Twin-Woodshed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

Trades

312

lifetime

Volume

$4.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 05-20 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

66% 67% +$0

Crypto

26% 83% +$0

Politics

6% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	2	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	04-12 23:29
highest temperature in milan on april 1 2026 20corhigher	1	$64	65	0	+65	open	—	04-01 10:45
will paul hounkp be the next president of benin	3	$63	31	31	+0	open	—	04-17 22:07
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 27 be between 3000000 and 3200000	1	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	03-27 02:14
highest temperature in houston on april 11 2026 70 71f	1	$59	59	0	+59	open	—	04-11 04:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	05-17 23:23
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 16?	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	05-16 21:09
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt0	1	$54	54	0	+54	open	—	04-02 04:31
Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	04-20 06:09
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	3	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-30 04:41
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 12c	3	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-22 12:40
Will there be 8 or more major space weather events this week?	6	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-24 17:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 2?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-02 09:37
highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 24c	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-26 11:43
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on April 26?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-26 10:31
highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 64 65f	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-24 16:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 18?	5	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	05-18 08:55
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	6	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-24 10:15
highest temperature in houston on april 20 2026 82 83f	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-20 07:15
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 21 2026 31c	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-21 22:01
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 5?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-05 20:14
Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 21:14
highest temperature in wuhan on april 4 2026 29c	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	04-04 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on April 27?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 05:59
highest temperature in austin on april 19 2026 84 85f	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-20 06:12
highest temperature in seattle on april 17 2026 68 69f	3	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	04-17 11:25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 26?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-26 10:33
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 23corbelow	2	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-23 08:41
highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 73forbelow	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-20 06:13
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 5	2	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-05 13:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 06:29:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x79e28a…
05-20 03:15:11	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7993d7…
05-19 20:44:49	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x121e7e…
05-19 19:25:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd1eda9…
05-19 18:22:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf1cb95…
05-19 17:56:56	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 20?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x96dadb…
05-19 17:35:54	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd18eb8…
05-19 14:27:28	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x857075…
05-19 14:24:45	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x349151…
05-19 14:13:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfdb446…
05-19 14:08:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbd0275…
05-19 13:29:01	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10df31…
05-19 10:14:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x38ea1c…
05-19 05:40:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5f0b08…
05-19 04:34:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xc85fed…
05-18 21:25:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x113067…
05-18 09:42:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe0c123…
05-18 09:17:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x55bc07…
05-18 08:55:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 18?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x40d29c…
05-18 08:37:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5c8741…
05-18 08:35:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x168544…
05-18 08:29:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2f1cc2…
05-18 08:28:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5d6923…
05-18 08:05:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe4d62e…
05-18 05:07:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 18?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x89d7ba…
05-18 03:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb85f34…
05-17 23:23:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x5ec3a8…
05-17 21:41:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1effb2…
05-17 18:19:41	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4afdf6…
05-17 16:24:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5c8a14…
05-17 12:05:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3cdff9…
05-17 12:04:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x48bc3a…
05-17 07:13:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x647043…
05-17 01:43:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x014ed7…
05-16 21:09:58	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x7d54c5…
05-16 15:28:27	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x209c9e…
05-15 15:47:34	Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x866d58…
05-15 14:05:35	Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdc91a3…
05-12 21:14:13	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0x0709cc…
05-11 16:08:32	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x82d37e…
05-11 14:52:23	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf3bc21…
05-11 08:01:57	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x2c46cf…
05-10 17:27:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe11f7e…
05-10 17:26:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x131a44…
05-09 22:42:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xef4508…
05-09 21:05:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7288eb…
05-09 20:25:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1ae1c4…
05-06 17:32:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 6?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x21a7dc…
05-06 09:02:52	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 7?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb3ed54…
05-06 04:34:22	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 7?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf21873…
05-05 20:14:02	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc8895b…
05-05 17:51:10	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x20431b…
05-05 14:11:50	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x89996b…
05-05 12:24:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd64191…
05-05 07:33:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x45b609…
05-04 20:05:04	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d3733…
05-02 22:41:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x0f1d2c…
05-02 13:25:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x73ffab…
05-02 09:37:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xad1b98…
05-01 22:53:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe40d87…
04-30 18:35:52	Will Opendoor reach $10 in April?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc9a6fe…
04-30 17:07:16	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdaea03…
04-30 15:08:54	Will Opendoor reach $10 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe170f8…
04-30 14:50:12	Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2e4511…
04-30 11:05:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x22f927…
04-30 04:41:34	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x7e34bb…
04-29 16:21:52	Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x136beb…
04-29 13:40:24	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfe27f8…
04-29 04:39:24	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xad1247…
04-28 22:56:30	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33ab47…
04-28 20:41:58	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe04ada…
04-27 14:48:06	Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7c01f…
04-27 11:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x548158…
04-27 07:38:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdd247d…
04-27 05:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on April 27?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe70c62…
04-27 04:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C or below on April 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe4476d…
04-27 02:36:10	Will "Apex" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe3280b…
04-26 17:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x53de2d…
04-26 14:48:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbbf9b7…
04-26 13:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x39612d…
04-26 13:00:36	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4cb698…
04-26 13:00:18	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 26?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8f41a4…
04-26 10:37:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on April 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x84327b…
04-26 10:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 26?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xba8a2c…
04-26 10:33:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 26?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc3c48c…
04-26 10:31:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on April 26?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x15e168…
04-26 08:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1e946e…
04-26 05:14:36	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x569b4a…
04-25 23:27:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on April 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c2d39…
04-25 20:02:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 26?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb57dab…
04-25 15:08:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on April 26?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2e5bf8…
04-25 13:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 26?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc32241…
04-25 03:26:28	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8a3d1e…
04-25 01:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7adddd…
04-24 19:52:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x32c512…
04-24 17:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc26baa…
04-24 17:10:44	Will there be 8 or more major space weather events this week?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x70bff6…
04-24 17:10:44	Will there be 8 or more major space weather events this week?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5e02d7…
04-24 17:10:34	Will there be 8 or more major space weather events this week?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x51e0f6…
04-24 17:10:26	Will there be 8 or more major space weather events this week?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa8c9d7…