Afraid-Preparation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.60K

Unrealized P&L

-$87

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

1,151

Trades

2,873

lifetime

Volume

$378.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 262 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 99% +$336

Other

36% 86% -$1,801

Politics

0% 29% -$139

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-11	-$11	99¢	$-11	$0	05-03 06:44
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+40	$96	22¢	$9	-$87	10-20 21:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 27	2	$4.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$2	01-27 02:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 21	3	$4.2K	2,239	2,001	+238	No	+$2	01-20 19:21
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 13	3	$3.4K	1,690	1,689	+1	No	+$5	04-13 18:42
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 7	5	$3.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$8	04-08 01:39
will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	16	$2.9K	1,704	1,204	+500	No	+$3	02-14 13:48
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 16	1	$2.7K	2,716	0	+2,716	No	+$3	02-16 16:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 2	2	$2.6K	2,565	0	+2,565	No	+$3	02-02 10:11
will bitcoin dip to 61k on april 7	14	$2.5K	1,661	886	+775	No	+$3	04-07 21:18
will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 3	3	$2.5K	2,506	0	+2,506	No	+$3	03-03 03:00
will bitcoin reach 71k on march 27	1	$2.4K	2,385	0	+2,385	No	+$2	03-27 22:38
will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	10	$2.3K	2,339	0	+2,339	No	+$5	03-01 02:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 21	1	$2.3K	2,303	0	+2,303	No	+$2	01-21 12:44
will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 6	1	$2.3K	2,300	0	+2,300	No	+$2	01-05 18:47
will bitcoin dip to 63k on april 6	2	$2.3K	2,293	0	+2,293	No	+$3	04-06 22:02
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 1	2	$2.3K	2,290	0	+2,290	No	+$2	04-01 20:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 27	1	$2.3K	2,279	0	+2,279	No	+$2	03-27 08:50
bitcoin above 64k on march 26	2	$2.3K	2,278	0	+2,278	Yes	+$2	03-26 07:11
will bitcoin dip to 80k december 29 january 4	2	$2.2K	2,251	0	+2,251	No	+$3	01-03 22:17
will bitcoin reach 74k on march 26	1	$2.2K	2,240	0	+2,240	No	+$2	03-26 21:45
will bitcoin reach 84k february 9 15	41	$2.2K	1,685	535	+1,150	No	+$4	02-14 13:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 4	2	$2.2K	2,214	0	+2,214	No	+$2	03-04 14:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 30	2	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$1	01-29 12:56
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 10	1	$2.1K	2,104	0	+2,104	No	+$2	04-10 23:05
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 9	2	$2.1K	2,102	0	+2,102	No	+$2	01-08 18:28
bitcoin above 62k on march 20	1	$2.1K	2,063	0	+2,063	Yes	+$6	03-19 21:38
ethereum above 1800 on march 17	1	$2.0K	2,001	0	+2,001	Yes	+$2	03-16 18:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 24	8	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	No	+$6	02-23 22:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 27	13	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	No	+$6	02-26 20:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 7	2	$2.0K	1,983	0	+1,983	No	+$2	02-06 21:11
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 92000 on february 6	2	$2.0K	1,981	0	+1,981	No	+$2	02-04 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 06:04:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x02475a…
10-25 05:56:53	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa7317a…
10-24 06:11:53	Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0428e6…
10-23 13:08:05	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x86c532…
10-22 19:59:06	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x165e98…
10-21 05:09:53	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4dc7f3…
10-20 21:03:09	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xd46ac3…
10-20 19:50:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x10be96…
10-19 19:54:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xc64caf…
10-19 15:44:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaa2dca…
10-18 17:45:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41694f…
10-17 14:45:06	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfb226b…
10-17 00:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 16?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xed5763…
10-17 00:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbdf3b1…
10-16 23:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa1bad…
10-16 23:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 16?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd4ad68…
10-16 22:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ec0b1…
10-16 21:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd33881…
10-16 21:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1e115e…
10-16 21:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf02fd…
10-16 17:59:56	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0x98c3e6…
10-16 17:59:45	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0xc3f068…
10-16 09:22:51	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa74fec…
10-15 18:15:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc1a591…
10-15 05:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x164889…
10-14 20:13:18	will bitcoin reach 98k october 12 18 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x057b0d…
10-14 16:30:22	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xa88a68…
10-14 07:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x714217…
10-14 06:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb3f5db…
10-14 06:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3e134b…
10-14 05:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc926bf…
10-14 05:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7e788d…
10-14 05:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ea7ff…
10-14 05:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xaeb654…
10-13 17:52:07	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x31cd28…
10-12 15:55:14	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x288987…
10-12 15:54:41	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xc81ae5…
10-12 07:44:31	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	64¢	$30	0xafb3dd…
10-12 07:44:13	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	62¢	$29	0x34ecad…
10-11 11:42:00	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	56¢	$45	0xa600f8…
10-11 11:41:54	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x3acaa9…
10-11 11:41:50	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0xdacbab…
10-11 05:47:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeea4bb…
10-10 05:33:16	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c61c2…
10-09 18:20:19	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x631e98…
10-09 13:48:25	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd92a67…
10-09 13:46:16	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x0cda83…
10-08 20:08:57	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xa1f20a…
10-07 19:43:10	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe5a8d5…
10-06 05:42:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffebb6…
10-05 22:13:40	Will Hyperliquid reach $96 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x345ce7…
10-05 01:06:38	over 60m committed to the jumper public sale	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3c7f19…
10-04 21:30:37	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x31a1f8…
10-04 21:30:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	180	12¢	$21	0x22756d…
10-04 21:30:13	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x4e5e0d…
10-04 18:42:34	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	172	70¢	$120	0x65d88a…
10-04 18:24:55	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x063cd3…
10-04 18:24:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x25fcfa…
10-04 18:21:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xe96f31…
10-04 18:21:28	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x87cd1a…
10-04 18:20:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	28	70¢	$19	0xa79dc2…
10-04 17:04:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0xd3c1bb…
10-04 07:04:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x236722…
10-03 23:49:16	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x94bfab…
10-03 22:06:55	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	54	71¢	$39	0xe1d70a…
10-03 22:01:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	146	71¢	$104	0x1af8e6…
10-03 22:00:58	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0x2f7836…
10-03 21:56:28	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x037101…
10-03 21:46:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	97	28¢	$27	0x95ad03…
10-03 21:46:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x4df763…
10-03 21:27:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x998f40…
10-03 21:22:52	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xf25ae7…
10-03 21:21:25	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x96ff54…
10-03 21:00:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xfb3544…
10-03 20:52:02	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x0dfdd6…
10-03 07:36:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3fd8a7…
10-03 07:31:59	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xb2158c…
10-03 07:31:26	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xeea5ee…
10-03 07:31:03	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x242c72…
10-03 07:30:50	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x45a392…
10-02 13:06:09	Over $60M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b9aa8…
10-02 09:34:00	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf0e4c8…
10-02 09:11:50	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x19a86e…
10-02 05:49:36	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	19	86¢	$17	0x415051…
10-02 05:41:14	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0xaf8fd8…
10-02 05:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x73a0e6…
10-01 21:21:27	over 35m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x425a48…
10-01 19:31:29	Over $35M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x73c4ba…
10-01 19:05:03	Over $30M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x643c37…
10-01 05:37:41	will hyperliquid hit 100 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xbc59a1…
10-01 05:37:24	will hyperliquid hit 100 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0x1e96ea…
10-01 05:36:56	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	65¢	$55	0x5bb2c0…
10-01 05:36:20	will hyperliquid hit 100 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xd60afa…
09-30 17:40:17	will hyperliquid hit 100 by september 30 2026	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x5421e3…
09-30 06:05:09	will hyperliquid hit 100 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x12f90c…
09-30 06:04:56	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	63¢	$5	0x463691…
09-30 05:42:59	will hyperliquid hit 100 by september 30 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4f065a…
09-29 19:42:09	over 20m committed to the jumper public sale	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x7d92c2…
09-29 19:34:42	Over $25M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x77c189…
09-29 19:07:11	Over $25M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x79155f…