Will the highest temperature in Austin be 55°F or below on May 10?
open
Total volume
$373
$10,225 in 24h
Trades
80
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$9,945
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 14:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $89 | $89 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | — | $251 | $251 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | — | $89 | $89 |
| Median | 10 | — | $201 | $201 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $50 | $50 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonely-Promotion 0xd676…a859 | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-08 04:42 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +56 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 05-09 03:53 |
| Athletic-Singer 0x8d2e…770b | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 09:45 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 4 | 05-08 11:24 |
| Skeletal-Someone 0x865a…907c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 14:03:16 | Twin-Woodshed 0x1bf8…4b52 | No | SELL | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x5e3379… |
| 05-09 03:54:30 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa68713… |
| 05-09 03:53:51 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 56 | 100¢ | $56 | 0xe2e6e0… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6959a2… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x66feb5… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4fd759… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcea4dc… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ba471… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b5a67… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87de7a… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x368e04… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5e840… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa63e09… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x23a95c… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xee15fa… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x26024b… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8717ad… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd17eec… |
| 05-09 03:51:33 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x906952… |
| 05-09 03:36:23 | Skeletal-Someone 0x865a…907c | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x27fdc5… |
| 05-09 02:05:12 | Husky-Golf 0x1041…f452 | Yes | SELL | 700 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xbf617d… |
| 05-09 00:30:44 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x10c0d8… |
| 05-09 00:30:44 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf05463… |
| 05-09 00:30:44 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0279d9… |
| 05-09 00:30:44 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xebd704… |
| 05-09 00:30:44 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0bebe1… |
| 05-09 00:30:35 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x66b116… |
| 05-09 00:30:35 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41d4f7… |
| 05-09 00:30:35 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4a8376… |
| 05-09 00:30:35 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x572b1e… |
| 05-09 00:30:35 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ea3fc… |
| 05-09 00:30:35 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8060f9… |
| 05-09 00:30:35 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e4e96… |
| 05-09 00:30:35 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xecaf22… |
| 05-09 00:30:35 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ec3d6… |
| 05-09 00:30:35 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x679974… |
| 05-09 00:30:35 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x083844… |
| 05-09 00:30:35 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x23e5bc… |
| 05-09 00:19:25 | Forceful-Encounter 0x8aa6…6316 | Yes | SELL | 874 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa973ac… |
| 05-08 19:24:55 | Elderly-Bug-Degree 0x6534…2e43 | Yes | SELL | 128 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6b484… |
| 05-08 16:47:22 | Grounded-Twist 0x6cf3…ae71 | Yes | SELL | 92 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa1621c… |
| 05-08 15:47:26 | Grounded-Twist 0x6cf3…ae71 | Yes | SELL | 590 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xdc624f… |
| 05-08 15:17:06 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf8a6a2… |
| 05-08 15:17:06 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf35f46… |
| 05-08 14:59:41 | Grounded-Twist 0x6cf3…ae71 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb06d37… |
| 05-08 14:55:15 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2f3f40… |
| 05-08 14:55:15 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2d72be… |
| 05-08 14:55:15 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x529466… |
| 05-08 14:55:15 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d9f8f… |
| 05-08 14:55:15 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93e30a… |
| 05-08 14:55:15 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ff936… |
| 05-08 14:55:15 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x818b15… |
| 05-08 11:24:34 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x562d12… |
| 05-08 11:14:35 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5d8e4… |
| 05-08 10:34:32 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x6acde2… |
| 05-08 10:34:20 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1404a… |
| 05-08 10:34:18 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3567c4… |
| 05-08 09:46:11 | Elderly-Bug-Degree 0x6534…2e43 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8cd791… |
| 05-08 09:45:57 | Athletic-Singer 0x8d2e…770b | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xcf8a6e… |
| 05-08 09:45:31 | Elderly-Bug-Degree 0x6534…2e43 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbebf97… |
| 05-08 09:09:21 | Elderly-Bug-Degree 0x6534…2e43 | Yes | SELL | 414 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf23537… |
| 05-08 07:45:28 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 82 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x18b83e… |
| 05-08 07:45:22 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x18b903… |
| 05-08 07:00:10 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x22685f… |
| 05-08 06:50:41 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbf6850… |
| 05-08 06:50:39 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe8a361… |
| 05-08 06:50:25 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa344b… |
| 05-08 06:50:15 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a40a9… |
| 05-08 06:50:13 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x80c729… |
| 05-08 06:44:58 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f0b5d… |
| 05-08 06:44:55 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa3b5f1… |
| 05-08 06:15:20 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x183708… |
| 05-08 06:08:39 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 392 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x331a9a… |
| 05-08 05:18:52 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x01d167… |
| 05-08 05:14:00 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x704e9a… |
| 05-08 05:04:22 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89f996… |
| 05-08 04:59:23 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e5528… |
| 05-08 04:59:23 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d7007… |
| 05-08 04:57:14 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ba213… |
| 05-08 04:42:19 | Lonely-Promotion 0xd676…a859 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xdbb2e4… |