Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 Week of October 12 2026? | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$213

Trades

42

Unique wallets

18

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-10-16

First seen

2026-10-12

last 10-16 14:23

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Nonstop-Knitting +50 (anon) +40 Snappy-Rooster +30 (anon) +30 Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk +20 Cool-Storyboard +10 Writhing-Retention +10 (anon) +7

NO holders

Squiggly-Evaluation +100 (anon) +40 (anon) +30 Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk +20 (anon) +7

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +90.9¢ (top1%: 100% YES on $2 vs crowd: 9% YES on $205)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	4	$8	$38	$30
🐬 Dolphin	5	$7	$141	$134
🐟 Fish	5	$0	$7	$7
🦐 Shrimp	4	$4	—	+$4

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	2	$2	—	+$2
🏆 Top 5%	4	$1	$94	$93
Median	3	$3	—	+$3
Below median	1	$1	—	+$1
⚠️ Bottom 10%	2	$0	$7	$7
🔻 Bottom 5%	1	$2	$28	$26
💀 Bottom 1%	5	$10	$57	$47

SMI history (last 30d)

daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd

Wallet leaderboard (13) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Squiggly-Evaluation 0xfcc6…bb12	No	+100	$94	$94	1	10-12 01:16
Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9	Yes	+50	$0	$0	2	10-15 01:32
(anonymous) 0x625b…22cf	Yes	+40	$2	$2	2	10-12 01:20
(anonymous) 0x625b…22cf	No	+40	$38	$38	2	10-12 01:20
Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1	Yes	+30	$2	$2	1	10-12 01:17
(anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091	Yes	+30	$2	$2	2	10-12 01:16
(anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091	No	+30	$28	$28	2	10-12 01:16
Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc	Yes	+20	$1	$1	1	10-12 01:20
Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc	No	+20	$19	$19	1	10-12 01:20
Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6	Yes	+10	$0	$0	3	10-16 14:23
Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389	Yes	+10	$0	$0	2	10-15 01:43
(anonymous) 0x3922…3aa4	Yes	+7	$0	$0	1	10-16 14:23
(anonymous) 0x6235…7a5e	No	+7	$7	$7	1	10-15 17:24