Disguised-Lilac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

209

Trades

554

lifetime

Volume

$3.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-12 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 70% -$2

Other

43% 59% -$20

Politics

2% 75% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 76k on march 11	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-11 09:24
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 140 164	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-07 15:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 1	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-01 12:35
bitcoin above 62k on march 6	4	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 02:37
bitcoin above 64k on march 5	4	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 11:58
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	4	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-09 10:18
bitcoin above 72k on february 27	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-27 11:54
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 460 479	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-02 16:55
bitcoin above 70k on february 23	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-23 12:44
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 440 459	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-30 09:14
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-08 11:45
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 165 189	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-18 11:07
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 140 164	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-26 16:35
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 190 214	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-25 17:27
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 580 599	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-20 15:22
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-28 16:10
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-13 06:47
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	4	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$4	01-10 16:52
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 540 559	14	$31	70	70	+0	No	-$1	01-06 04:59
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 400 419	3	$30	10	20	-10	No	+$0	02-19 13:07
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 140 164	4	$22	20	20	+0	No	+$1	01-19 16:04
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 460 479	20	$21	100	100	+0	No	-$1	01-02 14:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	5	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	05-24 00:06
bitcoin above 58k on march 3	3	$20	20	10	+10	Yes	$0	03-03 05:34
bitcoin above 66k on march 17	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 00:06
bitcoin above 78k on march 22	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-21 19:25
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-14 14:50
will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-15 14:30
bitcoin above 74k on february 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-27 08:44
bitcoin above 58k on march 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 13:59:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xebd052…
06-29 06:32:35	bitcoin above 66k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f7d31…
06-28 19:49:50	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfe6be1…
06-28 12:36:10	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x824d71…
06-04 06:16:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x5caa81…
06-03 16:11:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8edc0e…
05-31 09:35:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x2b3d37…
05-30 04:26:23	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd6ecf2…
05-29 08:48:38	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13ab53…
05-28 15:25:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa33b3b…
05-28 08:18:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x833493…
05-28 06:00:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6423e1…
05-27 13:14:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0cfd6…
05-26 23:47:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x570c4e…
05-25 19:10:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc87a88…
05-25 07:55:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x38d7e9…
05-25 00:10:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x965781…
05-25 00:10:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d7564…
05-24 19:55:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf3a49c…
05-24 13:50:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80ff83…
05-24 00:06:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa58d6e…
05-24 00:05:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x09e4d8…
05-24 00:05:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf1a1cb…
05-23 17:22:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5e3f3…
05-23 15:43:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0ccf42…
05-23 07:01:43	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa0dc66…
05-22 15:37:29	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f493f…
05-21 18:05:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa7d74b…
05-21 07:32:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe300b2…
05-19 10:14:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x27542b…
05-19 04:54:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x486f65…
05-15 14:41:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x20ec85…
05-14 04:15:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfc4f9b…
05-14 01:03:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd3452…
05-13 06:15:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x61e7d4…
05-12 16:52:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7b159e…
05-11 17:16:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7cf8c2…
05-10 15:37:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd5b31b…
05-10 02:50:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0c2876…
05-09 16:43:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3277e6…
05-09 03:30:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3e4a20…
05-08 09:42:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcc2d31…
04-27 07:57:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7b9597…
04-26 00:58:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf020f1…
04-24 23:56:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f1b4e…
04-23 16:45:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x79152a…
04-23 00:05:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xeaa730…
04-22 15:14:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb90b5b…
04-21 20:50:02	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x52874c…
04-21 16:18:26	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8d3455…
04-21 00:11:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xddf242…
04-19 05:10:42	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd8c459…
04-19 01:16:58	will bitcoin reach 82k april 13 19	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x259f9a…
04-16 15:56:50	will bitcoin reach 82k april 13 19	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2c2e73…
04-16 08:07:18	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xea52ea…
04-15 17:53:32	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x64db88…
04-15 15:55:52	bitcoin above 82k on april 16	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf9083c…
04-15 00:02:50	bitcoin above 82k on april 16	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bbb9c…
04-14 20:39:20	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6beab4…
04-14 16:06:53	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x40083d…
04-14 14:59:13	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xabd8b2…
04-13 06:03:15	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe09183…
04-12 04:57:57	bitcoin above 80k on april 13	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x79d91d…
04-08 03:01:05	bitcoin above 80k on april 13	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa6b880…
04-07 16:36:21	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe6fc28…
04-07 09:56:47	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0801d4…
04-07 02:35:43	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe13c4d…
04-05 17:10:17	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc920b6…
04-05 01:38:47	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9a552b…
04-03 16:28:25	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0252c3…
04-02 17:17:25	bitcoin above 58k on april 3	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x91fc02…
04-02 13:25:49	bitcoin above 58k on april 3	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6ef7d…
04-02 10:42:21	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x16ae87…
04-02 10:05:25	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1c7d1a…
04-01 09:55:21	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x94469f…
04-01 03:38:07	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x773582…
03-31 17:21:59	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa6e05b…
03-30 12:39:04	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd2cb13…
03-30 08:16:10	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd8916f…
03-30 04:56:10	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2b644f…
03-29 13:39:22	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cf6d8…
03-28 16:10:47	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb3004f…
03-27 09:22:57	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6705dc…
03-27 08:51:23	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x82a431…
03-26 01:35:47	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x032865…
03-25 15:40:57	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 25	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x1329d3…
03-25 15:39:11	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 25	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x198e74…
03-25 12:19:59	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x472bab…
03-24 17:01:43	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29cde0…
03-24 15:41:45	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9ec24c…
03-24 15:28:01	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa76519…
03-24 09:49:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x93a3fd…
03-24 08:16:53	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6f814…
03-24 04:38:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcb7b9c…
03-23 15:26:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c75d6…
03-23 10:46:05	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbb61a0…
03-23 10:29:51	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x221559…
03-23 01:07:59	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 16 22	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x560787…
03-22 16:39:57	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 16 22	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x982083…
03-22 06:22:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 22	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x823798…