Luminous-Underestimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

333

Trades

11,240

lifetime

Volume

$3.45M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$307

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-09 01:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 93% +$29,035

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	77	$112.4K	112,456	1,054	+111,402	No	+$1,093	08-09 01:11
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	89	$84.7K	82,384	4,227	+78,157	No	+$1,876	04-05 12:40
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 27 august 2 2026	82	$82.7K	76,600	7,797	+68,803	No	+$1,500	08-01 13:16
will bitcoin reach 84k february 9 15	252	$82.3K	41,526	41,526	+0	No	+$336	02-14 10:09
will bitcoin reach 72k february 23 march 1	465	$67.1K	34,632	36,315	-1,683	No	-$474	03-02 01:47
will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	232	$63.8K	29,901	34,382	-4,481	No	+$192	02-14 10:08
will bitcoin reach 80k february 2 8	288	$62.8K	41,727	23,896	+17,831	No	+$1,141	02-08 23:09
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	55	$59.4K	57,269	2,707	+54,562	No	+$546	10-11 16:00
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	56	$52.9K	51,477	2,110	+49,367	No	+$624	05-24 00:00
will bitcoin reach 68k june 15 21 2026	132	$51.4K	42,283	9,847	+32,436	No	+$571	06-22 02:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?	180	$51.3K	31,206	21,440	+9,766	No	+$320	10-04 13:56
will ethereum reach 2400 february 2 8	153	$49.3K	29,031	22,595	+6,436	No	-$640	02-08 21:30
will bitcoin reach 70k february 23 march 1	199	$46.9K	23,986	24,015	-28	No	+$794	03-02 04:16
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	41	$46.0K	45,172	1,310	+43,862	No	+$497	05-31 08:01
will bitcoin dip to 58k february 23 march 1	259	$45.0K	23,422	23,420	+3	No	+$32	03-01 12:43
will bitcoin reach 96k december 29 january 4	197	$44.5K	22,918	22,917	+0	No	-$45	01-03 23:03
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	133	$42.8K	26,001	18,311	+7,690	No	-$107	05-24 11:05
will bitcoin reach 66k july 27 august 2 2026	97	$41.9K	29,995	12,560	+17,435	No	+$287	08-02 21:53
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?	65	$41.7K	42,002	1,627	+40,375	No	+$1,903	10-05 01:28
will ethereum reach 3300 january 19 25	63	$40.3K	40,742	154	+40,588	No	+$550	01-24 21:19
will bitcoin dip to 86k december 29 january 4	127	$37.0K	20,242	17,340	+2,902	No	+$348	01-05 00:14
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?	48	$36.9K	36,893	328	+36,565	No	+$357	10-11 16:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?	70	$36.9K	32,751	4,789	+27,962	No	+$635	06-15 02:16
will bitcoin reach 84k february 2 8	41	$36.2K	18,336	18,333	+3	No	+$439	02-08 15:35
will bitcoin reach 74k february 23 march 1	157	$35.8K	25,537	10,947	+14,590	No	+$425	03-01 15:01
will bitcoin dip to 58k march 30 april 5	99	$35.8K	21,080	15,017	+6,063	No	+$260	04-05 06:15
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 November 2-8?	9	$35.6K	17,996	17,996	+0	No	+$306	11-06 16:34
will bitcoin reach 98k january 5 11	35	$33.7K	32,395	2,055	+30,340	No	+$701	01-11 12:47
will bitcoin reach 74k february 9 15	205	$33.5K	17,815	17,021	+795	No	-$320	02-16 00:00
will bitcoin reach 68k august 3 9 2026	142	$32.7K	21,914	11,432	+10,482	No	+$418	08-09 23:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 01:13:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5565d3…
11-09 00:03:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	800	98¢	$788	0x2114c1…
11-09 00:01:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	2,130	99¢	$2,098	0x498af4…
11-08 23:56:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	3,000	98¢	$2,955	0xba325a…
11-08 23:51:37	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 November 2-8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa0ce7b…
11-08 23:38:10	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0xa6ad61…
11-08 23:35:52	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0x3e2f32…
11-08 23:28:06	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x59f713…
11-08 23:28:06	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x11807b…
11-08 23:28:04	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x0c2456…
11-08 23:16:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	329	99¢	$327	0xdd6ef1…
11-08 23:16:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x461956…
11-08 23:16:33	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x480768…
11-08 23:16:33	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x01f113…
11-08 23:16:31	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x2238ff…
11-08 23:16:15	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6fb20b…
11-08 23:16:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfeab13…
11-08 23:16:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$40	0x4a2faf…
11-08 23:16:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	234	98¢	$230	0x13b9c3…
11-08 23:16:07	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xaf6968…
11-08 23:16:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x962e0d…
11-08 23:16:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	98¢	$296	0x64dd9e…
11-08 23:15:57	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xe0d989…
11-08 23:15:27	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xf237de…
11-08 23:15:27	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0xbc22a8…
11-08 23:15:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x39aed3…
11-08 23:15:13	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	95¢	$284	0xa62161…
11-08 23:15:13	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x249845…
11-08 23:14:34	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xe8c854…
11-08 23:14:22	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0xe33c5c…
11-08 23:14:10	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0x9f5ef0…
11-08 23:14:10	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0x25f598…
11-08 23:14:09	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0xcca62f…
11-08 23:14:09	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0x8267dd…
11-08 23:14:09	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0x660150…
11-08 23:14:07	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0xe3be4d…
11-08 23:14:07	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0x35d32e…
11-08 23:14:06	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0xf7ab95…
11-08 23:14:06	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0xeb024b…
11-08 23:14:06	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0x43ff9d…
11-08 23:14:04	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0xd8b0a0…
11-08 23:14:04	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0x06a8e0…
11-08 23:14:03	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x899146…
11-08 23:14:03	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0x81443e…
11-08 23:14:01	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xeb86ae…
11-08 23:14:01	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$287	0x599c9a…
11-08 23:14:01	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x507039…
11-08 23:14:00	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf0d0e0…
11-08 23:14:00	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xa30473…
11-08 23:14:00	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x6f2269…
11-08 23:13:58	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xeb932f…
11-08 23:13:58	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$57	0xbd2b1b…
11-08 23:13:55	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0xb2f3e6…
11-08 23:13:55	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x50a428…
11-08 23:13:55	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x1e80a6…
11-08 23:13:54	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x0c5777…
11-08 23:13:51	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xbf5878…
11-08 23:13:51	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x04af7b…
11-08 23:13:49	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0xabd3f4…
11-08 23:13:49	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0xaa4716…
11-08 23:13:49	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0x377c33…
11-08 23:13:48	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xae049a…
11-08 23:13:48	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0xa1295c…
11-08 23:13:46	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0x09bbd8…
11-08 23:13:42	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	290	96¢	$279	0xa331b4…
11-08 23:13:42	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0x222936…
11-08 23:13:13	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x7443ca…
11-08 23:13:12	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$193	0x4d2fa5…
11-08 23:13:12	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	260	96¢	$251	0x17f95d…
11-08 23:13:10	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xb6617c…
11-08 23:13:10	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x026c90…
11-08 23:13:09	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x8aa295…
11-08 23:13:09	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x79460b…
11-08 23:13:07	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$289	0x9a036d…
11-08 23:13:07	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x0603bd…
11-08 23:13:07	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x00d05a…
11-08 23:13:06	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfc4615…
11-08 23:13:06	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	274	96¢	$264	0x617e76…
11-08 23:12:33	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x4200d0…
11-08 23:12:28	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$290	0x304bbc…
11-08 23:12:27	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$290	0xe5bdc8…
11-08 23:12:27	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$290	0x607354…
11-08 23:12:27	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$290	0x40e17a…
11-08 23:12:27	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$290	0x0f273b…
11-08 23:12:25	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$290	0xc08673…
11-08 23:12:25	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$290	0x0b2580…
11-08 23:12:24	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$290	0x236f4e…
11-08 23:12:21	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	264	96¢	$255	0xa4dad4…
11-08 23:12:21	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x9cef4e…
11-08 23:12:10	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x13e255…
11-08 23:12:01	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf3c1ba…
11-08 23:12:01	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xc79e1b…
11-08 23:11:30	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0xf127e6…
11-08 23:11:30	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x765aa9…
11-08 23:11:28	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x374652…
11-08 23:06:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$218	0x25c85f…
11-08 23:06:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x0d4549…
11-08 23:06:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe59c4a…
11-08 23:06:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x70d958…
11-08 23:00:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8133f4…