Fumbling-Health — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$445

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

403

Trades

590

lifetime

Volume

$101.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$173

Open exposure

$100

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 11-13 06:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 219 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 91% -$343

Other

8% 79% -$82

Politics

2% 25% -$18

Sports

0% 60% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 13?	Yes		+100	$99	100¢	$100	+$1	11-13 06:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	8	$2.9K	1,900	1,000	+900	No	+$5	07-10 10:32
bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$1	07-20 01:06
bitcoin above 70k on july 16 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	07-16 04:16
bitcoin above 68k on august 18 2026	5	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	08-18 00:50
bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	07-07 05:13
bitcoin above 68k on july 15 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	07-15 10:32
bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	06-21 14:48
bitcoin above 68k on august 15 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$4	08-15 02:04
bitcoin above 68k on august 4 2026	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$4	08-04 02:48
bitcoin above 68k on august 13 2026	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$5	08-12 17:22
bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$6	08-19 02:11
bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	13	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$2	08-13 16:07
bitcoin above 66k on march 16	2	$1.6K	1,602	0	+1,602	Yes	+$2	03-16 03:47
bitcoin above 82k on march 17	1	$1.6K	1,602	0	+1,602	No	+$2	03-17 03:20
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	1	$1.6K	1,602	0	+1,602	Yes	+$2	03-19 03:35
bitcoin above 68k on march 18	1	$1.6K	1,602	0	+1,602	Yes	+$2	03-18 03:49
bitcoin above 64k on june 30 2026	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$8	06-30 04:08
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-20 10:50
bitcoin above 58k on august 5 2026	2	$1.4K	680	680	+0	Yes	+$3	08-04 16:38
bitcoin above 68k on august 20 2026	3	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$951	08-20 06:25
bitcoin above 70k on august 8 2026	2	$1.0K	1,006	0	+1,006	No	+$3	08-07 12:36
bitcoin above 68k on june 24 2026	1	$1000	1,005	0	+1,005	No	+$5	06-23 08:49
bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	1	$1000	1,003	0	+1,003	No	+$3	06-25 10:24
bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	2	$1000	1,002	0	+1,002	No	+$2	07-03 00:07
bitcoin above 70k on august 10 2026	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$2	08-09 13:41
bitcoin above 68k on june 28 2026	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$2	06-27 09:14
bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$2	07-23 17:37
bitcoin above 70k on august 6 2026	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$2	08-05 13:58
bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$2	07-31 14:10
bitcoin above 68k on july 5 2026	5	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$2	07-04 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 06:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb72863…
11-12 04:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x377484…
11-12 04:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb3f16…
11-11 06:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7270fe…
11-10 06:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or higher on November 10?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x795895…
11-08 01:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 8?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x4fca06…
11-07 23:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 8?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x01672c…
11-07 04:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 7?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x8c784f…
11-07 04:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 7?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xaf562e…
11-05 04:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 5?	No	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x175129…
11-05 04:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 5?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x8d5ded…
11-05 04:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 5?	No	BUY	80	93¢	$75	0x9fd727…
11-05 04:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x83d0fc…
11-05 04:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 5?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x40c7c1…
11-03 03:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 3?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xded27c…
11-01 01:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 1?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x4e7f84…
11-01 01:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 1?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0x2762a8…
10-31 01:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 31?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa22ded…
10-30 04:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xca9b4f…
10-30 04:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0x4e7f58…
10-29 08:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbe0439…
10-28 07:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x430a2d…
10-28 07:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3523be…
10-28 07:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x75b089…
10-28 07:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf51dda…
10-28 07:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7acaed…
10-26 06:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	34	93¢	$32	0x3428c5…
10-26 06:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0x508df9…
10-25 04:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x41a82d…
10-23 06:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x7730f9…
10-23 06:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x3cdb98…
10-21 08:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x88b735…
10-21 08:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0xc1bf80…
10-21 08:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x18a46a…
10-13 06:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	82	92¢	$75	0xdd6d67…
10-12 07:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x1747bf…
10-12 07:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4ccd62…
10-12 07:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x95f185…
10-12 07:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2e5c45…
10-11 08:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 11?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x23c4a2…
10-11 08:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$59	0xad1e10…
10-10 08:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x5ce178…
10-09 07:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 9?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xcb9a03…
10-09 07:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0x02d9b3…
10-08 08:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x3ac37c…
10-07 06:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xdccac7…
10-05 05:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	97	93¢	$90	0x4b4978…
10-05 03:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xb3c566…
10-01 08:15:17	will jumper launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x99ca4d…
10-01 07:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x6ed362…
10-01 07:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd79a75…
10-01 07:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 1?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x5eb69c…
10-01 07:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x1b7d1b…
09-26 08:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1d4ab2…
09-25 14:12:00	will jumper launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x70b661…
09-17 06:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x89e442…
09-17 06:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x1330d7…
09-16 06:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xffeb3c…
09-16 06:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x156847…
09-15 03:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 15?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xcd2965…
09-13 06:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 13?	No	SELL	94	92¢	$87	0x2e20b6…
09-13 06:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 13?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x71b94a…
09-13 06:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 13?	No	SELL	19	92¢	$18	0xa2a194…
09-13 06:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 13?	No	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0x42ad1c…
09-13 06:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 13?	No	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0x972e3b…
09-12 23:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 13?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xe5e037…
09-12 23:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 13?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x64558c…
09-12 23:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 13?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x58245a…
09-12 23:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 13?	No	BUY	83	90¢	$75	0x2bed03…
09-11 23:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 12?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x69b00f…
09-10 22:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 11?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x954ce9…
09-10 03:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 10?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x6ed0d9…
09-10 03:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 10?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$27	0x0898c1…
09-09 05:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 9?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0xc988f8…
09-09 05:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 9?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xbba65b…
09-09 05:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 9?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb31700…
09-09 05:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 9?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x7c9c49…
09-09 05:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 9?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x57559e…
09-09 05:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 9?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7c1d70…
09-09 04:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 9?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x24aea0…
09-09 04:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 9?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5f2e91…
09-09 04:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 9?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb6fecc…
09-09 04:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 9?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc37e93…
09-09 03:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 9?	No	BUY	64	93¢	$60	0x3ddb33…
09-09 01:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 9?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x92f268…
09-08 23:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 9?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x2fa1fa…
09-08 07:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 8?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0xd265f4…
09-08 07:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 8?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$71	0x9c55fa…
09-08 07:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 8?	No	SELL	69	98¢	$68	0x21a38f…
09-08 06:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 8?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x23c6b7…
09-08 06:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 8?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xacaae8…
09-08 06:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 8?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x62af89…
09-08 00:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 8?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xd06d92…
09-07 21:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 8?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x3fe0d1…
09-07 21:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 8?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x976226…
09-07 16:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 8?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x131882…
09-07 14:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 8?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0xaa86a8…
09-06 04:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	262	98¢	$257	0xfca082…
09-05 09:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x0868ac…
09-05 08:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xd5c7d2…