Rundown-Castle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$130

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-22 06:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 29% $-17

Politics

7% 0% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	3	$17	54	54	+0	Up	$-13	05-08 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-22 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-22 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$12	32	0	+32	open	—	05-18 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	4	$9	150	0	+150	open	—	05-16 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$7	210	0	+210	open	—	05-22 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 13:09
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$6	5,960	0	+5,960	open	—	05-13 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-16 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$5	37	0	+37	open	—	05-16 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 13:57
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	1	$4	1,213	0	+1,213	Yes	$-4	05-08 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-17 15:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	3	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	$-3	05-13 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$2	1,500	0	+1,500	Down	$-2	05-08 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$2	150	0	+150	open	—	05-17 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET	2	$2	17	0	+17	open	—	05-17 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	05-17 16:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-13 12:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	1	$1	167	0	+167	Yes	$-1	05-13 12:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 06:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x721c7e…
05-22 06:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4b7f7a…
05-22 06:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x29ecc5…
05-22 06:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xebfc3a…
05-22 06:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xe69cd8…
05-22 05:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x561330…
05-18 00:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	36¢	$12	0x59eee5…
05-17 16:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb7a9ba…
05-17 16:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x234b81…
05-17 16:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0f59ef…
05-17 15:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x869515…
05-17 15:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x48d201…
05-17 15:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4c8868…
05-17 06:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x094a11…
05-17 06:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1fb874…
05-16 09:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa8be5c…
05-16 09:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x18f74d…
05-16 09:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xd0b635…
05-16 09:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xe23e99…
05-16 09:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe0890e…
05-16 08:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0xfcd74e…
05-16 08:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8ec21d…
05-16 08:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xee3d0a…
05-13 12:23:38	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5,960	0¢	$6	0x427426…
05-13 12:06:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa159d1…
05-13 12:05:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1f8738…
05-13 12:03:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe68300…
05-13 12:02:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x84a8d8…
05-13 11:59:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x86234c…
05-08 14:22:25	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	1,213	0¢	$4	0xf0cca6…
05-08 14:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x9bf5cc…
05-08 14:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x43bb21…
05-08 14:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xdb1084…
05-08 13:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe4f6c2…
05-08 13:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x890ddb…
05-08 13:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2171e4…
05-08 13:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5d9565…
05-08 13:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa6b38e…
05-08 12:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x924f82…
05-08 12:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4f790d…