Firsthand-Inversion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$106

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

553

Trades

673

lifetime

Volume

$173.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$257

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-21 23:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 242 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 97% -$49

Other

15% 98% +$155

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 65k on june 5	1	$1.1K	1,096	+1,096	No	+$1	06-06 00:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 2?	1	$1.0K	1,037	+1,037	No	+$5	06-02 23:15
will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	1	$1.0K	1,087	+1,087	No	+$57	06-04 03:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	1	$1.0K	1,031	+1,031	Yes	+$1	06-01 23:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	1	$1.0K	1,031	+1,031	Yes	+$2	06-01 12:30
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$1.0K	1,029	+1,029	No	+$2	05-29 05:37
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 28?	1	$1.0K	1,027	+1,027	No	+$1	05-28 06:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 27?	1	$1.0K	1,026	+1,026	No	+$1	05-26 06:17
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	1	$1.0K	1,024	+1,024	No	+$6	05-24 23:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	1	$1.0K	1,018	+1,018	Yes	+$1	05-24 08:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	1	$1.0K	1,017	+1,017	No	+$1	05-23 00:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	1	$1.0K	1,016	+1,016	Yes	+$1	05-21 23:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	1	$1.0K	1,015	+1,015	No	+$1	05-21 05:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$1.0K	1,014	+1,014	Yes	+$2	05-19 23:41
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 18?	1	$1.0K	1,012	+1,012	No	+$1	05-18 23:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	1	$1.0K	1,011	+1,011	No	+$1	05-18 08:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 17?	1	$1.0K	1,010	+1,010	No	+$1	05-17 23:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	1	$1.0K	1,009	+1,009	Yes	+$1	05-16 23:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	1	$1.0K	1,008	+1,008	No	+$1	05-16 00:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 13?	1	$1.0K	1,006	+1,006	No	+$1	05-13 23:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	1	$1.0K	1,003	+1,003	No	+$1	05-11 07:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	1	$998	999	+999	No	+$1	05-08 23:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	1	$997	998	+998	No	+$1	05-08 05:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 7?	1	$996	997	+997	No	+$1	05-07 23:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	1	$995	996	+996	No	+$1	05-07 05:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6?	1	$994	995	+995	No	+$1	05-06 23:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 5?	1	$992	993	+993	No	+$1	05-05 00:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$990	991	+991	No	+$1	05-06 06:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 5?	1	$990	991	+991	No	+$1	05-05 23:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 4?	2	$987	992	+992	No	+$5	05-04 12:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 23:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 21?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xbe01a7…
10-19 23:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 20?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xc34528…
10-19 00:09:29	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$279	0x966a1f…
10-15 00:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0xdad261…
10-13 12:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0xafd7a8…
10-10 00:12:16	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	277	100¢	$277	0x8b9668…
10-07 02:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on October 8?	No	BUY	277	100¢	$277	0xe277e2…
09-29 23:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 30?	No	BUY	277	100¢	$276	0xe9c206…
09-28 23:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 29?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x3fce46…
09-27 23:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 29?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0x3a077f…
09-22 23:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 23?	No	BUY	275	98¢	$270	0x5a8294…
09-21 23:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 22?	No	BUY	270	99¢	$267	0x9e3ed2…
09-19 23:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 21?	No	BUY	268	98¢	$262	0x68c299…
09-19 00:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	262	97¢	$254	0xa2da51…
09-16 23:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 18?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0x8ec163…
09-14 23:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 16?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0xe7f9a3…
09-13 23:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 14?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$253	0xc74b19…
09-10 23:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xb765de…
09-10 00:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 10?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x5643f0…
09-09 00:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 9?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0xe812aa…
09-07 23:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on September 8?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0x5690e5…
09-06 23:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on September 7?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x3f9643…
09-06 00:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x11de3e…
09-05 00:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0xb0b54e…
09-04 10:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 5?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x7e462f…
09-03 23:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 4?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x050e6c…
09-02 23:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x3c2373…
09-02 23:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xc00869…
09-02 00:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xf58bb9…
09-01 01:20:16	will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x61fcbe…
08-30 23:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C or higher on September 1?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x90edc7…
08-30 00:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$231	0xfaa545…
08-29 00:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xb467ba…
08-29 00:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdc9e56…
08-27 22:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 28?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe920e9…
08-24 23:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 26?	No	BUY	247	99¢	$243	0xf51ed2…
08-20 07:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on August 21?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x71ff16…
08-19 15:43:06	bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	No	SELL	308	80¢	$245	0xe5881e…
08-19 01:17:19	bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	No	BUY	308	100¢	$307	0x76eb0f…
08-16 01:17:54	will bitcoin reach 68k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xbf8d37…
08-15 11:48:43	bitcoin above 68k on august 16 2026	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0xffe3bd…
08-13 23:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x667a2f…
08-13 23:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x25d5a0…
08-13 02:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xe22240…
08-11 22:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or below on August 12?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$306	0xfadceb…
08-07 12:01:01	will bitcoin reach 76k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	306	100¢	$306	0x057c41…
08-05 23:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8dd6b7…
08-05 13:34:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 5?	No	BUY	191	99¢	$190	0xcda07f…
08-05 13:32:36	will bitcoin reach 69k on august 5	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xb8872b…
08-04 10:02:50	will bitcoin reach 69k on august 4	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x7e5971…
08-03 07:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 3?	No	BUY	136	98¢	$133	0xa182eb…
08-03 07:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 3?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x8c1a0d…
08-02 01:25:32	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	302	100¢	$301	0x005993…
07-31 00:03:11	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	302	100¢	$301	0xee8678…
07-29 23:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 30?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x43c8c0…
07-28 23:59:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 29?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x22f9a4…
07-28 00:12:46	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 27	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xc02861…
07-26 00:23:16	will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xce651c…
07-26 00:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 26?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$153	0x52e17c…
07-25 00:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 25?	No	BUY	299	100¢	$298	0xafdf4f…
07-23 23:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	299	100¢	$298	0xdcf464…
07-22 09:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or below on July 23?	No	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0xa9883a…
07-22 09:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xa07841…
07-21 23:24:15	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	No	BUY	297	100¢	$297	0x5ca68b…
07-20 23:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 21?	No	BUY	297	100¢	$297	0x0fb475…
07-20 10:28:39	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	296	100¢	$296	0xe23ded…
07-19 23:05:18	will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	296	100¢	$296	0xeb30cc…
07-19 01:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or below on July 19?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x73de44…
07-19 01:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on July 19?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x7314fc…
07-18 00:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on July 18?	No	BUY	295	100¢	$295	0x73a24b…
07-17 12:21:48	bitcoin above 66k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	295	100¢	$295	0x397602…
07-16 23:21:44	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 16	No	BUY	295	100¢	$295	0x5f54a3…
07-15 22:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	295	100¢	$295	0xa2bc0e…
07-15 00:15:59	bitcoin above 70k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0x5ea700…
07-13 23:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 14?	No	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0xc08623…
07-13 09:53:56	bitcoin above 66k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0x59c6e6…
07-12 23:08:17	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0xc5d453…
07-12 00:06:31	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 11	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0xbf056c…
07-10 23:36:55	bitcoin above 68k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0x7b7bb5…
07-09 09:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 10?	No	BUY	291	100¢	$291	0x142083…
07-08 22:58:34	will bitcoin dip to 58k on july 8	No	BUY	291	100¢	$291	0x1b1cdd…
07-08 07:52:47	bitcoin above 58k on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	291	100¢	$291	0x362ed3…
07-07 23:11:11	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 7	No	BUY	292	100¢	$291	0xbac8bf…
07-07 08:48:46	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0x5fbc52…
07-06 23:12:28	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 6	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0x1a76f4…
07-05 23:01:38	bitcoin above 68k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xc8fb5b…
07-04 23:24:35	bitcoin above 68k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	289	100¢	$289	0x3971db…
07-04 06:51:58	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	289	100¢	$289	0x95aaf3…
07-03 00:20:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 3?	No	BUY	289	100¢	$289	0xfb73a1…
07-02 08:34:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 2?	No	BUY	289	100¢	$289	0x11b5c2…
07-01 07:59:52	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 1	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x56a644…
07-01 07:59:44	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x95c56b…
07-01 07:59:29	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcb5193…
06-30 08:13:08	bitcoin above 64k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0xb1223f…
06-29 23:52:49	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 29	No	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0x0483b4…
06-29 14:37:17	bitcoin above 62k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0x875a35…
06-27 23:30:58	will bitcoin reach 74k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0x323f67…
06-26 23:47:32	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0x53c32e…
06-26 13:44:00	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0xcab186…
06-25 23:27:41	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 25	No	BUY	286	100¢	$286	0xea3677…