Revolving-Hardship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.59K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

204

Trades

3,447

lifetime

Volume

$240.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-14 23:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

91% 66% +$5,669

Politics

7% 55% +$611

Sports

2% 50% +$415

Crypto

0% 0% -$106

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	285	$17.0K	20,517	11,740	+8,778	No	+$1,202	05-16 18:59
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	29	$14.4K	11,135	4,183	+6,952	No	+$238	02-25 13:51
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?	58	$9.5K	11,380	100	+11,280	No	+$1,931	05-17 18:51
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	43	$8.4K	7,800	1,180	+6,620	No	+$456	05-16 19:25
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	219	$8.3K	17,638	1,980	+15,658	Yes	+$1,034	04-12 20:01
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	76	$7.4K	8,651	3,793	+4,859	No	+$373	05-16 09:36
will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	89	$6.3K	5,020	2,147	+2,873	Yes	+$446	04-08 15:07
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	40	$6.0K	7,329	0	+7,329	Yes	-$4,949	05-16 22:15
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	152	$5.6K	8,988	2,659	+6,329	No	+$277	05-15 15:25
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	24	$5.5K	3,066	2,766	+300	No	+$34	05-16 18:23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	15	$5.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$798	04-29 21:29
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings	76	$5.3K	4,660	4,038	+622	Chennai Super Kings	-$285	04-23 14:16
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	57	$4.3K	2,850	2,500	+350	No	+$90	05-01 13:02
2026 the genesis invitational winner min woo lee win	4	$4.2K	4,323	0	+4,323	No	+$100	02-19 13:02
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	20	$3.8K	7,727	0	+7,727	Chennai Super Kings	+$240	05-05 15:30
wta ruse ruzic 2026 03 17	5	$3.8K	6,650	0	+6,650	Gabriela Ruse	+$2,884	03-18 19:02
will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in march	44	$3.5K	2,222	1,564	+658	No	+$32	03-18 13:19
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	55	$3.3K	5,220	633	+4,586	No	+$248	04-12 16:06
will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	16	$2.9K	2,964	22	+2,942	Yes	+$38	03-01 11:21
will 130 to 149 tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	49	$2.9K	3,332	644	+2,688	No	+$4	04-08 15:07
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	100	$2.8K	6,971	5,771	+1,200	No	+$19	05-16 12:14
will there be 810 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	7	$2.8K	1,382	1,382	-0	No	+$6	02-24 13:18
will seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in march	38	$2.7K	3,236	0	+3,236	No	+$59	03-30 22:31
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	43	$2.6K	5,470	700	+4,770	No	+$1,221	04-12 20:50
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	24	$2.6K	1,810	825	+986	Yes	+$35	02-25 12:56
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	61	$2.4K	2,628	2,099	+529	No	-$318	03-26 15:50
will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	11	$2.3K	3,973	140	+3,833	Yes	+$15	02-27 15:02
Will fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	15	$2.2K	1,575	734	+841	No	+$25	05-07 23:03
2026 rbc heritage winner scottie scheffler win	29	$2.2K	4,391	0	+4,391	No	+$25	04-19 17:55
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	14	$2.1K	2,347	2,347	+0	Chennai Super Kings	$0	05-09 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 23:23:39	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xe79ed8…
10-12 13:39:33	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xbbf3d6…
10-06 13:33:16	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xaefd24…
10-05 20:33:11	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x9ece7d…
10-05 20:33:11	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x54f3cf…
10-05 20:32:49	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xc014f9…
10-05 17:32:56	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9c333e…
09-30 14:57:23	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xc52213…
09-30 14:57:21	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x6989cc…
09-28 17:22:09	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x835d6c…
09-19 04:09:24	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xf3d47b…
09-19 04:09:24	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x32d7e8…
09-18 15:48:19	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?	Up	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x7cb775…
09-11 17:50:16	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0x25f430…
09-11 17:50:15	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7a1bc3…
09-11 17:50:15	Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x5e69ee…
09-11 17:50:13	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x8b5567…
09-11 17:50:13	Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x1b5d7c…
09-10 19:44:39	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdc1771…
09-02 07:28:09	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x667471…
08-05 08:47:27	Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x282aa8…
08-02 07:25:59	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x02277f…
07-30 11:10:18	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xfc57e9…
07-28 12:09:02	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xc531d6…
07-28 12:09:02	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x050e51…
07-27 13:45:30	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf9eda9…
07-26 13:54:57	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x756380…
07-24 16:53:09	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x5edf80…
07-23 11:44:07	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xe5e9fb…
07-23 11:37:19	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x1c5668…
07-22 08:12:33	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x5c4c9e…
07-22 08:12:33	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x2be6f1…
07-18 17:27:39	Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0xb2e281…
07-17 12:03:24	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xedcac8…
07-17 12:03:24	Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x327a21…
07-17 12:03:22	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x5f649e…
07-17 12:03:22	Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x5138ea…
07-14 16:12:28	Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	4¢	$2	0xdc0e86…
07-14 16:12:28	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0xaeacd5…
07-14 16:12:28	Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	4¢	$5	0xa81ff4…
07-14 16:12:28	Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x9ff2b0…
07-14 16:12:28	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x37871b…
07-14 16:12:28	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x1d40a5…
07-14 16:12:28	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x17d8c8…
07-14 16:12:28	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x03a45f…
07-14 16:12:26	Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x8d9441…
07-14 16:12:26	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	2¢	$2	0x1e6472…
07-14 16:12:26	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x11da1d…
07-14 16:12:26	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	3¢	$4	0x0a4e14…
07-13 10:12:52	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x9d9c3c…
07-13 10:12:50	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x0dcebd…
07-08 09:04:19	Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xa93c61…
07-07 11:46:52	Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xf81328…
07-07 11:46:52	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xf20a76…
07-07 11:46:52	Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x7d5791…
07-07 11:46:52	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x535821…
07-07 11:46:52	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x398369…
07-01 01:51:40	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xbed5f4…
06-30 00:31:25	Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x3e9e80…
06-09 04:41:00	ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia	Australia	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3b3963…
06-09 04:39:54	ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia	Australia	BUY	90	61¢	$55	0xc0cfed…
06-09 04:38:55	ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia	Australia	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8301c9…
06-09 04:36:21	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x8c2803…
06-09 04:34:49	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x80a853…
06-09 04:33:10	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	99	61¢	$60	0x04d3e3…
06-09 04:28:30	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Bangladesh	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0xc1ee67…
06-09 04:28:15	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Bangladesh	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc7b226…
06-09 04:28:13	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Bangladesh	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x97931b…
06-09 04:28:00	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Bangladesh	BUY	130	40¢	$52	0x892078…
06-09 04:28:00	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Bangladesh	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6dac0f…
06-09 03:54:40	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	400	59¢	$236	0x6dfb6c…
06-09 03:50:39	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x1e9f84…
06-09 03:49:10	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xdc6009…
06-09 03:49:10	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2bf29e…
06-09 03:49:09	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xab74a9…
06-09 03:49:09	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xa78d75…
06-09 03:49:09	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x8cefbe…
06-09 03:49:07	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xd4ee7a…
06-09 03:49:07	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x6667e3…
06-09 03:48:52	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6123be…
06-09 03:48:51	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	105	59¢	$62	0xdf96b3…
06-09 03:48:51	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa5a71f…
06-09 03:48:51	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2d377b…
06-09 03:36:12	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	177	58¢	$102	0x3fd95f…
06-09 02:17:12	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Bangladesh	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0x58392e…
06-09 02:16:57	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Bangladesh	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0xa58a71…
06-09 02:16:28	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Bangladesh	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0x28fb50…
06-09 01:54:37	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Bangladesh	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x2f1391…
06-09 01:52:43	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Bangladesh	BUY	78	41¢	$32	0xc847e8…
06-09 01:30:55	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	80	58¢	$46	0x66bbbb…
06-09 01:30:24	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	80	58¢	$46	0x0cac8a…
06-09 01:20:48	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	64	58¢	$37	0xc2e049…
06-08 23:45:12	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Bangladesh	BUY	466	40¢	$187	0x7d8bb3…
06-08 23:15:30	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Bangladesh	BUY	29	40¢	$11	0x5b5210…
06-08 22:50:30	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Bangladesh	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xda9396…
06-06 03:16:52	Will India win?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x675f25…
06-06 03:02:43	Will India win?	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x2e35f0…
06-06 02:42:18	Will India win?	No	BUY	1,179	10¢	$118	0x696a42…
06-06 01:49:18	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xccebc6…
06-06 01:36:33	Will India win?	Yes	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0x003468…