Afraid-Preparation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,631

lifetime

Volume

$255.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-19 17:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 100% +$3

Other

7% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 27	2	$4.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	01-27 02:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 21	3	$4.2K	2,239	2,001	+238	open	—	01-20 19:21
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 13	3	$3.4K	1,690	1,689	+1	open	—	04-13 18:42
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 7	5	$3.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-08 01:39
will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	16	$2.9K	1,704	1,204	+500	open	—	02-14 13:48
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 16	1	$2.7K	2,716	0	+2,716	open	—	02-16 16:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 2	2	$2.6K	2,565	0	+2,565	open	—	02-02 10:11
will bitcoin dip to 61k on april 7	14	$2.5K	1,661	886	+775	open	—	04-07 21:18
will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 3	3	$2.5K	2,506	0	+2,506	open	—	03-03 03:00
will bitcoin reach 71k on march 27	1	$2.4K	2,385	0	+2,385	open	—	03-27 22:38
will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	10	$2.3K	2,339	0	+2,339	open	—	03-01 02:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 21	1	$2.3K	2,303	0	+2,303	open	—	01-21 12:44
will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 6	1	$2.3K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	01-05 18:47
will bitcoin dip to 63k on april 6	2	$2.3K	2,293	0	+2,293	open	—	04-06 22:02
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 1	2	$2.3K	2,290	0	+2,290	open	—	04-01 20:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 27	1	$2.3K	2,279	0	+2,279	open	—	03-27 08:50
bitcoin above 64k on march 26	2	$2.3K	2,278	0	+2,278	open	—	03-26 07:11
will bitcoin dip to 80k december 29 january 4	2	$2.2K	2,251	0	+2,251	open	—	01-03 22:17
will bitcoin reach 74k on march 26	1	$2.2K	2,240	0	+2,240	open	—	03-26 21:45
will bitcoin reach 84k february 9 15	41	$2.2K	1,685	535	+1,150	open	—	02-14 13:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 4	2	$2.2K	2,214	0	+2,214	open	—	03-04 14:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 30	2	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	01-29 12:56
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 10	1	$2.1K	2,104	0	+2,104	open	—	04-10 23:05
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 9	2	$2.1K	2,102	0	+2,102	open	—	01-08 18:28
bitcoin above 62k on march 20	1	$2.1K	2,063	0	+2,063	open	—	03-19 21:38
ethereum above 1800 on march 17	1	$2.0K	2,001	0	+2,001	open	—	03-16 18:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 24	8	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	open	—	02-23 22:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 27	13	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	open	—	02-26 20:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 7	2	$2.0K	1,983	0	+1,983	open	—	02-06 21:11
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 92000 on february 6	2	$2.0K	1,981	0	+1,981	open	—	02-04 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 17:58:54	will databricks valuation hit high 300b by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x529d98…
08-19 05:54:48	will databricks valuation hit high 300b by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xf141a0…
08-19 05:54:48	will databricks valuation hit high 300b by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x2c1a46…
08-16 00:29:18	will epic games valuation hit high 25b by december 31	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xa4fb70…
08-15 10:44:55	will epic games valuation hit high 25b by december 31	No	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xf20e68…
08-15 08:38:46	gmgn fdv above 1b one day after launch	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xcacc34…
08-14 18:32:16	will epic games valuation hit high 25b by december 31	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x881599…
08-13 06:37:09	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x521916…
08-13 01:11:12	will meta reach 700 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x2ddc20…
08-12 23:51:15	will meta reach 720 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x60302c…
08-12 17:02:18	will meta reach 700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd67cdb…
08-12 13:56:33	will meta reach 680 in august 2026	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0xe6920d…
08-12 13:23:24	will meta reach 720 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x7b2006…
08-12 13:20:06	will abnb dip to 128 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x08ce49…
08-12 05:37:27	will abnb dip to 128 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa82489…
08-11 10:08:48	will meta reach 720 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xdc89d4…
08-10 06:43:28	bitcoin above 62k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9e59d5…
08-09 23:36:06	will epic games valuation hit high 25b by december 31	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0xfbba1e…
08-09 14:23:40	will epic games valuation hit high 25b by december 31	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xdfde77…
08-09 11:37:09	will epic games valuation hit high 30b by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x41ad16…
08-08 23:44:39	will epic games valuation hit high 25b by december 31	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x2245ee…
08-08 21:23:04	will epic games valuation hit high 25b by december 31	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x6cd598…
08-08 17:14:58	will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by december 31	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x831ba0…
08-07 11:44:31	will abnb dip to 120 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xf4535e…
08-07 09:17:37	will abnb dip to 120 in august 2026	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x42604e…
08-06 20:54:23	will abnb dip to 120 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xdf7257…
08-06 20:05:42	will abnb dip to 120 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xb6f2e2…
08-06 20:05:42	will abnb dip to 120 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xb6f2e2…
08-06 19:35:15	will abnb dip to 120 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x3889ae…
08-06 13:26:42	will epic games valuation hit high 25b by december 31	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x3eb9a9…
08-06 10:02:23	will epic games valuation hit high 30b by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xafd650…
08-06 00:20:23	will neuralinks valuation hit low 25b by december 31	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0xd3492e…
08-05 22:04:47	will abnb dip to 120 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xcf4b40…
08-05 19:46:56	will epic games valuation hit high 25b by december 31	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x839021…
08-05 09:49:39	will meta dip to 460 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xfe7f67…
08-05 08:55:50	will epic games valuation hit high 30b by december 31	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0xdb6f6c…
08-04 19:30:57	will meta reach 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x9dea1a…
08-04 14:06:21	will meta reach 720 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xa8bfcd…
08-04 13:35:08	will spy dip to 715 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xfd035a…
08-04 13:24:56	will meta reach 700 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x414add…
08-04 13:24:50	will abnb dip to 124 in august 2026	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x273fb9…
08-04 10:41:05	will meta reach 720 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xa98754…
08-04 09:34:00	will abnb dip to 124 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x01b4fb…
08-04 09:30:54	will epic games valuation hit high 25b by december 31	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xf80c98…
08-04 08:28:06	will epic games valuation hit high 25b by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xc62c94…
08-04 00:52:27	will abnb dip to 124 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x906dac…
08-03 20:38:42	will spy dip to 715 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x37b49c…
08-03 18:11:00	will spy dip to 715 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf4568d…
08-03 13:47:30	will meta reach 700 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x8ef3b8…
08-03 13:33:47	will meta reach 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x521002…
08-03 09:50:45	will meta dip to 460 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xcf593d…
08-03 08:11:41	will abnb dip to 124 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x4980ed…
08-02 00:04:15	will epic games valuation hit high 20b by december 31	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xa86878…
08-01 18:22:11	will abnb dip to 124 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x981040…
08-01 18:22:06	will abnb dip to 124 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x602839…
08-01 17:31:57	will abnb dip to 124 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe1888c…
07-29 17:41:32	will databricks valuation hit high 300b by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x5d34e5…
07-28 09:53:01	bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x12127d…
07-28 06:13:03	bitcoin above 58k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xd7add2…
07-27 05:41:07	bitcoin above 68k on july 27 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0b9e92…
07-27 05:40:42	bitcoin above 62k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa870a4…
07-26 21:32:16	will databricks valuation hit low 125b by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7e9b9a…
07-26 21:32:13	will databricks valuation hit low 125b by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x9110b4…
07-26 10:31:42	will databricks valuation hit low 125b by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xafba76…
07-24 18:23:40	will nflx dip to 52 50 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xab6d9c…
07-24 16:29:55	will mu dip to 660 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x1e3a3e…
07-24 16:29:39	will mu dip to 630 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x00c169…
07-24 16:29:13	will mu dip to 660 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x85888e…
07-24 16:29:00	will mu dip to 690 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xfe802a…
07-23 20:53:33	gmgn fdv above 1b one day after launch	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x46d5ad…
07-23 20:52:28	gmgn fdv above 1b one day after launch	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0xf7b5a8…
07-23 20:40:22	gmgn fdv above 1b one day after launch	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x0ba8ef…
07-23 18:25:42	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 23	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcca167…
07-23 18:25:15	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 23	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x20d674…
07-23 18:11:37	will databricks valuation hit high 250b by december 31	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x2987cf…
07-23 18:11:16	will databricks valuation hit high 250b by december 31	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x6706ad…
07-23 13:45:10	will mu dip to 690 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xc66056…
07-23 07:20:10	will databricks valuation hit high 250b by december 31	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x0f5fa3…
07-22 20:10:58	will mu dip to 660 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x79cd83…
07-22 17:36:04	will mu dip to 660 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x88c77d…
07-22 17:34:30	will mu dip to 630 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xf06fc1…
07-21 20:13:55	gmgn fdv above 1b one day after launch	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xda989f…
07-21 17:49:36	gmgn fdv above 1b one day after launch	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xf7bbef…
07-21 17:20:24	gmgn fdv above 1b one day after launch	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x1718ed…
07-21 03:37:58	will mu dip to 660 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x49dfdf…
07-20 20:47:09	will mu dip to 660 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	49	7¢	$3	0xad433f…
07-20 15:16:01	will mu dip to 630 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x630e80…
07-20 14:46:19	will mu dip to 660 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x339a2d…
07-20 13:56:33	will mu dip to 630 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xaa5793…
07-20 11:57:52	gmgn fdv above 900m one day after launch	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x2fc767…
07-20 10:43:00	will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x52ad61…
07-20 09:09:36	gmgn fdv above 900m one day after launch	No	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0x7cf6bc…
07-20 08:58:57	gmgn fdv above 900m one day after launch	No	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0x12beba…
07-20 07:35:27	gmgn fdv above 900m one day after launch	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x47d00e…
07-19 21:42:09	will nflx dip to 52 50 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xef0bb3…
07-19 15:32:54	will mu dip to 660 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x9f75c5…
07-19 09:30:10	will mu dip to 660 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf8e2d9…
07-19 07:29:45	will mu dip to 660 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xfdd34f…
07-18 05:56:46	will nflx dip to 52 50 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xeaeadf…
07-17 16:25:46	gmgn fdv above 900m one day after launch	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xe2e48a…