Muted-Boatyard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.01K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

3,889

Trades

13,693

lifetime

Volume

$29.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 11-04 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 254 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 20% -$1,150

Other

26% 25% -$607

Politics

11% 25% -$197

Sports

3% 23% -$48

Tech

1% 26% -$19

Pop-Culture

0% 60% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+1,000	$2	0¢	$2	+$0	11-03 18:04
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+144	$4	1¢	$2	-$2	11-03 18:42
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	+100	$2	1¢	$1	-$1	10-27 19:19
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	+100	$1	1¢	$1	+$0	11-04 01:21
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+289	$1	0¢	$0	$0	09-29 15:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	+85	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-02 20:54
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	+3	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-04 01:03
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	+0	$1	11¢	$0	-$1	11-01 17:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	30	$249	1,112	1,612	-500	No	+$196	06-13 17:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 18:04
bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	14	$194	1,787	1,693	+94	Yes	+$69	06-21 23:43
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	29	$168	1,948	1,698	+250	Yes	+$148	07-26 01:37
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	9	$163	171	151	+20	Yes	+$4	04-13 16:08
bitcoin above 58k on june 28 2026	13	$145	915	651	+264	Yes	+$95	06-27 19:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	30	$145	1,610	1,610	+0	No	$0	04-23 22:14
ethereum above 1400 on june 11 2026	16	$137	1,500	1,495	+5	Yes	+$101	06-07 01:26
will axiom be accused of insider trading	3	$130	39	125	-87	Yes	+$34	02-26 13:46
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	9	$129	70	70	+0	Yes	-$5	05-07 13:33
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	7	$126	213	213	+0	No	+$2	02-20 22:07
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	11	$124	1,095	95	+1,000	Yes	+$37	04-12 23:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	14	$124	635	262	+373	Yes	-$5	04-07 02:25
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	17	$124	242	262	-20	No	+$45	04-19 16:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	5	$116	432	432	+0	Yes	+$36	06-02 14:36
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	73	$114	3,184	2,066	+1,119	Yes	-$20	04-13 10:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	20	$113	598	502	+97	No	+$58	06-02 23:50
Will "Gachiakuta" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	23	$107	413	413	+0	No	+$5	05-21 17:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$105	150	150	+0	No	+$100	05-23 12:52
netanyahu out by march 31 854	24	$104	1,676	1,248	+429	No	-$27	03-26 12:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	18	$104	380	380	+0	No	+$58	06-01 12:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	6	$103	160	160	+0	No	+$94	10-22 12:39
will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	6	$103	383	383	+0	No	+$63	06-03 20:54
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	55	$101	4,220	4,379	-160	No	+$5	06-22 19:10
ethereum above 1400 on june 10 2026	30	$100	1,945	2,073	-128	Yes	+$56	06-06 21:13
Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	5	$100	503	503	+0	Yes	-$16	07-12 20:18
tur gen gal 2026 04 18 gal	5	$98	69	68	+1	Yes	-$1	04-18 16:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	21	$98	973	973	+0	No	+$63	06-02 14:27
bitcoin above 58k on june 6 2026	16	$97	885	792	+93	Yes	+$65	06-05 23:16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$96	4,001	3,301	+700	Yes	+$1	03-04 18:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 19:14:51	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xf28319…
11-04 18:58:45	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x7a6d28…
11-04 18:39:27	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf794de…
11-04 18:39:15	Will Amedspor win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0xb4328a…
11-04 18:39:12	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the United States by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	63	2¢	$1	0xb5e1bc…
11-04 18:38:45	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x4eafb7…
11-04 18:38:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 0%-10%?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4a9b47…
11-04 18:38:13	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 2 above $200?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x8911a0…
11-04 18:38:10	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xcfe568…
11-04 17:17:31	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0xe7cee4…
11-04 17:16:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x459a88…
11-04 17:16:27	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0xdaf214…
11-04 16:41:18	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x092ba2…
11-04 16:36:45	Spread: Liverpool FC (-3.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x72462f…
11-04 16:36:22	Spread: Liverpool FC (-3.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3232b9…
11-04 16:35:22	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xfd1230…
11-04 16:33:19	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc38f53…
11-04 16:33:18	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x93a595…
11-04 16:33:18	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x007e7e…
11-04 08:45:58	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x71b9f6…
11-04 06:04:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 4?	No	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x721737…
11-04 05:25:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 4?	No	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xe46267…
11-04 04:48:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 4?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x68fa6b…
11-04 03:04:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 4?	No	BUY	204	1¢	$2	0xf9ad16…
11-04 03:04:16	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x06f9d3…
11-04 03:04:09	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9ccc4d…
11-04 03:03:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xc086b4…
11-04 03:02:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 4?	No	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x82793c…
11-04 02:26:16	Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8cc71c…
11-04 02:26:12	Will Republicans win Michigan and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xded793…
11-04 02:26:07	Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfa0599…
11-04 02:25:55	Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xca7175…
11-04 02:25:51	Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd98078…
11-04 02:25:43	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2ea576…
11-04 02:25:36	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xafad6f…
11-04 02:25:28	Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x70aaa4…
11-04 01:52:18	Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe595e1…
11-04 01:49:12	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x7acf6e…
11-04 01:49:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 4?	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x5bf738…
11-04 01:48:57	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdd9214…
11-04 01:48:51	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe04817…
11-04 01:43:51	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x640f41…
11-04 01:41:57	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x9a5e98…
11-04 01:41:03	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x2c96c8…
11-04 01:40:43	Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb3ff05…
11-04 01:40:31	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x8baac7…
11-04 01:40:28	Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x32eae2…
11-04 01:39:39	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x51b900…
11-04 01:39:34	Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7d5f3e…
11-04 01:39:33	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd05cdd…
11-04 01:36:15	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x04d1b2…
11-04 01:36:09	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	958	0¢	$1	0x3a4206…
11-04 01:36:06	Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	958	0¢	$1	0x7827b7…
11-04 01:33:36	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x620314…
11-04 01:32:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 0%-10%?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x98fd23…
11-04 01:27:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3f3cb3…
11-04 01:25:52	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0943b7…
11-04 01:22:36	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8f5880…
11-04 01:21:57	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x835fba…
11-04 01:21:34	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf47f9a…
11-04 01:20:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 2 above $200?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf13bf4…
11-04 01:19:45	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x58f60d…
11-04 01:14:18	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9be373…
11-04 01:14:15	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x444047…
11-04 01:12:21	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x0d958a…
11-04 01:11:55	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xedde7f…
11-04 01:11:54	Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x107248…
11-04 01:11:49	Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x89ce83…
11-04 01:11:48	Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbd626b…
11-04 01:10:51	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x02f238…
11-04 01:10:42	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1f1dc8…
11-04 01:07:45	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x57c22e…
11-04 01:05:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe31787…
11-04 01:04:15	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x918097…
11-04 01:03:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x19c728…
11-04 01:02:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x87357e…
11-04 00:59:31	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x20d575…
11-04 00:45:18	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe4668f…
11-04 00:41:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6% or more?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0x46228c…
11-04 00:41:30	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x130fef…
11-04 00:41:22	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6% or more?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xabe1aa…
11-04 00:38:57	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x141600…
11-04 00:36:55	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4477d0…
11-04 00:36:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf4602f…
11-04 00:34:21	Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x18c4a9…
11-04 00:32:48	Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x1a5742…
11-04 00:28:34	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6f044a…
11-04 00:25:34	Will the price of Solana be above $85 on November 5?	No	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xbeb63a…
11-04 00:24:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xada8ce…
11-04 00:21:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x3914ff…
11-04 00:21:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7c3709…
11-04 00:20:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 November 2-8?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x9650c2…
11-04 00:19:18	Will the price of Solana be above $85 on November 4?	No	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x7c5246…
11-03 23:30:22	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x234d7b…
11-03 23:23:30	Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x15cd02…
11-03 23:23:22	Will Republicans win Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf6fca0…
11-03 23:23:19	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x12a0f1…
11-03 23:16:31	Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 0 - 5 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xd8fdd7…
11-03 23:15:09	Spread: Liverpool FC (-4.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xf9c2b2…
11-03 23:10:54	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xe06ae9…