Responsible-Newsletter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

Trades

230

lifetime

Volume

$3.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 08-10 14:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

46% — —

Crypto

41% 50% $-0

Politics

7% — —

Sports

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on july 25 2026	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	07-25 08:43
will lee cronins the mummy score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	3	$69	34	34	+0	open	—	04-19 18:31
will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	2	$67	33	33	+0	open	—	07-30 09:11
xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	2	$65	32	32	+0	open	—	07-23 04:04
bitcoin above 70k on july 24 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	07-23 18:12
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	06-26 16:04
ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	07-23 04:19
bitcoin above 62k on july 27 2026	2	$57	28	28	+0	open	—	07-27 13:52
sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	4	$57	28	28	+0	open	—	07-30 17:52
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$56	56	0	+56	open	—	02-15 04:33
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	07-30 22:37
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	07-24 03:34
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	08-01 01:08
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on april 19	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 19:44
nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	07-21 02:11
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 17:33
Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 16:44
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 21, 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 14:55
highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 10c	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-21 13:18
Will Solana dip to $65 on May 2?	8	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	05-02 14:42
highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 88forhigher	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-23 18:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-15 09:18
highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 14c	3	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-18 17:40
andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	07-30 12:34
highest temperature in moscow on april 21 2026 4c	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-21 08:37
will open reach 6 00 by april 13 2026	2	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	04-17 19:57
will king felipe vi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357115	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	07-19 20:49
solana above 100 on april 23	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-23 18:23
highest temperature in jakarta on april 17 2026 34c	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-17 17:35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 25?	3	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-24 15:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:11:09	ethereum above 1800 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x01c695…
08-09 02:17:34	will ethereum dip to 1600 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1db955…
08-08 01:16:00	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 7	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5b96ea…
08-07 17:09:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb91921…
08-06 07:33:18	bitcoin above 62k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa65c04…
08-05 23:53:57	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbac42f…
08-05 11:12:45	ethereum above 2000 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x20da55…
08-01 01:08:17	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf164e8…
07-31 11:40:12	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf2ce49…
07-31 04:00:33	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6bbeb7…
07-31 01:16:14	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03ec31…
07-30 22:37:23	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd4f699…
07-30 20:38:39	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x850642…
07-30 17:52:48	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9738bd…
07-30 17:00:05	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x874477…
07-30 12:39:42	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x667a14…
07-30 12:34:18	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3e942b…
07-30 12:34:14	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2cd1c1…
07-30 11:14:44	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x57c094…
07-30 09:11:15	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xb4816e…
07-30 08:43:32	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6608fd…
07-30 01:30:44	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 29	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x150d84…
07-30 00:21:29	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 29	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb68f15…
07-29 18:29:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5bf2a6…
07-29 17:18:21	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0d828e…
07-27 22:33:18	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 27	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfddf08…
07-27 22:26:13	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 27	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdf3513…
07-27 13:52:57	bitcoin above 62k on july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x12742f…
07-27 13:13:57	bitcoin above 62k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6ac4f8…
07-27 08:11:15	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0d85c0…
07-27 00:08:57	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8ad342…
07-26 22:42:25	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xecce7f…
07-26 16:51:07	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0113ae…
07-26 05:01:18	xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xca39d7…
07-25 21:20:06	xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa735ca…
07-25 08:45:34	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb42719…
07-25 08:43:09	bitcoin above 62k on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xdd8006…
07-25 08:17:43	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x908f55…
07-25 07:22:40	bitcoin above 62k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xbe631e…
07-25 03:13:28	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x43a6ba…
07-24 21:07:58	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb3fac2…
07-24 03:34:30	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xebd88f…
07-23 21:48:58	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3b3982…
07-23 18:12:48	bitcoin above 70k on july 24 2026	No	SELL	31	100¢	$30	0xd3737b…
07-23 16:17:22	bitcoin above 70k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xa543f3…
07-23 04:19:22	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x5354d5…
07-23 04:04:36	xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xc78b4b…
07-23 02:02:54	xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe6164d…
07-22 20:33:31	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x23a461…
07-21 02:11:24	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdb6f84…
07-20 17:40:52	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb6a258…
07-20 16:48:25	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb6a64e…
07-20 16:48:22	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbcc481…
07-20 00:41:58	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9bb0cc…
07-19 20:49:00	will king felipe vi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357115	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x4472bf…
07-19 19:48:03	will king felipe vi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357115	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfe13c8…
07-19 18:17:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0eee5c…
07-19 15:32:04	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3ae7e8…
07-19 14:27:03	ethereum above 2200 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5772d7…
07-19 06:28:03	ethereum above 2200 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2929b6…
07-10 19:30:59	bitcoin above 68k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x85356f…
06-26 16:04:29	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc485c1…
06-26 14:57:10	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x36ff64…
06-03 13:56:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1e8fe9…
06-01 16:44:41	Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcabca3…
06-01 14:55:13	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 21, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x55e625…
06-01 09:32:42	Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x12c446…
06-01 03:38:51	Will Dominic Calvert-Lewin be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x02cd10…
06-01 03:24:46	Will Dominic Calvert-Lewin be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbef851…
06-01 01:37:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7c2bbf…
05-31 23:34:01	Will Dominic Calvert-Lewin be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x777ec2…
05-30 22:58:57	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xe5e53e…
05-30 16:21:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e091a…
05-28 19:07:32	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 29?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x04097f…
05-28 17:55:14	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x689d8a…
05-28 10:50:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x635fa9…
05-28 04:46:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x359be7…
05-27 12:21:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf6825e…
05-26 18:58:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x55ccbc…
05-25 19:20:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc8f21c…
05-25 16:35:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7b9538…
05-25 04:53:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe3d9f7…
05-24 22:13:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x211a41…
05-21 11:59:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0x7a0af3…
05-21 09:38:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xd25f85…
05-19 04:11:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8dab9c…
05-17 10:28:49	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x90095a…
05-17 07:21:50	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9d67ee…
05-16 19:56:40	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3fd9a1…
05-16 18:16:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x082efa…
05-16 18:11:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1f60bc…
05-16 05:40:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5a5228…
05-16 01:20:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13c422…
05-15 09:18:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xff8d40…
05-14 20:46:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x659c69…
05-11 21:54:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0ba5f8…
05-11 21:52:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x925520…
05-11 15:07:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89b240…
05-11 06:20:08	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9f1f08…
05-11 02:51:33	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x914ba3…