Knowing-Stuff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$98

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

278

lifetime

Volume

$74.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$266

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-20 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 100% +$98

Other

3% 100% +$0

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		+22	$20	90¢	$20	$-0	07-20 14:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 64k on april 6	4	$4.3K	2,167	2,164	+3	open	—	04-06 09:56
bitcoin above 64k on march 11	4	$3.5K	1,781	1,781	+0	open	—	03-11 13:51
bitcoin above 72k on april 19	3	$2.3K	1,152	1,151	+0	open	—	04-19 13:08
bitcoin above 66k on april 8	4	$2.2K	1,099	1,099	+1	open	—	04-08 10:29
bitcoin above 62k on april 8	2	$2.2K	1,090	1,089	+1	open	—	04-07 23:04
bitcoin above 64k on april 2	2	$2.0K	1,030	1,029	+1	open	—	04-02 14:20
bitcoin above 66k on march 5	3	$1.8K	1,317	509	+808	open	—	03-05 12:11
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	4	$1.8K	936	936	+0	open	—	03-18 15:01
bitcoin above 66k on march 16	3	$1.8K	899	899	+0	open	—	03-15 14:09
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$1.7K	852	852	+0	open	—	02-28 13:08
bitcoin above 64k on march 6	2	$1.6K	806	806	+0	open	—	03-06 10:21
bitcoin above 68k on april 17	4	$1.3K	653	653	+1	open	—	04-17 14:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?	2	$1.2K	1,203	1	+1,202	open	—	04-28 13:59
bitcoin above 66k on april 11	4	$1.2K	601	600	+1	open	—	04-11 10:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 25?	2	$1.2K	1,200	2	+1,198	open	—	04-25 11:21
bitcoin above 70k on april 22	1	$1.1K	1,157	0	+1,157	open	—	04-21 00:12
bitcoin above 70k on april 20	1	$1.1K	1,145	0	+1,145	open	—	04-19 17:51
bitcoin above 68k on april 13	2	$1.1K	1,125	0	+1,125	open	—	04-11 10:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	1	$1.1K	1,102	0	+1,102	open	—	05-18 07:58
bitcoin above 68k on april 8	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	04-08 10:31
bitcoin above 66k on april 6	1	$1.1K	1,081	0	+1,081	open	—	04-06 09:56
bitcoin above 64k on april 4	1	$1.0K	1,051	0	+1,051	open	—	04-03 22:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	2	$1.0K	1,046	0	+1,046	open	—	05-27 01:25
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	1	$1.0K	1,045	0	+1,045	open	—	04-02 23:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	1	$993	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-01 01:07
bitcoin above 68k on april 16	2	$982	494	493	+0	open	—	04-16 14:27
bitcoin above 66k on april 1	13	$930	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	04-01 00:25
bitcoin above 60k on march 31	1	$928	930	0	+930	open	—	03-30 23:24
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$927	928	0	+928	open	—	03-30 02:54
bitcoin above 62k on march 29	1	$920	927	0	+927	open	—	03-29 00:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 14:09:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x6e4a14…
07-20 14:09:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x848ae4…
07-20 14:08:49	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x00b48b…
07-20 14:08:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xa759bd…
07-17 07:50:39	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x3e48f7…
07-17 02:44:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xd659aa…
07-15 14:33:16	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	102	79¢	$80	0xac0dcd…
07-15 13:53:17	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x34f14a…
07-14 13:49:19	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xef80f0…
07-14 13:33:26	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	47	69¢	$32	0xfd2072…
07-14 13:33:16	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0x4f3bfb…
07-14 13:33:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	62	87¢	$54	0xe55c72…
07-12 03:33:56	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	1,333	2¢	$33	0x80e0f8…
07-12 03:32:31	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	1,176	4¢	$50	0x16dc9e…
07-12 03:27:04	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x6938bb…
07-12 01:00:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	70	52¢	$36	0x23e711…
07-12 01:00:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	64	57¢	$36	0x9f67dd…
07-12 00:56:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xdca7e5…
07-12 00:56:26	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xd16aca…
07-11 03:09:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xa7a523…
07-11 03:08:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xda3f17…
07-10 13:36:49	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	36	87¢	$31	0x422d94…
07-09 00:24:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	60	41¢	$25	0x0aa408…
07-08 23:59:44	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x63ab61…
07-08 23:58:31	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x853b26…
07-06 14:11:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x27574e…
07-06 14:09:46	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x9b89f9…
07-06 14:09:20	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xe25915…
07-06 14:05:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	63	87¢	$55	0xa91b6b…
07-05 10:19:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x64fdd9…
07-03 13:35:22	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x155fa8…
07-02 04:44:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x6acda6…
07-02 04:44:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x61aacf…
07-01 13:45:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x3c96e5…
06-30 13:20:19	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf337bb…
06-29 16:19:16	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3a27f0…
06-28 01:08:08	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbbe8ef…
06-20 03:27:55	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 spread away 1pt5	Paraguay	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x4461a3…
06-17 11:57:14	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xeec516…
06-14 05:39:49	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	53	48¢	$25	0xa3bb34…
06-06 13:33:12	cs2 ts7 bb3 2026 06 06	Spirit	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7aed54…
06-05 13:47:55	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7be7f5…
06-04 13:45:54	bitcoin above 58k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x983776…
06-03 13:11:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x359dbb…
06-01 12:33:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x22c85d…
05-31 13:16:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0xed222e…
05-30 02:17:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6f3ff…
05-28 01:01:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8c67f7…
05-27 01:25:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xef5374…
05-27 01:24:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x50b89c…
05-26 00:47:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xea5f2a…
05-26 00:46:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x978808…
05-25 00:46:45	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x8c901b…
05-25 00:44:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xc86d8b…
05-25 00:42:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xcc3946…
05-25 00:36:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	996	99¢	$990	0xa5efef…
05-24 01:10:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0xf241b8…
05-24 01:09:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xa0e197…
05-23 04:54:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0xe32370…
05-23 02:49:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5f3f9e…
05-23 02:48:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	301	99¢	$297	0x4cd488…
05-23 02:48:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x77e719…
05-22 03:13:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x4ca5d1…
05-21 10:30:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x3082e9…
05-20 00:29:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4699f7…
05-20 00:28:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xb496db…
05-20 00:24:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	400	97¢	$389	0xdd16b5…
05-20 00:24:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x63595d…
05-20 00:17:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xb3ad22…
05-19 09:21:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xba283e…
05-18 09:31:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	165	8¢	$13	0xecf4cd…
05-18 09:30:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0xd62c23…
05-18 07:58:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,100	0x3921be…
05-16 23:21:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfff6d1…
05-16 23:20:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	532	100¢	$530	0x383e99…
05-16 13:00:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x40ae65…
05-15 08:20:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	104	99¢	$102	0x36eb1e…
05-15 07:50:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x434880…
05-15 07:49:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x8336aa…
05-15 07:49:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x811f1d…
05-15 07:47:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x1b5249…
05-14 11:24:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xd3bd94…
05-14 11:24:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x76e1b2…
05-14 11:22:50	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x287e0c…
05-14 11:22:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	120	78¢	$94	0x96ea89…
05-14 11:21:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	262	94¢	$248	0x0b5114…
05-14 11:20:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x95b5a2…
05-14 11:18:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	238	94¢	$223	0x07ce80…
05-14 11:18:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xecad45…
05-13 10:36:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	190	92¢	$175	0x5ccdb2…
05-13 10:36:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x7b6b05…
05-12 04:46:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	362	94¢	$340	0x7472a2…
05-11 06:23:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	188	96¢	$180	0x5dc245…
05-10 11:09:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	130	97¢	$126	0x38d38f…
05-10 11:09:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x818771…
05-10 11:08:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xdac128…
05-10 11:08:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xe04a48…
05-10 11:07:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0xd13a0e…
05-09 09:17:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcdc451…
05-09 08:56:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	148	99¢	$147	0x51ecfa…