Crafty-Lane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

89.6%

Resolved

579

Trades

879

lifetime

Volume

$4.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-05 03:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 100% -$4

Other

19% 96% -$4

Sports

6% 12% +$0

Tech

1% 67% -$4

Politics

0% 90% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		+5	$4	99¢	$5	+$1	07-16 05:27
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+5	$3	8¢	$0	-$3	05-17 08:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will hunter goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914315	8	$266	145	145	+0	No	+$0	07-18 15:32
will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 8	1	$208	208	0	+208	No	+$0	01-06 20:36
bitcoin above 98k on january 25	3	$198	100	98	+2	No	+$0	01-24 18:44
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	47	$195	75,000	70,166	+4,834	No	-$5	02-26 12:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	207	$182	1,455	1,455	+0	open	—	06-08 05:18
solana above 80 on january 5	2	$105	105	0	+105	Yes	+$0	01-04 21:24
bitcoin above 84k on march 23	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	03-22 03:52
bitcoin above 84k on march 24	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	03-22 03:52
will rklb dip to 62 by september 28 2026	2	$73	40	40	+0	No	-$2	09-28 06:23
will xauusd dip to 3950 by september 28 2026	3	$73	40	40	+0	No	-$2	09-28 06:30
will solana dip to 90 december 29 january 4	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	01-04 21:26
will bitcoin dip to 78k january 12 18	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	01-15 15:17
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	3	$45	22,336	22,336	+0	No	+$0	05-20 18:15
will ng dip to 2 70 by october 5 2026	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	$0	10-05 03:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 15:23
will ethereum reach 2300 june 8 14 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-10 06:20
solana above 140 on february 15	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	02-11 10:49
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	3	$29	15	14	+1	No	+$0	01-26 09:19
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$25	20	20	+0	No	-$4	06-02 08:19
will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	2	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	02-27 14:57
solana above 140 on february 14	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	02-11 10:48
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	3	$21	10,001	10,000	+1	No	+$0	01-28 04:02
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	5	$20	10,000	10,000	+0	No	$0	01-26 08:20
will ethereum dip to 2600 january 12 18	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-15 15:18
will bitcoin reach 90k february 2 8	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-06 13:12
bitcoin above 84k on february 6	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-06 13:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 10?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-08 15:23
nvda above 235 on july 24 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-24 13:42
bitcoin above 100k on january 15	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	01-15 15:13
Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 9?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	08-06 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 03:43:05	will ng dip to 2 70 by october 5 2026	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xe26a5a…
10-05 03:30:11	will ng dip to 2 70 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0a81e0…
09-28 06:30:27	will xauusd dip to 3950 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	40	89¢	$35	0x03034f…
09-28 06:28:39	will xauusd dip to 3950 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x69d934…
09-28 06:28:38	will xauusd dip to 3950 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x7350e2…
09-28 06:23:14	will rklb dip to 62 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x1eb13d…
09-28 05:31:23	will rklb dip to 62 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xdd092b…
09-13 03:04:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdae6d3…
09-13 03:04:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd94fb9…
09-01 11:19:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x43a4d3…
09-01 11:19:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x65205a…
09-01 11:19:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8dbd3f…
08-17 13:37:07	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on August 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c3776…
08-17 13:36:54	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on August 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcda35f…
08-17 13:36:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9cf13…
08-17 13:35:19	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1ee397…
08-06 12:42:54	ethereum above 2100 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc75fdf…
08-06 12:42:21	will solana reach 110 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d42f7…
08-06 12:41:50	will ethereum dip to 1200 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff7ad0…
08-06 12:41:23	will bitcoin reach 76k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d890a…
08-06 12:40:32	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4e3f09…
08-06 12:39:59	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x758f34…
08-06 12:39:36	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8db42…
08-06 12:38:48	bitcoin above 74k on august 9 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb59382…
08-06 12:38:27	bitcoin above 74k on august 8 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x231648…
08-06 12:38:11	bitcoin above 70k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x469da1…
08-02 02:12:17	will ethereum reach 2100 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1356f…
08-02 02:11:57	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f7461…
07-24 13:42:54	nvda above 235 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x00023a…
07-24 13:42:34	googl above 375 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65360c…
07-24 13:42:00	will aapl dip to 308 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdcebf2…
07-24 13:41:18	will pltr reach 150 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f948f…
07-24 13:41:00	will open reach 6 00 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c25c5…
07-24 13:40:43	will nvda reach 228 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x566e0f…
07-24 13:40:21	will googl reach 380 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5a35a1…
07-24 13:40:01	will meta reach 710 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdcad60…
07-24 13:39:45	will amzn reach 272 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa09d31…
07-24 13:39:25	will ng reach 3 40 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7a73fb…
07-24 13:39:01	will xauusd reach 4250 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7ff373…
07-24 13:38:48	will spy reach 770 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x434f58…
07-24 13:38:07	ethereum above 1500 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ad5b5…
07-24 13:37:52	ethereum above 2100 on july 25 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd9b6a…
07-24 13:37:18	bitcoin above 74k on july 27 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f3389…
07-24 13:37:07	bitcoin above 72k on july 26 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf91c0e…
07-24 13:36:57	bitcoin above 70k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x85e47c…
07-18 15:32:33	will hunter goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914315	No	SELL	130	92¢	$119	0xce35b7…
07-16 05:31:26	bitcoin above 74k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb95e44…
07-16 05:30:50	bitcoin above 72k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ee504…
07-16 05:30:28	bitcoin above 72k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca4b22…
07-16 05:30:14	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xae9f13…
07-16 05:27:41	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x06641c…
07-10 02:09:11	will hunter goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914315	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xbe6784…
07-03 03:30:46	StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x2f0900…
07-03 03:30:22	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x8de72c…
07-03 03:21:32	will hunter goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914315	No	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0x5cbd32…
07-03 02:32:52	will hunter goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914315	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x1cf018…
07-03 02:32:05	will hunter goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914315	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf91b6f…
07-03 02:30:11	will hunter goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914315	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc089b7…
07-03 02:27:47	will munetaka murakami hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914324	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xf48f9d…
07-03 02:27:10	will munetaka murakami hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914324	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x85c208…
07-03 02:26:58	will munetaka murakami hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914324	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x1ebc3b…
07-03 02:26:31	will juan soto hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914334	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1fe78a…
07-03 02:24:16	will junior caminero hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914310	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x82bd85…
07-03 02:24:10	will juan soto hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914334	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd19db4…
07-03 02:23:53	will junior caminero hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914310	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xc8178b…
07-03 02:22:40	will cj abrams hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914327	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x457551…
07-03 02:22:31	will jordan walker hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914331	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x8a3daf…
07-03 02:21:50	will cj abrams hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914327	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3a0d20…
07-03 02:21:50	will jordan walker hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914331	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x22f05f…
07-03 02:00:35	will andy pages hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914337	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x274e73…
07-03 02:00:26	will andy pages hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914337	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7cb661…
07-03 01:45:31	will mike trout hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914335	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x9de289…
07-03 01:44:46	will mike trout hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914335	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x50ccfc…
06-26 07:20:35	tsla above 430 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39c71e…
06-26 07:20:05	will tsla reach 450 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe97f0a…
06-26 07:19:46	meta above 640 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13bc61…
06-26 07:19:23	will xauusd reach 4450 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fecd6…
06-26 07:18:23	will nvda reach 228 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5b532f…
06-26 07:17:35	will spy reach 765 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6dfca2…
06-26 07:16:44	will aapl reach 308 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a07ed…
06-19 09:05:11	ethereum above 2100 on june 21 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0e287…
06-19 09:04:53	ethereum above 1900 on june 20 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x68e1df…
06-10 06:20:19	will ethereum reach 2300 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf72ce3…
06-10 06:20:00	will bitcoin reach 76k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8be158…
06-10 06:19:13	Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d620a…
06-10 06:19:00	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e36b1…
06-10 06:18:42	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcced34…
06-10 06:18:07	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on June 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ef2c6…
06-10 06:17:40	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on June 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7eb2e…
06-10 06:17:13	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,200 on June 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbcc052…
06-10 06:16:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x45d961…
06-10 06:16:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe254d6…
06-10 06:16:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80b595…
06-10 06:14:46	solana above 110 on june 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf0984…
06-10 06:14:36	solana above 100 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7ac413…
06-10 06:14:21	solana above 110 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d2ec9…
06-10 06:14:10	solana above 80 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa598ff…
06-10 06:13:46	ethereum above 2100 on june 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f07d1…
06-10 06:13:33	ethereum above 2100 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xec5165…
06-10 06:13:09	bitcoin above 70k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x222930…