yes | BUY | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1bb064… |
| 05-15 01:30:25 | Worldly-Finisher 0x89f6…9914 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x97c74f… |
| 05-14 23:40:30 | Squiggly-Daylight 0x5925…6cc4 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdced8d… |
| 05-14 22:44:19 | Aggravating-Id 0x53fa…777c | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x99d0e4… |
| 05-14 22:44:17 | Fixed-Holiday 0x3a56…ba60 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xae3ce6… |
| 05-14 21:23:18 | Dual-Transition 0x5f1d…c41d | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0xa95d84… |
| 05-14 20:03:21 | (anonymous) 0x9726…1b0d | No | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x2088f5… |
| 05-14 20:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x9726…1b0d | No | BUY | 55 | 98¢ | $54 | 0x09cf0d… |
| 05-14 19:34:51 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x566f2f… |
| 05-14 11:44:01 | Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x547b78… |
| 05-14 11:30:29 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xb4b8a7… |
| 05-13 06:54:07 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x021f93… |
| 05-13 05:46:16 | Leading-Porter 0x2032…e43e | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x281e78… |
| 05-13 05:19:09 | Lean-Yoke 0x272e…6e99 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x3d2b9b… |