Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 17?
open
Total volume
$791
$241 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$6,033
Latest YES mid
76¢
Latest NO mid
24¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-17 06:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-73.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $5
vs crowd: 73% YES on $322)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $160 | $40 | +$121 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $31 | $6 | +$25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $44 | $41 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 3 | $3 | $30 | $27 |
| Below median | 7 | $26 | $3 | +$23 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $31 | $4 | +$27 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $160 | $35 | +$125 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | $1 | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +810 | $567 | $567 | 11 | 05-17 06:24 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +65 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 05-16 07:15 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | +45 | $31 | $31 | 3 | 05-16 17:35 |
| Uneven-Tolerant 0xd681…d9df | No | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-14 16:18 |
| Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 11:41 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 00:24 |
| Gentle-Cactus 0x6e63…a1cf | Yes | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 17:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x0130…d0f8 | Yes | +13 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 07:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x8116…b2a8 | No | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 12:55 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-16 11:35 |
| Rotating-Softening 0x6ae9…14fe | No | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 10:21 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 04:02 |
| Honored-Nail 0x45db…f976 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 00:13 |
| Tired-Freckle 0x3501…61ae | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 21:52 |
| Whole-Aggression 0x62ac…b8cb | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9208…cc52 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x898d…47b2 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 17:35 |
| Grotesque-Unibody 0x1606…de00 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $4 | 4 | 05-16 11:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 06:24:47 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 79¢ | $395 | 0x9d6b65… |
| 05-17 06:24:19 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 78¢ | $12 | 0x66eb10… |
| 05-17 06:24:19 | (anonymous) 0xaf9a…3e34 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 78¢ | $0 | 0x760cf7… |
| 05-17 02:48:43 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 84¢ | $18 | 0xdb8487… |
| 05-17 00:59:38 | Whole-Aggression 0x62ac…b8cb | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x9430a1… |
| 05-16 21:52:17 | Tired-Freckle 0x3501…61ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xb132ed… |
| 05-16 17:35:02 | (anonymous) 0x898d…47b2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x9cd8da… |
| 05-16 17:35:01 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x565890… |
| 05-16 17:26:47 | Gentle-Cactus 0x6e63…a1cf | Yes | BUY | 14 | 70¢ | $10 | 0xb8b1da… |
| 05-16 17:07:46 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x731c2a… |
| 05-16 16:10:36 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x4fb728… |
| 05-16 14:45:19 | (anonymous) 0x9208…cc52 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x4ec17b… |
| 05-16 14:45:17 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 62¢ | $15 | 0x5747e5… |
| 05-16 12:55:57 | (anonymous) 0x8116…b2a8 | No | BUY | 12 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x36cd31… |
| 05-16 11:41:03 | Grotesque-Unibody 0x1606…de00 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0xb45da5… |
| 05-16 11:41:03 | Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x1b851c… |
| 05-16 11:41:03 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 63¢ | $11 | 0xf0a20a… |
| 05-16 11:35:58 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x6312a7… |
| 05-16 10:21:29 | Rotating-Softening 0x6ae9…14fe | No | BUY | 9 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xd6c24b… |
| 05-16 09:18:22 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 71¢ | $71 | 0x9096f2… |
| 05-16 07:25:03 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x1fc260… |
| 05-16 07:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x0130…d0f8 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 57¢ | $8 | 0x1194d6… |
| 05-16 07:15:06 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0xb9a84d… |
| 05-16 06:21:17 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 22¢ | $9 | 0x68c493… |
| 05-16 04:33:05 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xb03f3d… |
| 05-16 01:24:15 | Grotesque-Unibody 0x1606…de00 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xfed4ed… |
| 05-16 00:24:16 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x7844ea… |
| 05-16 00:13:37 | Honored-Nail 0x45db…f976 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xfc92fa… |
| 05-15 14:54:49 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 37¢ | $9 | 0xf8c8fe… |
| 05-15 14:47:03 | Grotesque-Unibody 0x1606…de00 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xc51d10… |
| 05-15 14:47:01 | Wet-Map 0x3bc3…0900 | Yes | SELL | 136 | 36¢ | $49 | 0x841f81… |
| 05-15 14:46:33 | Wet-Map 0x3bc3…0900 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 34¢ | $8 | 0x95a06e… |
| 05-15 14:46:26 | Grotesque-Unibody 0x1606…de00 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x2b08d8… |
| 05-15 14:46:25 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0xab5190… |
| 05-15 13:51:59 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x86198c… |
| 05-15 13:51:57 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x6a62ed… |
| 05-15 13:51:57 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x937d7e… |
| 05-15 13:51:28 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 35¢ | $9 | 0xd05e05… |
| 05-15 04:02:56 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x8bda6f… |
| 05-14 16:18:46 | Uneven-Tolerant 0xd681…d9df | No | BUY | 27 | 92¢ | $25 | 0x5b6fd3… |
| 05-14 06:06:09 | Wet-Map 0x3bc3…0900 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x8ed486… |
| 05-14 06:04:47 | Wet-Map 0x3bc3…0900 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xcca476… |
| 05-14 06:04:40 | Wet-Map 0x3bc3…0900 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xe28f02… |
| 05-13 22:09:22 | Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xd76aa7… |