Shy-Carnation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved

Trades

319

lifetime

Volume

$4.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-20 15:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

68% 33% $-0

Crypto

21% 60% $-0

Politics

8% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alfonso López Chau and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?	5	$119	59	59	+0	open	—	04-12 23:18
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	04-30 12:51
highest temperature in milan on april 18 2026 18corbelow	4	$65	45	20	+25	open	—	04-18 02:12
will voter turnout be 65 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	04-12 20:30
highest temperature in nyc on april 2 2026 68 69f	1	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	04-02 03:02
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	05-17 16:50
will the price of solana be between 90 100 on march 29	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-29 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 25?	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	04-25 05:55
will gerb sds win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by any margin	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-20 11:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	5	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	05-14 02:08
Will BNB reach $700 in April?	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	05-01 00:46
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 11 2026 23corhigher	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-11 02:57
lowest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 42 43f	3	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-24 00:06
will the next dutch government be vvd cda	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	01-26 14:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 20	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-20 11:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	2	$45	22	22	+0	open	—	05-03 22:46
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$45	22	22	+0	open	—	04-27 14:56
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$45	22	22	+0	open	—	05-20 11:29
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 28c	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-22 09:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-19 21:22
highest temperature in wellington on march 30 2026 21c	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-30 05:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-15 21:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 9?	2	$43	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-09 10:05
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C or below on April 27?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-26 18:58
highest temperature in busan on april 3 2026 22c	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-03 09:06
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	$-0	05-11 21:36
highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 52 53f	2	$41	20	20	+0	open	—	04-24 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 25?	2	$41	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 05:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 5?	2	$40	22	18	+4	Yes	$-0	05-04 22:53
bitcoin above 64k on april 4	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-04 04:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 15:10:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x790b37…
05-20 11:29:35	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xc53da1…
05-20 09:09:39	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x782123…
05-19 21:22:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf993bf…
05-19 16:26:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd4e623…
05-19 15:31:01	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb67596…
05-19 15:27:48	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x39af60…
05-19 09:21:49	Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa91654…
05-19 01:59:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x0d3965…
05-19 01:01:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x333695…
05-17 17:12:06	Will "Is God Is" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa528b1…
05-17 17:05:10	Will "Is God Is" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x796876…
05-17 17:02:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9c733d…
05-17 16:55:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x856085…
05-17 16:50:57	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x3ea3bf…
05-17 15:28:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x111b3d…
05-17 13:09:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5d7f85…
05-17 10:28:52	Will "Is God Is" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc69a30…
05-17 09:30:38	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf0407f…
05-15 21:01:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x434a0e…
05-15 18:23:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2070c0…
05-14 13:59:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc9521f…
05-14 02:08:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc28135…
05-14 02:08:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9b695b…
05-14 02:06:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x037c5f…
05-14 02:00:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x299379…
05-14 00:35:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa68449…
05-14 00:29:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5bedb5…
05-13 22:04:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd1f374…
05-13 18:38:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0b0b54…
05-13 14:27:57	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xcd3a99…
05-13 14:26:36	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5c3cae…
05-13 09:10:17	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x885776…
05-11 21:36:15	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf6974a…
05-11 07:01:33	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd3908b…
05-10 16:20:13	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xbafc21…
05-10 15:49:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 May 4-10?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x000eeb…
05-10 15:47:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9df7db…
05-10 06:48:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x526c1a…
05-10 05:00:13	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd02480…
05-09 16:31:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 May 4-10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdf3f23…
05-09 15:08:04	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x98a6ac…
05-09 10:05:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 9?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x0f91bc…
05-08 11:22:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 9?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xcc5c84…
05-08 08:30:24	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 8?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfd6dfd…
05-08 08:25:23	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 8?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7c27ec…
05-08 08:20:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9c5cd7…
05-07 18:22:02	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4e536…
05-07 15:34:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x02b76d…
05-04 22:53:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x4f980b…
05-04 08:22:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa68661…
05-03 22:46:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x19251d…
05-03 14:04:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd7a04c…
05-02 01:04:36	Will Trump say "Paper tiger" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd43e75…
05-01 20:17:44	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 27 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd222b9…
05-01 17:05:08	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 27 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x65b45d…
05-01 05:26:54	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfb54e9…
05-01 00:46:14	Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x73faf1…
04-30 13:00:38	Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x8b3572…
04-30 12:51:54	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xff2fb0…
04-30 04:41:34	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x7e34bb…
04-29 20:14:18	Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb294a2…
04-29 15:29:14	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x67a13b…
04-29 08:50:32	Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x193461…
04-29 02:01:02	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5d426f…
04-29 00:56:30	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe5b2a0…
04-29 00:45:38	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd84885…
04-28 23:19:58	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x96991b…
04-28 17:18:22	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2f5b99…
04-28 16:43:02	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8ef39f…
04-27 23:14:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5675e5…
04-27 16:27:08	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x985392…
04-27 14:56:28	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x33e71d…
04-27 14:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b7b8e…
04-27 14:05:04	Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0d1c6a…
04-27 13:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0b03ae…
04-27 08:39:50	Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcae7c3…
04-27 06:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x64928d…
04-27 06:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x85cdc5…
04-27 05:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on April 27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe70c62…
04-27 05:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x06ea75…
04-27 01:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9163e…
04-27 00:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb83b18…
04-26 20:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x56dad3…
04-26 19:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x439fad…
04-26 19:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf32e36…
04-26 18:58:52	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C or below on April 27?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x88a444…
04-26 18:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1aa032…
04-26 16:36:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf7d916…
04-26 13:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x69abd4…
04-26 08:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x25fee5…
04-26 05:50:10	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x72c5a3…
04-26 05:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 40°C or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0b4075…
04-26 03:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 40°C or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7cebac…
04-26 03:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 40°C or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7215a5…
04-26 03:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xfc7adf…
04-26 03:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 40°C or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x60db07…
04-26 01:44:08	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8096b1…
04-25 22:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x19449e…
04-25 22:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or below on April 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x44abe8…