Finished-Onion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-30 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 100% +$1

Other

25% 75% +$12

Sports

11% — —

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	6	$695	348	348	+0	open	—	01-18 12:37
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$441	221	221	+0	open	—	02-13 10:35
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$235	118	118	+0	open	—	03-09 07:42
will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	2	$234	117	117	+0	open	—	03-24 09:41
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	2	$233	117	117	+0	open	—	03-18 03:47
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$233	117	117	+0	open	—	03-20 03:47
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$233	117	117	+0	open	—	03-20 04:15
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$233	117	117	+0	open	—	03-18 04:15
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	2	$232	117	117	+0	open	—	01-18 10:55
will nicolai hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$228	115	115	+0	open	—	03-27 08:33
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$228	114	114	+0	open	—	03-28 06:06
will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$228	114	114	+0	open	—	03-27 08:51
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	2	$228	114	114	+0	open	—	03-28 06:24
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$220	111	111	+0	open	—	02-10 07:29
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$217	109	109	+0	open	—	03-02 12:32
will tony finau win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$207	104	104	+0	open	—	03-17 06:37
will tiger woods win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$207	104	104	+0	open	—	03-17 06:54
Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$204	103	103	+0	open	—	04-11 04:18
Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$204	102	102	+0	open	—	04-11 04:40
Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$204	102	102	+0	open	—	04-11 05:12
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$197	99	99	+0	open	—	01-16 04:11
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$197	99	99	+0	open	—	01-16 04:34
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$197	99	99	+0	open	—	01-17 06:22
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$191	96	96	+0	No	$-0	04-08 04:42
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$165	83	83	+0	open	—	04-25 06:01
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$165	83	83	+0	open	—	04-25 06:19
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$155	78	78	+0	open	—	04-23 03:47
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	2	$155	78	78	+0	open	—	04-23 04:06
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$146	73	73	+0	open	—	04-24 09:46
aapl above 320 on june 30 2026	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	06-30 09:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 09:06:31	aapl above 320 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xbdd1d3…
06-12 11:48:00	will ng reach 3 80 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x78dfa5…
05-31 06:46:47	LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Top Esports	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x087c41…
05-28 07:22:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x449d9e…
05-28 06:54:42	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x4b9c98…
05-26 05:47:58	Kosice: Jay Clarke vs Milos Karol	Milos Karol	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x4cb6b2…
05-25 04:16:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xba2425…
05-25 04:04:44	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xaa3a44…
05-24 06:43:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x4fcda5…
05-24 06:35:43	Basket Zaragoza vs. CB Murcia	CB Murcia	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe02b6b…
05-23 06:58:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x275431…
05-23 06:50:08	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xe2c442…
05-22 11:08:23	amzn above 240 on may 22 2026	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x2c6e21…
05-21 07:25:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x2cc14c…
05-20 12:24:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x0f37c9…
05-19 08:36:51	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x331613…
05-17 06:27:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x536563…
05-16 06:50:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Coco Gauff	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0xe8f145…
05-15 08:59:06	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 11 above $370?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xb3686a…
05-14 11:47:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xd7c1d3…
05-14 11:26:05	Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Virtus.pro	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc4b22a…
05-13 09:37:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x9171bf…
05-11 04:36:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x33c8a2…
05-10 05:57:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xd35a2b…
05-09 10:47:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x45b2fe…
05-08 07:18:50	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $670 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$88	0xb35111…
05-08 07:16:09	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	100 Thieves	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x8b6b00…
05-07 07:58:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x16e1c6…
05-06 05:10:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x8e559b…
05-06 05:06:28	Francavilla: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Gustavo Heide	Gustavo Heide	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x1e6434…
05-05 06:46:18	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 5?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x697d61…
05-03 07:03:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x49cf5e…
05-01 07:26:34	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x0906bc…
04-30 06:28:00	Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in April?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x975ade…
04-28 03:54:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 28?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$90	0x27c0b0…
04-26 10:09:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x1ba4d1…
04-26 09:50:10	Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xaea82b…
04-25 06:22:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$82	0xcf91dc…
04-25 06:19:16	Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$82	0x9bfc63…
04-25 06:03:02	Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x99737c…
04-25 06:01:54	Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x0e3163…
04-25 05:45:46	Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xcad560…
04-24 10:13:12	ethereum above 2500 on april 24	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xb4a3bb…
04-24 09:46:50	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x8175a2…
04-24 09:24:14	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xecfb25…
04-24 09:21:08	Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Clement Tabur	Kilian Feldbausch	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xebdc7b…
04-23 04:08:30	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xc833f4…
04-23 04:06:48	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$77	0x141317…
04-23 03:48:18	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$77	0x4446fe…
04-23 03:47:20	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$77	0x4ab0e6…
04-23 03:30:56	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x1ca576…
04-22 05:39:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 22	No	BUY	78	100¢	$77	0x7f5676…
04-21 10:27:36	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x080300…
04-21 09:46:54	dota2 vp mouz 2026 04 21	Virtus.pro	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0xa18e57…
04-20 11:09:16	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 20	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x82f5c2…
04-20 09:38:00	Gwangju: Rio Noguchi vs Alexis Galarneau	Rio Noguchi	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x916012…
04-19 12:48:58	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x9adc85…
04-17 06:29:46	ethereum above 2500 on april 17	Yes	BUY	950	0¢	$4	0x355b27…
04-17 06:27:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x0b8be1…
04-17 03:30:18	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,625	0¢	$3	0x5f54c0…
04-17 03:29:32	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	Yes	BUY	953	0¢	$3	0xa58c26…
04-17 03:22:28	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	Yes	BUY	1,550	0¢	$3	0xa81dee…
04-16 04:50:36	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 16	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xdf844e…
04-15 11:50:22	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x525d8f…
04-14 12:50:05	ethereum above 2200 on april 14	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x7ed158…
04-13 09:06:15	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xa83cb1…
04-12 11:56:35	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 12	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x6b494a…
04-11 05:17:39	bitcoin above 68k on april 11	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x32cadf…
04-11 05:12:41	Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x49f3db…
04-11 04:43:19	Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xe1fd20…
04-11 04:40:33	Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x40f1d6…
04-11 04:20:47	Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x58404b…
04-11 04:18:43	Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$102	0x29424a…
04-11 04:01:43	Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x0ed0ae…
04-11 03:58:37	wta andreev ruse 2026 04 11	Gabriela Ruse	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x749c4c…
04-09 11:09:43	bitcoin above 68k on april 9	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xb14191…
04-08 04:53:09	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 8	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x5415e8…
04-08 04:42:49	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$95	0xbf4ffb…
04-08 03:37:51	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0xea8fcd…
04-07 07:30:17	ethereum above 2300 on april 7	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0x939411…
04-07 06:47:53	nba mil bkn 2026 04 07	Nets	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0xb2010d…
04-06 09:36:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 6	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x1bce99…
04-05 04:19:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 5	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x1db0fd…
04-04 11:29:51	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xa619c2…
04-04 11:25:35	ufc eth1 raf4 2026 04 04	Rafael Estevam	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x8d7a63…
04-03 03:34:57	ethereum above 1800 on april 3	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x5dd071…
04-02 03:33:47	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 2	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0xffad7a…
04-01 11:51:03	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xcf4881…
03-31 06:26:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xce44aa…
03-31 05:34:43	mlb nym stl 2026 03 31	New York Mets	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x7297e7…
03-30 07:06:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 30	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xf864ec…
03-29 12:10:10	ethereum above 1800 on march 29	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0xf83379…
03-29 01:56:00	will bitcoin dip to 64k on march 28	No	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0x41bf6c…
03-28 06:33:27	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	No	BUY	705	0¢	$1	0x45bb66…
03-28 06:32:05	ethereum above 1800 on march 28	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x9094d3…
03-28 06:30:07	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 28	Yes	BUY	655	0¢	$1	0x50e12a…
03-28 06:28:03	cs2 hero cs1 2026 03 28	Heroic	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x447683…
03-28 06:24:57	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x97731c…
03-28 06:07:55	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xde0371…
03-28 06:06:59	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x226cf7…