Stable-Broccoli — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

88.2%

Resolved

539

Trades

619

lifetime

Volume

$4.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-18 10:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 99% +$5

Other

12% 93% -$2

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 0% -$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No		+20	$20	100¢	$20	+$0	10-18 10:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	30	$331	82,736	82,736	-0	No	$0	02-20 01:04
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	4	$293	149	147	+2	No	+$0	01-26 10:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 31?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-29 19:47
bitcoin above 98k on january 25	5	$199	100	99	+1	No	+$0	01-24 18:39
will ethereum reach 2700 april 6 12	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-12 01:09
will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-12 00:38
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	3	$70	10,010	10,000	+10	No	+$0	03-20 12:50
will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 8	2	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	01-06 21:28
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	4	$53	33	20	+13	No	+$0	03-09 03:07
solana above 120 on june 29 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	06-26 07:13
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	6	$42	20,002	20,000	+2	No	+$0	01-28 04:16
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 14?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	05-13 08:50
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 12 2026?	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	-$1	10-12 04:44
bitcoin above 60k on april 13	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	04-12 01:36
bitcoin above 62k on april 12	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	04-11 18:41
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of October 5 2026?	3	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-05 16:46
will the price of solana be greater than 170 on january 7	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	01-06 21:30
will solana reach 160 february 9 15	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	02-12 08:55
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	2	$32	16,039	16,039	+0	No	+$0	05-19 05:50
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 15:30
will the announcers say what a save during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548681	2	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	-$3	06-23 07:01
ethereum above 2100 on july 14 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	07-13 04:39
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$20	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$0	01-26 12:23
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 11?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-08 15:30
solana above 80 on january 10	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	01-06 21:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-02 13:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-01 20:38
will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-06 21:28
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	10-18 10:15
bitcoin above 78k on march 14	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	03-12 15:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 10:15:48	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1012e9…
10-12 16:10:20	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $585 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x9c0a63…
10-12 04:44:29	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x9248ac…
10-12 01:44:47	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.50 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x184463…
10-12 01:44:03	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.50 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe0afd2…
10-12 01:20:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x6107f0…
10-12 01:16:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x17dcb3…
10-12 01:16:05	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x4cb94e…
10-12 01:10:08	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $585 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x6ee5c2…
10-12 01:05:08	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe64acf…
10-12 01:02:23	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdcc266…
10-05 16:46:19	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x293169…
10-05 08:45:50	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x2afd8c…
10-05 03:30:11	will ng dip to 2 70 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0a81e0…
09-13 02:58:21	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x17f6b1…
09-13 02:58:04	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3159a3…
09-01 11:37:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb51671…
09-01 11:37:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc9439…
09-01 11:36:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd37d65…
08-17 13:30:58	will solana reach 160 in august 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x70e84a…
08-17 13:30:40	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2e6f4a…
08-17 13:30:19	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1445fe…
08-09 09:35:37	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e0675…
08-09 09:33:18	bitcoin above 74k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3db6ca…
08-09 09:33:04	bitcoin above 72k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ca543…
08-09 09:32:45	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61ec99…
07-28 15:28:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f6cf1…
07-28 15:28:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23cca2…
07-28 15:27:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef1fab…
07-28 15:25:19	will bitcoin reach 78k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe18583…
07-28 15:20:32	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x839045…
07-28 15:20:17	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9bf76b…
07-28 15:19:59	bitcoin above 74k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1eef80…
07-28 15:19:49	bitcoin above 74k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8ac853…
07-28 15:19:37	bitcoin above 68k on july 29 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x259fa6…
07-24 12:11:09	will rklb dip to 54 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7aa336…
07-24 12:10:46	will ng reach 3 40 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd78929…
07-24 12:10:07	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfeb705…
07-24 12:09:51	will aapl reach 360 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8dfd52…
07-24 12:09:40	will open reach 6 00 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbd38d…
07-24 12:09:30	will nvda reach 228 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92e419…
07-24 12:08:46	will msft reach 442 50 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5493f2…
07-24 12:08:16	will meta reach 710 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe40a31…
07-24 12:08:01	will googl reach 380 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5212fd…
07-24 12:07:48	will tsla reach 427 50 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x29e462…
07-24 12:07:25	will spy reach 770 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab8813…
07-24 12:02:49	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2cc9af…
07-13 04:40:10	ethereum above 2200 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5188d6…
07-13 04:40:02	ethereum above 2200 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f2f68…
07-13 04:39:50	ethereum above 2100 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc39bcf…
07-13 04:39:41	ethereum above 2000 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79b96d…
07-13 04:39:10	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x875ecb…
07-13 04:28:16	will hood dip to 95 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x9ca890…
07-13 04:22:05	will hood dip to 95 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xfab13e…
07-03 08:27:46	bitcoin above 50k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x447898…
07-03 08:27:32	bitcoin above 68k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x868201…
07-03 08:27:22	bitcoin above 68k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbd61a…
07-03 08:27:11	bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x60b066…
07-02 13:13:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb6b57c…
07-01 20:38:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa3a5e4…
06-26 07:13:14	solana above 120 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x489710…
06-26 07:12:59	solana above 120 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x42574a…
06-26 07:12:49	solana above 90 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8d940…
06-26 07:12:41	solana above 80 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd44bc6…
06-26 07:12:13	ethereum above 2200 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x506a3b…
06-26 07:12:04	ethereum above 2200 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39c518…
06-26 07:11:55	ethereum above 2000 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80b106…
06-26 07:11:32	bitcoin above 72k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd24cf0…
06-26 07:11:22	bitcoin above 68k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f37f8…
06-26 07:11:10	bitcoin above 68k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a321c…
06-26 07:10:59	bitcoin above 64k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x19c428…
06-23 07:01:10	will the announcers say what a save during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548681	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x8ae206…
06-23 02:24:07	will the announcers say what a save during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548681	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x27442f…
06-20 06:57:43	bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01a5e9…
06-20 06:57:16	bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x231b98…
06-20 06:56:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1ab5b9…
06-20 06:56:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf71b14…
06-10 16:05:57	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d69ac…
06-10 16:05:34	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7e9ef8…
06-10 16:04:57	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on June 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5527a…
06-10 16:04:36	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on June 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6a1224…
06-10 16:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6acf8…
06-10 16:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x178aed…
06-10 16:03:30	xrp above 1pt6 on june 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27b912…
06-10 16:03:16	xrp above 1pt5 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x560e3f…
06-10 16:02:52	solana above 110 on june 13 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3fbc0e…
06-10 16:02:40	solana above 100 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8679de…
06-10 16:02:19	ethereum above 2100 on june 13 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe11b70…
06-10 16:02:09	ethereum above 2100 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x74a45f…
06-10 16:01:34	bitcoin above 70k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x11610d…
06-10 16:01:18	bitcoin above 70k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8114c4…
06-08 07:14:07	Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b90cb…
06-08 07:13:49	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on June 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe412a7…
06-08 07:13:36	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 9?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x594d3b…
06-08 07:13:06	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,200 on June 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x583f97…
06-08 07:12:48	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on June 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa0eca6…
06-08 07:12:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x790b21…
06-08 07:12:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x79c6f5…
06-08 07:11:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa7dfe5…
06-08 07:11:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa748a4…