Good-Natured-Setting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$511

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

504

Trades

608

lifetime

Volume

$128.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$212

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-19 23:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 239 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 97% -$620

Other

13% 99% +$109

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 3	2	$1.2K	682	682	+0	No	-$206	06-04 02:05
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	5	$1.1K	639	462	+178	No	+$2	02-01 00:56
will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 3	2	$947	476	476	+0	No	+$5	06-04 03:37
bitcoin above 82k on january 27	3	$847	426	426	+0	Yes	+$5	01-27 02:12
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	4	$819	414	414	+0	No	+$2	01-21 13:20
will bitcoin dip to 88k january 12 18	2	$746	373	373	+0	No	+$0	01-19 05:34
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on June 2?	1	$686	687	0	+687	No	+$1	06-02 06:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	1	$683	684	0	+684	Yes	+$1	06-01 12:18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$683	684	0	+684	No	+$1	05-29 05:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	1	$682	683	0	+683	No	+$1	05-28 05:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 27?	1	$682	683	0	+683	No	+$1	05-27 04:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 25?	1	$680	681	0	+681	No	+$1	05-25 23:16
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	1	$679	680	0	+680	No	+$1	05-24 08:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	1	$679	680	0	+680	No	+$1	05-25 08:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	1	$678	679	0	+679	No	+$1	05-23 00:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 23?	1	$678	679	0	+679	No	+$1	05-23 23:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	1	$677	678	0	+678	Yes	+$1	05-21 23:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	1	$676	677	0	+677	No	+$1	05-20 23:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$675	676	0	+676	Yes	+$1	05-19 23:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	1	$674	675	0	+675	Yes	+$1	05-19 05:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 18?	1	$673	674	0	+674	No	+$1	05-18 23:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	1	$673	674	0	+674	No	+$1	05-18 07:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	1	$672	673	0	+673	Yes	+$1	05-16 23:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 17?	1	$672	673	0	+673	No	+$1	05-17 23:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	1	$671	672	0	+672	No	+$1	05-16 00:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	1	$667	668	0	+668	No	+$1	05-11 07:05
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 11?	1	$667	668	0	+668	No	+$1	05-11 23:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	1	$665	666	0	+666	No	+$1	05-09 08:03
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 8?	1	$664	665	0	+665	No	+$1	05-08 22:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 8?	1	$664	665	0	+665	No	+$1	05-08 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 23:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 21?	No	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0x11f3c6…
10-19 00:06:26	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x52f7b9…
10-16 03:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on October 17?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xbe2fea…
10-16 03:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C or below on October 17?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5cbec1…
10-14 23:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C or below on October 16?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$64	0x9126ca…
10-13 12:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x10368f…
10-13 12:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe153e0…
10-10 00:08:04	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x39da89…
10-07 02:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on October 8?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0x869fda…
09-29 23:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 30?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x921158…
09-27 23:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 29?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0xa21906…
09-22 23:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 23?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x60e5da…
09-21 23:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 22?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x4ddc7a…
09-19 23:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 21?	No	BUY	181	98¢	$177	0x72821b…
09-18 00:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 19?	No	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0x362d7f…
09-16 23:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	176	99¢	$174	0x37e506…
09-15 23:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	174	99¢	$172	0x907d76…
09-14 23:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 15?	No	BUY	172	97¢	$167	0xda1ee3…
09-13 23:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x14424e…
09-10 23:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on September 12?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x4fcbaa…
09-10 00:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$165	0x3936d8…
09-09 00:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 9?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x865408…
09-07 23:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 8?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xe4b45f…
09-06 00:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xd42fd5…
09-05 01:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 5?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$164	0x70d0bc…
09-03 23:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 4?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x851634…
09-02 23:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x959999…
09-02 00:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x8445b2…
09-02 00:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x27e9c1…
09-01 01:22:19	will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x3010b0…
08-30 23:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x6c8237…
08-30 00:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x20a41a…
08-29 00:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x9daa05…
08-27 22:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 28?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd01a2a…
08-26 23:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 27?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0xdfd10a…
08-24 23:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 26?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x39cf7f…
08-20 07:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on August 21?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xee8005…
08-19 15:40:13	bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	No	SELL	204	80¢	$162	0xd7b3e1…
08-19 01:20:10	bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x447a52…
08-15 11:40:12	bitcoin above 68k on august 16 2026	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x75a0d7…
08-13 02:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x59cfd3…
08-11 22:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x2365ff…
08-07 11:57:51	will bitcoin reach 76k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0xb9ed91…
08-04 09:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 5?	No	BUY	204	99¢	$202	0x1c8860…
08-03 08:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 3?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0xb8799d…
08-02 01:18:02	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x8d0114…
07-30 23:56:39	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xffcc10…
07-29 23:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x2890ab…
07-29 00:01:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 29?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x2b381f…
07-28 00:16:07	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 27	No	BUY	199	99¢	$198	0x1bcae5…
07-26 00:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 27?	No	BUY	199	99¢	$197	0x927ce5…
07-25 00:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 25?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$196	0x9b6a5b…
07-23 23:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x9f16cf…
07-22 09:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or below on July 23?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x4c6239…
07-21 23:18:09	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x53991b…
07-20 23:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 21?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x55bf94…
07-20 10:26:00	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x8019f9…
07-19 23:11:42	will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x28c591…
07-19 01:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 19?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$194	0xebc121…
07-18 00:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on July 18?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x6f17a1…
07-17 12:23:16	bitcoin above 66k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x485b22…
07-16 23:26:19	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 16	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0xd90c69…
07-15 22:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 16?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0x501f81…
07-15 22:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x051f06…
07-15 00:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 15?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x4c4a8f…
07-13 09:57:43	bitcoin above 66k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x125248…
07-12 23:05:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xd79090…
07-12 00:04:46	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 11	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x3e5f47…
07-10 23:27:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 11?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x231d58…
07-09 08:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 10?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xa0a161…
07-08 22:54:31	will bitcoin dip to 58k on july 8	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xe3b5ba…
07-08 07:56:04	bitcoin above 58k on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x37da68…
07-07 23:06:50	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 7	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x03ec63…
07-07 08:40:34	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x8910f2…
07-06 23:07:56	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 6	No	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0xf6e8dc…
07-05 22:55:59	bitcoin above 68k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0xcfba30…
07-04 23:19:28	bitcoin above 68k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x0c1942…
07-04 06:45:41	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x3b026a…
07-03 00:16:50	will bitcoin dip to 58k on july 2	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x307469…
07-02 08:28:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 2?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x26eca3…
07-01 07:46:07	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 1	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x5935df…
06-30 23:16:02	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x7fe3fc…
06-30 08:11:05	bitcoin above 64k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x098b74…
06-29 14:46:25	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 29	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x7f12e5…
06-29 14:46:05	will bitcoin dip to 53k on june 29	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xc1a8c9…
06-27 23:33:50	will bitcoin reach 74k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xcbc738…
06-27 00:03:47	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0xb6d7ca…
06-26 13:53:54	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0x20be46…
06-25 09:37:43	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 25	No	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0xb298e9…
06-24 23:53:14	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 24	No	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0xa4abea…
06-23 23:12:44	bitcoin above 56k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x860406…
06-23 09:39:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 23?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xd3ea2e…
06-22 09:13:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 22?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xb664a6…
06-21 22:55:01	will bitcoin reach 67k on june 21	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xdd1595…
06-21 08:41:47	will bitcoin reach 70k on june 21	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xaa16f1…
06-20 13:52:11	will bitcoin reach 67k on june 20	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0xd48020…
06-18 23:42:28	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 18	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa2f770…
06-17 23:32:40	bitcoin above 56k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0xc63985…
06-17 15:41:16	bitcoin above 64k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x33bcfd…
06-15 23:58:49	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 15	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x176c23…