Crafty-Lane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

729

lifetime

Volume

$3.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-18 15:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 100% +$0

Other

14% — —

Sports

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+5	$5	92¢	$5	+$0	07-16 05:27
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	No	-5	$-4	82¢	$-4	+$0	07-03 03:30
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	-5	$-3	61¢	$-3	+$0	07-03 03:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will hunter goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914315	8	$266	145	145	+0	open	—	07-18 15:32
will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 8	1	$208	208	0	+208	open	—	01-06 20:36
bitcoin above 98k on january 25	3	$198	100	98	+2	open	—	01-24 18:44
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	47	$195	75,000	70,166	+4,834	open	—	02-26 12:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	207	$182	1,455	1,455	+0	open	—	06-08 05:18
solana above 80 on january 5	2	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	01-04 21:24
bitcoin above 84k on march 23	1	$80	80	0	+80	open	—	03-22 03:52
bitcoin above 84k on march 24	1	$80	80	0	+80	open	—	03-22 03:52
will solana dip to 90 december 29 january 4	1	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	01-04 21:26
will bitcoin dip to 78k january 12 18	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	01-15 15:17
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	3	$45	22,336	22,336	+0	open	—	05-20 18:15
will ethereum reach 2300 june 8 14 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	06-10 06:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 15:23
solana above 140 on february 15	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	02-11 10:49
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	3	$29	15	14	+1	open	—	01-26 09:19
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	06-02 08:19
will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	2	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	02-27 14:57
solana above 140 on february 14	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	02-11 10:48
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	3	$21	10,001	10,000	+1	open	—	01-28 04:02
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	5	$20	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	01-26 08:20
will bitcoin reach 90k february 2 8	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-06 13:12
bitcoin above 84k on february 6	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-06 13:03
will ethereum dip to 2600 january 12 18	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-15 15:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 10?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-08 15:23
bitcoin above 100k on january 15	2	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	01-15 15:13
ethereum above 1900 on june 20 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	06-19 09:04
will junior caminero hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914310	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	07-03 02:24
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 21?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	05-19 04:51
will tsla reach 450 by june 22 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-26 07:20
ethereum above 2100 on june 21 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-19 09:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 15:32:33	will hunter goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914315	No	SELL	130	92¢	$119	0xce35b7…
07-16 05:31:26	bitcoin above 74k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb95e44…
07-16 05:30:50	bitcoin above 72k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ee504…
07-16 05:30:28	bitcoin above 72k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca4b22…
07-16 05:30:14	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xae9f13…
07-16 05:27:41	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x06641c…
07-10 02:09:11	will hunter goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914315	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xbe6784…
07-03 03:30:46	StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x2f0900…
07-03 03:30:22	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x8de72c…
07-03 03:21:32	will hunter goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914315	No	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0x5cbd32…
07-03 02:32:52	will hunter goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914315	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x1cf018…
07-03 02:32:05	will hunter goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914315	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf91b6f…
07-03 02:30:11	will hunter goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914315	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc089b7…
07-03 02:27:47	will munetaka murakami hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914324	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xf48f9d…
07-03 02:27:10	will munetaka murakami hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914324	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x85c208…
07-03 02:26:58	will munetaka murakami hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914324	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x1ebc3b…
07-03 02:26:31	will juan soto hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914334	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1fe78a…
07-03 02:24:16	will junior caminero hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914310	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x82bd85…
07-03 02:24:10	will juan soto hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914334	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd19db4…
07-03 02:23:53	will junior caminero hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914310	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xc8178b…
07-03 02:22:40	will cj abrams hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914327	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x457551…
07-03 02:22:31	will jordan walker hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914331	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x8a3daf…
07-03 02:21:50	will cj abrams hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914327	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3a0d20…
07-03 02:21:50	will jordan walker hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914331	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x22f05f…
07-03 02:00:35	will andy pages hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914337	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x274e73…
07-03 02:00:26	will andy pages hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914337	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7cb661…
07-03 01:45:31	will mike trout hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914335	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x9de289…
07-03 01:44:46	will mike trout hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914335	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x50ccfc…
06-26 07:20:35	tsla above 430 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39c71e…
06-26 07:20:05	will tsla reach 450 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe97f0a…
06-26 07:19:46	meta above 640 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13bc61…
06-26 07:19:23	will xauusd reach 4450 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fecd6…
06-26 07:18:23	will nvda reach 228 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5b532f…
06-26 07:17:35	will spy reach 765 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6dfca2…
06-26 07:16:44	will aapl reach 308 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a07ed…
06-19 09:05:11	ethereum above 2100 on june 21 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0e287…
06-19 09:04:53	ethereum above 1900 on june 20 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x68e1df…
06-10 06:20:19	will ethereum reach 2300 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf72ce3…
06-10 06:20:00	will bitcoin reach 76k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8be158…
06-10 06:14:46	solana above 110 on june 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf0984…
06-10 06:14:36	solana above 100 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7ac413…
06-10 06:14:21	solana above 110 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d2ec9…
06-10 06:14:10	solana above 80 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa598ff…
06-10 06:13:46	ethereum above 2100 on june 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f07d1…
06-10 06:13:33	ethereum above 2100 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xec5165…
06-10 06:13:09	bitcoin above 70k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x222930…
06-10 06:12:54	bitcoin above 70k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x624918…
06-08 05:18:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x58b478…
06-08 05:18:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xac0fbc…
06-08 05:18:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x9b8b46…
06-08 05:18:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xb5ee92…
06-08 05:17:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x604a96…
06-08 05:17:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x474254…
06-08 05:17:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xe4950c…
06-08 05:16:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x0a33ac…
06-08 05:16:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x9479f8…
06-08 05:16:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x181b96…
06-08 05:16:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x406b30…
06-08 05:16:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0xf0fcf0…
06-08 05:16:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	6¢	$3	0xe116de…
06-08 05:16:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0xbc18f9…
06-08 05:16:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	6¢	$3	0x53f85e…
06-08 05:16:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0x376b3c…
06-08 05:12:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xc937be…
06-08 05:12:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x69e945…
06-08 05:12:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xd627c6…
06-08 05:11:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xbca1cf…
06-08 05:11:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x7a580f…
06-08 05:11:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x6e11c7…
06-08 05:11:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xe97546…
06-08 05:11:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x6db6ac…
06-08 05:10:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x7eaae4…
06-08 05:10:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xe758ac…
06-08 05:10:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x1a6bca…
06-08 05:09:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xaf46b8…
06-08 05:09:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xa8a763…
06-08 05:09:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x3af311…
06-08 05:09:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xd2013f…
06-08 05:09:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x3bb75e…
06-08 05:08:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xdf1131…
06-08 05:08:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xc5f3bf…
06-08 05:07:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x9f5da6…
06-08 05:07:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x9c265a…
06-08 05:07:04	solana above 100 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64a2d3…
06-08 05:06:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xd0d82e…
06-08 05:06:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xabf385…
06-08 05:06:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xe104b5…
06-08 05:06:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x0307ca…
06-08 05:06:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x18f067…
06-08 05:05:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x77ff7a…
06-08 05:05:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x78f348…
06-08 05:05:18	ethereum above 2300 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb998e3…
06-08 05:05:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x35fb92…
06-08 05:05:03	ethereum above 2300 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a7cba…
06-08 05:04:52	ethereum above 2000 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3df65e…
06-08 05:04:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x0370dc…
06-08 05:04:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x0c6b25…
06-08 05:04:36	bitcoin above 72k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d656f…
06-08 05:04:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x21eb94…
06-08 05:04:24	bitcoin above 74k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e9342…