Forceful-Encounter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

22.5%

Resolved

Trades

664

lifetime

Volume

$2.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-29 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-5

Politics

20% — —

Crypto

14% 13% $-30

Tech

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes		+0	$6	36¢	$0	$-6	06-18 10:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	8	$221	330	330	+0	open	—	06-05 07:59
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	9	$148	647	793	-146	open	—	05-21 03:03
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$98	291	291	+0	open	—	05-21 13:19
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	2	$91	159	159	+0	open	—	05-19 16:44
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	2	$88	267	267	+0	open	—	05-19 17:19
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$86	468	468	+0	open	—	05-21 06:34
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	2	$85	78	78	+0	open	—	05-19 22:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$83	332	332	+0	open	—	05-19 17:04
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	4	$82	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 22:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$80	319	319	+0	open	—	05-21 04:18
will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	4	$80	215	215	+0	open	—	06-04 12:04
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	3	$80	306	306	+0	open	—	06-03 20:03
will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	7	$79	139	139	+0	open	—	06-09 14:51
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	2	$78	68	68	+0	open	—	05-20 18:06
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	4	$78	246	246	+0	open	—	05-23 06:24
will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	2	$61	292	292	+0	open	—	06-04 12:45
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	2	$56	215	215	+0	open	—	05-21 13:34
Chirayu Rana sued?	2	$55	203	203	+0	open	—	05-20 01:50
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$54	60	82	-21	open	—	05-23 02:48
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	2	$54	171	171	+0	open	—	05-21 10:32
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	4	$53	55	55	+0	open	—	05-22 07:56
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	2	$51	63	63	+0	open	—	05-20 00:44
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	4	$49	149	149	+0	open	—	06-04 16:36
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	2	$44	52	52	+0	open	—	06-05 01:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	4	$43	145	145	+0	open	—	05-26 10:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	2	$42	96	96	+0	open	—	05-24 00:26
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	2	$40	102	102	+0	open	—	06-10 00:09
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	2	$38	134	134	+0	open	—	05-26 13:36
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	1	$37	0	66	-66	open	—	05-20 20:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$37	142	142	+0	open	—	05-24 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 13:42:13	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	41	23¢	$9	0x798fd9…
06-18 10:36:41	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	39	28¢	$11	0x46a041…
06-18 10:36:01	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	39	43¢	$17	0xcb369f…
06-12 15:50:19	will openais valuation hit low 500b by december 31 785 717	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xa16c72…
06-12 15:50:15	will openais valuation hit low 500b by december 31 785 717	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x507dc8…
06-12 15:50:12	will openais valuation hit low 500b by december 31 785 717	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xff5ee2…
06-10 00:09:34	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	102	19¢	$19	0xa8ee58…
06-10 00:08:57	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	102	20¢	$20	0xe66fb0…
06-09 14:51:49	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	63	27¢	$17	0x8ec3ec…
06-09 14:51:19	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	61	29¢	$18	0xe9fe26…
06-09 14:51:12	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xc81f80…
06-09 14:51:09	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x90bd6e…
06-09 14:51:06	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x0f9759…
06-09 13:46:12	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	71	29¢	$21	0x2dae18…
06-09 13:42:58	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	71	29¢	$21	0xe1bba2…
06-08 11:27:06	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	48	33¢	$16	0xcc3057…
06-08 11:22:27	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0x2b8ced…
06-07 11:59:21	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x9de2b8…
06-07 11:57:12	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xa64331…
06-06 04:16:54	will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xf8e34c…
06-06 04:13:42	will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9f4cd0…
06-06 03:54:36	will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x7b44b8…
06-06 03:54:31	will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x9b105a…
06-05 14:18:40	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	SELL	54	34¢	$18	0x98b5c9…
06-05 14:18:37	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	BUY	54	34¢	$18	0xd251e4…
06-05 07:59:28	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	Yes	SELL	90	21¢	$19	0xf78e8f…
06-05 07:58:33	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	Yes	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0xaf3e85…
06-05 01:27:49	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	52	35¢	$18	0x72d3da…
06-05 01:24:28	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	52	49¢	$26	0x72bbc8…
06-04 16:36:16	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xc02289…
06-04 16:33:27	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	49	14¢	$7	0x06749f…
06-04 16:33:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x867cc3…
06-04 16:33:24	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	49	17¢	$8	0xcb0f55…
06-04 12:45:07	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	Yes	SELL	292	9¢	$26	0x70655b…
06-04 12:44:52	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	Yes	BUY	292	12¢	$35	0x248b6c…
06-04 12:04:48	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	Yes	SELL	70	26¢	$18	0x47fcb8…
06-04 12:04:46	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	SELL	117	16¢	$18	0x77d157…
06-04 12:03:22	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	Yes	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0x731518…
06-04 12:01:01	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	SELL	97	19¢	$19	0xa8e572…
06-04 12:00:58	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	BUY	117	20¢	$23	0x25babc…
06-04 12:00:52	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	BUY	97	20¢	$19	0xd7d284…
06-04 08:53:27	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	Yes	SELL	112	31¢	$35	0x80dbff…
06-04 08:52:21	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	Yes	BUY	112	32¢	$36	0x929e26…
06-03 20:29:00	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	58	63¢	$36	0xe07f3b…
06-03 20:24:27	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	58	66¢	$38	0xd49ca8…
06-03 20:03:54	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	No	SELL	306	12¢	$37	0xd5a655…
06-03 19:59:57	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	No	BUY	170	14¢	$24	0x8419db…
06-03 19:59:57	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	No	BUY	136	14¢	$19	0x23d51e…
05-26 13:36:48	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	SELL	134	13¢	$17	0x840250…
05-26 13:36:41	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	BUY	134	15¢	$20	0xd0c1b4…
05-26 10:41:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x9e9cd8…
05-26 10:40:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xd95777…
05-26 10:36:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	SELL	136	14¢	$20	0xa985d1…
05-26 10:36:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	137	15¢	$20	0x4ba178…
05-25 00:58:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	SELL	179	9¢	$16	0xd6d4b6…
05-25 00:55:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	BUY	179	11¢	$20	0x036cfc…
05-24 01:01:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	142	11¢	$16	0x5bbe59…
05-24 01:00:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	142	15¢	$21	0x382281…
05-24 00:26:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	SELL	96	22¢	$21	0xbf08b8…
05-24 00:25:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	96	22¢	$21	0xf77d0c…
05-23 06:24:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	94	21¢	$19	0x210948…
05-23 06:22:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	94	22¢	$21	0xcb5204…
05-23 02:48:54	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0xd9885a…
05-23 02:03:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	76	27¢	$21	0xd9989f…
05-22 07:56:06	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	26	37¢	$10	0x8a7c5c…
05-22 07:53:46	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0xced669…
05-22 06:40:40	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	29	56¢	$16	0x1766a5…
05-22 06:38:52	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0xa52e24…
05-21 14:29:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	153	11¢	$16	0xd067b3…
05-21 14:27:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	153	14¢	$21	0x599bc1…
05-21 13:34:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	SELL	215	10¢	$22	0x8cb6eb…
05-21 13:31:58	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	BUY	215	16¢	$34	0xf76036…
05-21 13:19:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	215	17¢	$36	0x0cc919…
05-21 13:17:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	215	17¢	$36	0xfd409a…
05-21 10:32:42	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	171	10¢	$18	0x6cb0c5…
05-21 10:31:08	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	171	21¢	$36	0x863638…
05-21 09:07:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	76	16¢	$12	0xd2c28e…
05-21 09:02:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76	18¢	$14	0x1428b4…
05-21 08:31:41	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	38¢	$23	0x898f82…
05-21 08:30:38	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0x14eb9f…
05-21 06:34:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	316	3¢	$9	0xab57de…
05-21 06:31:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	316	12¢	$38	0x5cf89b…
05-21 04:18:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	319	10¢	$32	0x654c81…
05-21 04:16:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	319	15¢	$48	0x202b24…
05-21 03:03:13	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	SELL	66	9¢	$6	0x0b49c9…
05-21 02:59:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	66	11¢	$7	0x9e4a4b…
05-21 02:58:10	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	SELL	565	8¢	$47	0x52df47…
05-21 02:57:12	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	290	11¢	$32	0x13c68e…
05-21 02:43:02	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	101	11¢	$11	0xdaf32b…
05-21 02:38:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0x50e5c3…
05-21 02:31:48	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x4da7fc…
05-21 02:04:25	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	SELL	163	13¢	$21	0x404931…
05-21 02:04:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	163	13¢	$21	0xaa3011…
05-21 01:51:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	152	12¢	$18	0xb4f57a…
05-21 01:50:06	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	152	13¢	$20	0x592010…
05-20 23:55:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	SELL	82	9¢	$7	0x317106…
05-20 23:54:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	BUY	82	10¢	$8	0xd20e4e…
05-20 20:33:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	SELL	66	56¢	$37	0x2f709a…
05-20 20:26:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	216	0¢	$0	0x643358…
05-20 18:06:54	Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	68	57¢	$39	0x230f98…