Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
81.7%
Resolved
357
Trades
575
lifetime
Volume
$3.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$48
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-12 15:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Crypto
60% 97% +$2
Other
38% 80% -$2
Politics
2% 93% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -1,087 -$76 2¢ $-24 +$52 06-03 08:03
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 09-27 13:03
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 06-14 15:03
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 07-11 01:22
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 07-11 01:20
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No -1 -$1 83¢ $-1 +$0 07-11 01:22