Realized P&L
+$33
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
64.4%
Resolved
131
Trades
2,739
lifetime
Volume
$8.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$91
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-09
last 06-20 18:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
41% 60% $-6
Other
36% 54% +$30
Crypto
13% 71% +$3
Sports
10% 55% +$6
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -17 $-16 98¢ $-17 $-1 06-08 14:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -22 $-17 72¢ $-16 +$1 06-13 07:31
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -29 $-17 55¢ $-16 +$2 06-13 07:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -16 $-13 96¢ $-16 $-3 06-14 14:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +22 $15 70¢ $15 +$0 06-04 20:17
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-15 18:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-20 18:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -13 $2 $-1 $-3 06-20 13:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -28 $-6 $-1 +$5 06-13 11:22
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -5 $3 $-0 $-3 06-13 17:55