Gullible-Med — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$70.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.24K

Open exposure

$23

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-02 11:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 80% +$19

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+25	$24	94¢	$23	$-0	07-02 11:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?	7	$5.4K	5,452	+5,452	open	—	05-02 10:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 3?	6	$5.4K	5,452	+5,452	open	—	05-02 21:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	1	$5.4K	5,448	+5,448	Yes	+$5	05-04 19:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 4?	1	$5.4K	5,447	+5,447	open	—	05-04 10:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?	4	$5.4K	5,434	+5,434	Yes	+$5	05-11 14:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	2	$5.4K	5,428	+5,428	Yes	+$5	05-13 00:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?	3	$5.4K	5,408	+5,408	open	—	05-22 19:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	1	$5.4K	5,362	+5,362	open	—	05-23 18:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	1	$5.3K	5,292	+5,292	open	—	04-30 15:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	7	$4.4K	4,423	+4,423	open	—	05-21 21:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	5	$4.3K	4,311	+4,311	open	—	05-27 08:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?	1	$3.4K	3,448	+3,448	Yes	+$3	05-10 01:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$3.4K	3,361	+3,361	open	—	05-24 19:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 16?	3	$2.6K	2,607	+2,607	open	—	05-15 18:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	1	$2.0K	2,000	+2,000	open	—	05-15 00:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	1	$999	1,000	+1,000	open	—	05-21 10:36
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	2	$202	207	+207	open	—	06-01 07:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	1	$160	160	+160	open	—	04-10 20:02
putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	1	$147	150	+150	open	—	07-02 11:09
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1	$109	110	+110	open	—	06-01 07:23
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$103	105	+105	open	—	05-30 07:45
meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	07-02 11:12
x banned in uk by march 31	1	$59	60	+60	open	—	03-11 18:29
jd vance out as vp by july 31 20260626154902197	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	07-02 11:11
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$24	25	+25	open	—	07-02 11:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?	1	$1	950	+950	Yes	$-1	05-10 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 11:12:08	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x01da5c…
07-02 11:11:05	jd vance out as vp by july 31 20260626154902197	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb99956…
07-02 11:10:22	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xc3594b…
07-02 11:09:41	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xe838bc…
06-01 07:23:50	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x48b277…
06-01 07:23:28	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xa81625…
06-01 07:22:53	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$146	0x6e1e5b…
05-30 07:45:04	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd26ca4…
05-28 07:00:28	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x573c15…
05-27 08:08:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	338	100¢	$338	0x3600f5…
05-27 02:54:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x129787…
05-27 02:48:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	539	100¢	$539	0xce269c…
05-26 00:27:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x042678…
05-25 19:07:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	3,111	100¢	$3,105	0x1311db…
05-24 19:34:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3,361	100¢	$3,358	0x159f0c…
05-23 18:17:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5,362	100¢	$5,357	0x18a515…
05-22 19:52:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	4,404	100¢	$4,400	0xdf2d93…
05-22 18:51:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	984	100¢	$983	0xb6bf49…
05-22 18:48:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x92c101…
05-21 21:25:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	2,190	100¢	$2,188	0x84fbdb…
05-21 20:31:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x07fa75…
05-21 20:14:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4a7dbf…
05-21 19:18:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x508d9e…
05-21 18:57:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x420826…
05-21 18:52:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,199	0x4f1790…
05-21 18:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa13084…
05-21 10:36:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xde1ab4…
05-15 18:24:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,399	0x731224…
05-15 16:04:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x5a6b72…
05-15 14:00:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0x3eb98b…
05-15 00:08:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xd97469…
05-13 00:05:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2,293	100¢	$2,291	0xcf90d3…
05-12 23:07:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3,135	100¢	$3,132	0x8fb52b…
05-11 14:23:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	434	100¢	$434	0xbeb742…
05-11 14:19:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x82a128…
05-11 14:19:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x4228bd…
05-11 13:10:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd65e5e…
05-10 20:43:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	950	0¢	$1	0xc53ee3…
05-10 01:40:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	3,448	100¢	$3,445	0xb4a5f9…
05-04 19:31:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5,448	100¢	$5,443	0x62ef69…
05-04 10:22:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5,447	100¢	$5,442	0x230591…
05-02 21:01:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	349	100¢	$349	0x1108c1…
05-02 21:00:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,130	100¢	$1,129	0xb11337…
05-02 20:59:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,280	100¢	$1,279	0x55c735…
05-02 20:58:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,150	100¢	$1,149	0x540d16…
05-02 20:51:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,190	100¢	$1,189	0xfc1987…
05-02 20:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	353	100¢	$353	0x3e939e…
05-02 10:22:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	379	100¢	$379	0xcc453a…
05-02 10:22:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf7e8a2…
05-02 07:38:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x759dc0…
05-02 06:26:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x370428…
05-02 03:46:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdf8213…
05-01 22:16:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,099	0xc8de6c…
05-01 21:20:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	945	100¢	$944	0x952744…
04-30 15:48:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	5,292	100¢	$5,287	0x9f60d1…
04-10 20:02:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x521ba6…
03-11 18:29:19	x banned in uk by march 31	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x79a618…