Repentant-Month — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

447

Trades

855

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-19 20:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

75% 79% +$2

Crypto

20% 85% +$1

Politics

3% 67% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 25?	5	$110	55	55	+0	No	$0	07-25 09:51
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	4	$85	43	43	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 18:45
will xauusd reach 4400 by july 27 2026	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-30 12:55
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 24?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-24 02:21
ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-24 02:38
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 22?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-21 23:57
xrp above 1pt2 on july 29 2026	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-29 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on July 28?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-27 03:55
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on July 23?	4	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-23 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or below on May 28?	8	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	05-28 03:14
ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-23 02:06
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-19 03:41
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-31 01:12
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-28 08:21
will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-19 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 25?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-25 09:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 13?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	10-12 15:37
will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-30 12:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-20 06:23
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 15?	6	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-15 03:00
bitcoin above 60k on july 29 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 14:46
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873 821	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	07-19 23:46
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 10?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-10 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-21 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 26?	3	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-25 22:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 19?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-19 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on July 28?	7	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-27 22:43
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on July 26?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-25 17:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 21?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-20 04:01
ethereum above 1600 on july 28 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	Yes	$0	07-27 03:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 20:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 20?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4e8389…
10-18 20:09:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xce6f86…
10-16 08:12:01	Will the price of Solana be above $95 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11e26d…
10-13 05:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xebcf81…
10-13 05:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbbcb47…
10-13 02:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd3ef13…
10-12 15:37:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0x1bfe64…
10-12 15:36:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 13?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa2f2d1…
10-12 12:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4ec2b7…
10-12 12:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x32c407…
10-12 07:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x837327…
10-12 06:50:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa09348…
10-11 14:21:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xee999f…
10-10 05:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7787ca…
10-10 02:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x211ac2…
10-05 10:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe6d929…
10-02 03:10:20	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30.5 and 31 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xea288b…
10-01 23:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0cf13e…
10-01 04:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C or higher on October 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x152dd1…
09-28 01:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x640a03…
09-27 19:26:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x45e32f…
09-23 01:45:50	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x3184da…
09-22 23:35:52	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0a3bf1…
09-22 16:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc12121…
09-22 15:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x242e56…
09-22 13:08:13	Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7da9dc…
09-21 19:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc2356c…
09-19 04:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x052f79…
09-18 01:34:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xfb886c…
09-17 15:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 18?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x27cade…
09-13 03:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on September 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4ef00c…
09-11 19:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9c75e8…
09-11 02:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x17dca1…
09-10 19:12:46	Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb27f89…
09-07 15:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 8?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc35553…
09-06 21:16:18	Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8fcaaf…
09-06 07:39:00	Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x73ff8d…
09-05 23:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e4253…
09-05 08:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0aae7a…
09-05 03:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa788fc…
09-04 21:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x03b280…
09-04 14:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc06b1…
09-04 13:16:46	bitcoin above 74k on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc172e3…
09-04 00:19:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0ee37a…
09-03 13:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 4?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x753668…
09-03 12:45:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf7ddc2…
09-03 00:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcd4050…
09-02 14:09:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x851a75…
09-02 10:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 2?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9272db…
09-02 08:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 2?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x798710…
09-01 20:40:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4a859e…
09-01 11:47:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x04e76a…
09-01 01:30:42	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x988157…
08-31 06:20:55	will ethereum dip to 2000 in august 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9ee2f6…
08-31 02:25:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6083b0…
08-30 19:50:10	bitcoin above 86k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x941fab…
08-30 12:16:12	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x899158…
08-30 01:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x59ae92…
08-29 18:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb422ee…
08-29 14:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2e0f5b…
08-29 09:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0c57b4…
08-28 14:10:21	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x40f604…
08-27 09:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8ffee2…
08-27 07:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2b7bf9…
08-26 23:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xadb647…
08-26 18:22:01	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5c67db…
08-26 15:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd59978…
08-25 12:56:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7a36c…
08-25 10:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8419a9…
08-25 03:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2e9156…
08-24 22:12:00	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbce3de…
08-24 17:14:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3bdf48…
08-24 11:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6107b3…
08-24 05:50:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x57f1f7…
08-23 19:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x086e6a…
08-14 17:34:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x556296…
08-14 08:51:06	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe2ddda…
08-13 22:14:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfa9f6c…
08-13 17:13:58	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 13	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb94fde…
08-13 09:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 13?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa7279c…
08-12 23:15:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x01d1a6…
08-12 23:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9e0a0c…
08-12 04:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6878b…
08-12 00:38:25	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x37f043…
08-11 15:10:19	bitcoin above 66k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x37c112…
08-11 14:00:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf9fd24…
08-10 23:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x89daf4…
08-10 19:38:07	Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0ee102…
08-10 13:43:40	wti closes above 73 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb55779…
08-10 11:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe0f468…
08-09 12:23:04	Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 26m?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3550dd…
08-09 10:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfcba2f…
08-09 05:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd82f31…
08-09 01:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 9?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7665d0…
08-08 17:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1031c0…
08-08 00:41:16	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 7	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2b3d79…
08-08 00:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x876269…
08-07 19:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd3eba0…
08-07 17:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4d8368…
08-07 13:30:12	Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x41b6ae…