Forceful-Encounter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$487

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

14.0%

Resolved

602

Trades

8,548

lifetime

Volume

$4.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 07-20 10:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

64% 13% -$282

Politics

19% 16% -$86

Crypto

8% 12% -$69

Sports

5% 0% -$24

Tech

4% 0% -$23

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-20).

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reinier de Ridder be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	+190	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	05-11 00:55
will openais valuation hit low 500b by december 31 785 717	Yes	+2	$0	2¢	$0	$0	06-12 15:50
Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	-$2	3¢	$0	+$2	05-19 09:37
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	-$1	0¢	$0	+$1	05-10 04:59
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	+0	$2	10¢	$0	-$2	05-22 03:54
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	No	+0	$1	9¢	$0	-$1	05-19 19:00
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+0	$6	6¢	$0	-$6	06-18 10:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	8	$221	330	330	+0	No	-$4	06-05 07:59
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	14	$167	572	572	+0	No	+$1	06-03 17:42
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	10	$164	793	793	+0	Yes	-$17	05-21 03:03
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$98	291	291	+0	Yes	-$3	05-21 13:19
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	2	$91	159	159	+0	No	-$2	05-19 16:44
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	2	$88	267	267	+0	No	-$3	05-19 17:19
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	2	$86	64	64	+0	open	—	05-20 22:59
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$86	468	468	+0	No	-$30	05-21 06:34
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	2	$85	78	78	+0	No	-$1	05-19 22:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$83	332	332	+0	No	-$3	05-19 17:04
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	4	$82	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	05-19 22:13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$82	67	67	+0	No	+$0	05-20 18:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$80	319	319	+0	No	-$16	05-21 04:18
will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	4	$80	215	215	+0	No	-$6	06-04 12:04
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	3	$80	306	306	+0	Yes	-$6	06-03 20:03
will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	7	$79	139	139	+0	No	-$1	06-09 14:51
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	2	$78	68	68	+0	No	$0	05-20 18:06
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	4	$78	246	246	+0	No	-$6	05-23 06:24
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	2	$75	66	66	+0	Yes	-$2	05-20 20:33
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$69	253	253	+0	Yes	-$12	05-19 23:18
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	22	$67	755	755	+0	open	—	05-10 08:47
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$63	82	82	+0	No	-$1	05-23 02:48
will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	2	$61	292	292	+0	No	-$9	06-04 12:45
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$58	85	85	+0	Yes	-$2	05-20 00:39
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	2	$56	215	215	+0	No	-$13	05-21 13:34
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	6	$56	134	134	+0	Yes	-$1	05-21 11:33
Chirayu Rana sued?	2	$55	203	203	+0	Yes	-$51	05-20 01:50
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	2	$54	171	171	+0	No	-$18	05-21 10:32
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	4	$53	55	55	+0	Yes	-$1	05-22 07:56
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	2	$53	55	55	+0	Yes	-$1	05-19 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 10:23:21	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0xe8032e…
06-29 13:42:13	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	41	23¢	$9	0x798fd9…
06-18 10:36:41	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	39	28¢	$11	0x46a041…
06-18 10:36:01	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	39	43¢	$17	0xcb369f…
06-15 09:57:09	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	Yes	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0x396ac2…
06-15 09:56:42	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x015405…
06-12 15:50:19	will openais valuation hit low 500b by december 31 785 717	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xa16c72…
06-12 15:50:15	will openais valuation hit low 500b by december 31 785 717	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x507dc8…
06-12 15:50:12	will openais valuation hit low 500b by december 31 785 717	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xff5ee2…
06-12 01:56:03	Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	Yes	SELL	21	64¢	$13	0xd152d3…
06-12 01:56:01	Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	Yes	BUY	21	65¢	$13	0x0782b5…
06-10 00:09:34	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	102	19¢	$19	0xa8ee58…
06-10 00:08:57	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	102	20¢	$20	0xe66fb0…
06-09 14:51:49	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	63	27¢	$17	0x8ec3ec…
06-09 14:51:19	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	61	29¢	$18	0xe9fe26…
06-09 14:51:12	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xc81f80…
06-09 14:51:09	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x90bd6e…
06-09 14:51:06	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x0f9759…
06-09 13:51:15	Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	18¢	$20	0xc4399e…
06-09 13:49:21	Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	18¢	$20	0xc0a517…
06-09 13:46:12	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	71	29¢	$21	0x2dae18…
06-09 13:42:58	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	71	29¢	$21	0xe1bba2…
06-08 11:27:06	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	48	33¢	$16	0xcc3057…
06-08 11:22:27	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0x2b8ced…
06-07 14:43:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	13¢	$9	0xfb74fb…
06-07 14:36:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	14¢	$9	0x5b0da6…
06-07 11:59:21	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x9de2b8…
06-07 11:57:12	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xa64331…
06-06 23:31:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	27¢	$19	0x70f621…
06-06 23:27:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	29¢	$20	0xcf750f…
06-06 04:16:54	will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xf8e34c…
06-06 04:13:42	will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9f4cd0…
06-06 03:54:36	will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x7b44b8…
06-06 03:54:31	will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x9b105a…
06-05 14:18:40	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	SELL	54	34¢	$18	0x98b5c9…
06-05 14:18:37	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	BUY	54	34¢	$18	0xd251e4…
06-05 07:59:28	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	Yes	SELL	90	21¢	$19	0xf78e8f…
06-05 07:58:33	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	Yes	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0xaf3e85…
06-05 01:27:49	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	52	35¢	$18	0x72d3da…
06-05 01:24:28	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	52	49¢	$26	0x72bbc8…
06-04 20:57:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	17¢	$9	0xa831c4…
06-04 20:55:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0xe3ac60…
06-04 20:55:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1cae29…
06-04 20:54:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xc6fb14…
06-04 20:54:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x6776c0…
06-04 18:06:49	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0xaa3b64…
06-04 18:02:15	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x7337da…
06-04 16:36:16	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xc02289…
06-04 16:33:27	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	49	14¢	$7	0x06749f…
06-04 16:33:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x867cc3…
06-04 16:33:24	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	49	17¢	$8	0xcb0f55…
06-04 12:45:07	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	Yes	SELL	292	9¢	$26	0x70655b…
06-04 12:44:52	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	Yes	BUY	292	12¢	$35	0x248b6c…
06-04 12:04:48	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	Yes	SELL	70	26¢	$18	0x47fcb8…
06-04 12:04:46	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	SELL	117	16¢	$18	0x77d157…
06-04 12:03:22	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	Yes	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0x731518…
06-04 12:01:01	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	SELL	97	19¢	$19	0xa8e572…
06-04 12:00:58	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	BUY	117	20¢	$23	0x25babc…
06-04 12:00:52	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	BUY	97	20¢	$19	0xd7d284…
06-04 08:53:27	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	Yes	SELL	112	31¢	$35	0x80dbff…
06-04 08:52:21	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	Yes	BUY	112	32¢	$36	0x929e26…
06-03 20:29:00	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	58	63¢	$36	0xe07f3b…
06-03 20:24:27	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	58	66¢	$38	0xd49ca8…
06-03 20:03:54	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	No	SELL	306	12¢	$37	0xd5a655…
06-03 19:59:57	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	No	BUY	170	14¢	$24	0x8419db…
06-03 19:59:57	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	No	BUY	136	14¢	$19	0x23d51e…
06-03 17:42:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	216	16¢	$35	0xa1db6b…
06-03 17:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xef8517…
06-03 17:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x59fb1b…
06-03 17:39:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x90a897…
06-03 17:32:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xe8763a…
06-03 17:31:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x1eee2e…
06-03 17:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	13¢	$5	0x0c61b8…
06-03 17:19:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x611e1a…
06-03 17:18:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x356cab…
06-03 17:18:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x4fdacb…
06-03 17:11:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xc0a674…
06-03 17:11:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xde98dc…
06-03 16:27:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	301	14¢	$42	0x9ebdb2…
06-03 16:27:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	301	16¢	$48	0x11cf24…
06-03 11:57:17	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9b46fd…
06-03 11:56:03	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x9715a0…
06-03 11:54:22	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x52fbb0…
06-03 11:31:18	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb4329b…
06-03 10:52:39	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x73bacf…
06-03 10:51:45	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xe01ae4…
06-03 09:48:34	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa1f680…
06-03 09:28:51	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x69786e…
06-03 08:45:18	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6b69b7…
06-03 08:41:54	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xf11a01…
06-03 08:32:18	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe27a18…
06-03 07:44:51	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x0471d4…
06-03 07:15:20	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc300a1…
06-03 07:06:47	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc9f7c1…
06-03 06:53:38	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x9b2c4e…
06-03 06:05:16	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x2b033d…
06-02 23:39:25	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xed14d7…
06-02 21:44:57	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x03ae4f…
06-02 21:44:01	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x862bd0…
06-02 21:39:21	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb27cbe…