Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$751

Unrealized P&L

-$455

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

382

Trades

3,215

lifetime

Volume

$277.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

$765

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 01:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

40% 42% -$1,908

Crypto

35% 76% +$1,796

Politics

22% 39% -$1,081

Tech

2% 67% +$13

Sports

0% 50% +$423

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+1,000	$650	26¢	$265	-$385	08-27 09:17
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	+200	$138	66¢	$132	-$6	10-30 08:22
skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027	Yes	+200	$144	61¢	$122	-$22	08-20 14:07
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	-161	-$97	64¢	$-102	-$6	07-01 16:35
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026	Yes	+150	$118	68¢	$101	-$17	10-19 10:54
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026	Yes	+100	$57	40¢	$40	-$17	10-19 10:25
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+67	$5	4¢	$3	-$2	10-01 22:19
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	09-23 08:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	24	$16.3K	9,751	9,751	+0	No	+$428	08-28 02:17
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	23	$10.9K	26,556	26,556	+0	No	-$438	08-13 16:44
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	16	$10.5K	5,720	5,720	+0	No	+$356	08-31 01:22
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	37	$9.7K	6,539	6,539	+0	No	+$29	08-31 13:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	24	$8.5K	6,738	6,738	+0	No	+$218	08-27 11:11
will ethereum reach 2600 august 17 23 2026	18	$5.8K	9,210	5,430	+3,780	No	+$1,135	08-24 04:00
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	9	$5.7K	3,125	3,125	+0	No	+$19	08-30 14:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	7	$5.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$130	08-30 19:21
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	15	$4.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	-$100	08-22 07:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	35	$4.5K	5,082	5,082	+0	open	—	09-18 02:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	14	$4.5K	4,132	3,532	+600	Yes	-$299	09-11 12:30
will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	25	$4.2K	2,135	2,135	+0	No	+$62	08-08 03:14
will ethereum reach 2300 july 27 august 2 2026	2	$4.0K	2,029	2,029	+0	No	+$55	08-01 08:00
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	29	$3.8K	5,309	5,309	+0	No	+$21	08-24 08:18
will ethereum reach 2300 july 20 26 2026	3	$3.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	No	+$53	07-24 14:16
will ethereum reach 1900 july 6 12 2026	4	$3.6K	3,670	1,820	+1,850	No	+$5	07-13 00:40
will bitcoin dip to 56k june 15 21 2026	5	$3.4K	1,720	1,720	+0	No	+$29	06-21 01:37
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	15	$3.3K	1,672	1,672	+0	No	+$2	02-19 10:34
will ethereum reach 2000 july 20 26 2026	7	$3.1K	2,570	658	+1,912	No	+$79	07-26 22:02
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	46	$3.1K	2,006	2,006	+0	No	+$47	09-01 09:45
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	4	$2.9K	32,570	32,570	+0	No	-$323	08-10 00:38
will bitcoin reach 78k july 6 12 2026	2	$2.9K	1,470	1,470	+0	No	+$13	07-08 05:56
will ethereum reach 2200 july 13 19 2026	10	$2.9K	1,455	1,455	+0	No	+$42	07-18 05:22
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	6	$2.9K	1,488	1,488	+0	Yes	+$16	01-23 02:50
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	36	$2.8K	1,914	1,914	+0	Yes	+$27	09-01 07:18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	31	$2.7K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$15	09-08 08:21
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	40	$2.4K	3,537	3,437	+100	No	+$191	09-10 20:00
will ethereum reach 1800 june 8 14 2026	4	$2.4K	1,610	831	+779	No	+$72	06-15 00:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	6	$2.3K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	09-13 12:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	23	$2.2K	1,110	1,110	+0	No	+$7	05-24 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:22:49	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xab68ba…
10-30 01:14:18	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	SELL	28	79¢	$22	0xb45b0f…
10-29 23:33:25	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	SELL	172	79¢	$136	0xd1365c…
10-29 17:54:16	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x2d4e85…
10-29 17:52:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0xfcb8e5…
10-29 17:45:07	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xf07dd5…
10-29 10:33:13	Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0xefa3dd…
10-29 02:37:07	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	112	55¢	$62	0x7c7ca6…
10-29 00:00:02	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	BUY	70	52¢	$36	0xb010df…
10-28 23:59:52	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	BUY	32	52¢	$17	0x95cf8a…
10-28 23:59:34	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x495389…
10-28 23:10:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xcbbb16…
10-28 22:41:58	Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xfb000d…
10-28 22:16:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	9	62¢	$5	0xe15439…
10-28 22:16:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	46	62¢	$29	0xdb6b27…
10-28 22:16:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	45	62¢	$28	0x5ddeab…
10-28 22:16:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x15180f…
10-28 18:08:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xbe7163…
10-28 18:07:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x2245b2…
10-28 16:37:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$57	0x84dd4e…
10-28 16:01:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x797f27…
10-28 14:05:35	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	SELL	46	80¢	$37	0x68c897…
10-28 14:05:35	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	SELL	154	80¢	$123	0x0c6847…
10-28 03:51:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0xf5ee5d…
10-28 02:00:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x85b64b…
10-28 00:42:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	203	27¢	$55	0x8cce68…
10-28 00:41:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$67	0x5afc40…
10-28 00:34:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	197	38¢	$74	0xfff942…
10-28 00:26:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$73	0xb6e515…
10-27 23:10:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x923779…
10-27 19:09:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$117	0xd95c7e…
10-27 18:54:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	150	68¢	$102	0xba035a…
10-27 18:53:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	44	69¢	$31	0x65465a…
10-27 18:53:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	106	69¢	$73	0x3b90ab…
10-27 18:05:03	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xa82c68…
10-27 16:49:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	150	23¢	$34	0x8b7f8a…
10-27 16:48:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	150	62¢	$93	0xaec569…
10-27 16:35:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x5460c9…
10-27 16:31:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x4552a3…
10-27 16:04:14	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	90	5¢	$4	0xf0cea9…
10-27 12:57:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	138	23¢	$32	0x31a014…
10-27 12:57:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0xbed72d…
10-27 11:24:26	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0x7994af…
10-27 03:41:41	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x9df3aa…
10-27 02:58:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	150	70¢	$105	0x0e3f47…
10-27 00:11:21	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	48	78¢	$37	0x5e6d6c…
10-27 00:10:54	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xba2deb…
10-27 00:04:23	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0x9e6989…
10-27 00:01:54	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xd27a6a…
10-27 00:01:36	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x33e861…
10-26 22:36:11	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	150	68¢	$102	0x1f0579…
10-21 10:27:21	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x37db5f…
10-21 10:27:00	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xc63c6f…
10-20 00:45:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x9cd761…
10-20 00:45:03	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xf32312…
10-20 00:30:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	150	77¢	$115	0xcab119…
10-19 18:22:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	320	83¢	$266	0xd42296…
10-19 15:55:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	120	60¢	$72	0xa55e82…
10-19 15:51:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xf2fc92…
10-19 11:19:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	77¢	$116	0xb70d81…
10-19 10:54:47	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	79¢	$118	0x694285…
10-19 10:53:18	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0d0f67…
10-19 10:25:41	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x78c114…
10-19 09:54:42	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x96d65b…
10-19 07:11:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0xe04df1…
10-19 06:55:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	14	68¢	$10	0xbb950f…
10-19 06:37:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x7672ce…
10-19 06:26:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf73dad…
10-19 05:43:33	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	84	68¢	$57	0x5dcbb3…
10-18 23:48:56	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x03102a…
10-18 23:11:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x6b965e…
10-18 23:09:39	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x01df55…
10-18 22:42:20	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0xf777a3…
10-18 21:05:48	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x750b79…
10-18 21:04:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x98c0c6…
10-18 02:33:11	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xa2a381…
10-17 13:09:32	next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	150	81¢	$122	0x33951b…
10-17 13:07:05	next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x82b823…
10-17 12:15:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x7cadd2…
10-17 10:55:56	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0x6c9f58…
10-17 08:20:15	next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	150	81¢	$122	0x24aa3a…
10-17 05:44:07	next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x3e151e…
10-16 16:37:43	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x560764…
10-16 16:25:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x5c2e1c…
10-15 08:06:14	will ohio enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	No	SELL	300	81¢	$243	0xb2b84c…
10-14 12:14:53	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	278	62¢	$172	0x270827…
10-10 00:20:04	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0x8cdb29…
10-09 21:54:41	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xcb3bc1…
10-08 09:32:00	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x99ac8c…
10-08 09:11:08	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x30da19…
10-08 09:07:56	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xd13b5b…
10-08 08:13:47	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf666b7…
10-08 07:52:51	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x4ae9ae…
10-08 07:45:34	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	36	63¢	$23	0xe0c7b2…
10-07 23:05:02	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$9	0x9aa23f…
10-07 15:44:26	Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	2¢	$2	0xbf211c…
10-07 14:44:55	Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	2¢	$1	0x847214…
10-07 13:47:07	Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xb33914…
10-07 04:51:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0x90b0fb…
10-07 04:47:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xd43340…