Agonizing-Dynamics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

189

Trades

462

lifetime

Volume

$3.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-12 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 67% $0

Other

40% 61% -$21

Politics

3% 75% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 76k on march 11	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-11 09:24
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 140 164	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-07 15:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 1	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-01 12:35
bitcoin above 78k on march 14	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-14 02:51
bitcoin above 62k on march 6	4	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 11:15
bitcoin above 64k on march 5	4	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 11:58
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	4	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-09 10:18
bitcoin above 72k on february 27	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-27 11:54
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 460 479	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-02 16:55
bitcoin above 70k on february 23	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-23 12:44
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 440 459	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-30 09:14
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-08 11:45
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 165 189	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-18 11:07
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 140 164	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-26 16:35
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 190 214	6	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-25 17:27
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 580 599	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-20 15:22
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-28 16:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-09 03:30
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-13 06:47
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 400 419	3	$30	10	20	-10	No	+$0	02-19 13:07
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 140 164	4	$22	20	20	+0	No	+$1	01-19 16:04
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 540 559	10	$21	50	50	+0	No	+$1	01-06 05:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	5	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	05-24 00:07
bitcoin above 58k on march 3	3	$20	20	10	+10	Yes	$0	03-03 05:34
will bitcoin dip to 69k on march 15	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-16 02:50
bitcoin above 66k on march 17	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 00:06
bitcoin above 78k on march 22	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-21 19:25
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-14 14:50
will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-15 14:30
bitcoin above 74k on february 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-27 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 13:59:52	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x887c4e…
06-29 06:32:35	bitcoin above 66k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f7d31…
06-28 19:49:50	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfe6be1…
06-28 15:04:19	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca8e41…
06-04 06:16:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x38c52f…
06-03 16:11:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb335d3…
06-03 16:11:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8edc0e…
05-31 09:36:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x24ddab…
05-30 04:26:23	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd6ecf2…
05-29 08:48:38	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13ab53…
05-28 15:25:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa33b3b…
05-28 08:24:16	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x843e86…
05-28 06:00:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x06ed8a…
05-27 13:14:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0cfd6…
05-26 23:47:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x570c4e…
05-25 23:50:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ffa5b…
05-25 07:55:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x38d7e9…
05-25 00:16:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04cd14…
05-25 00:15:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x08e210…
05-24 19:55:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf3a49c…
05-24 13:50:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80ff83…
05-24 00:07:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7f5615…
05-24 00:07:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3d057f…
05-24 00:07:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xddabfd…
05-23 17:22:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5e3f3…
05-23 15:43:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3b0bd6…
05-23 07:01:43	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa0dc66…
05-22 15:37:29	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f493f…
05-22 12:56:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x92a300…
05-21 07:32:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe300b2…
05-19 10:14:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x27542b…
05-19 04:54:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x486f65…
05-15 14:41:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x20ec85…
05-14 04:15:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x35053f…
05-14 01:03:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd3452…
05-13 06:15:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x63b6e6…
05-12 16:52:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7b159e…
05-09 03:30:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3e4a20…
05-08 09:14:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6ced23…
05-08 09:11:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf0bbfe…
04-27 07:57:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7b9597…
04-26 00:58:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf020f1…
04-24 23:56:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f1b4e…
04-23 17:01:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe5b728…
04-23 00:05:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb78788…
04-22 15:14:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb90b5b…
04-19 01:16:58	will bitcoin reach 82k april 13 19	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x259f9a…
04-16 15:56:50	will bitcoin reach 82k april 13 19	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2c2e73…
04-16 08:07:18	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xea52ea…
04-15 17:53:32	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x64db88…
04-15 05:36:42	bitcoin above 82k on april 16	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa20008…
04-15 00:03:42	bitcoin above 82k on april 16	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x607a20…
04-14 20:39:20	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6beab4…
04-14 16:06:53	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x40083d…
04-14 14:59:13	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xabd8b2…
04-13 14:28:15	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa4875…
04-12 04:57:57	bitcoin above 80k on april 13	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x79d91d…
04-08 03:01:05	bitcoin above 80k on april 13	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa6b880…
04-07 16:36:21	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe6fc28…
04-07 09:56:47	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0801d4…
04-07 02:35:53	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x131251…
04-05 23:36:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6bdf14…
04-05 01:38:47	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9a552b…
04-03 16:28:25	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0252c3…
04-02 17:17:25	bitcoin above 58k on april 3	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x91fc02…
04-02 13:25:49	bitcoin above 58k on april 3	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6ef7d…
04-02 10:45:27	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1e4118…
04-01 09:55:21	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x94469f…
04-01 03:38:19	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x81af79…
03-31 17:38:15	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3eeecd…
03-30 12:39:04	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd2cb13…
03-30 08:16:10	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd8916f…
03-30 04:56:10	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2b644f…
03-29 13:50:30	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00e568…
03-28 16:10:47	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb3004f…
03-27 09:23:09	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x23bbbf…
03-27 08:51:23	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x82a431…
03-26 01:35:59	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb7b783…
03-25 15:41:09	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 25	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xa227c1…
03-25 15:39:21	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 25	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xc344fe…
03-25 12:19:59	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x472bab…
03-24 17:01:53	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb415ee…
03-24 15:41:45	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9ec24c…
03-24 15:28:13	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfd491f…
03-24 09:49:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x93a3fd…
03-24 08:17:05	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a89ef…
03-24 04:38:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcb7b9c…
03-23 15:26:19	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc13b9a…
03-23 10:46:17	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8754cf…
03-23 10:30:05	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34ce3d…
03-23 01:07:59	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 16 22	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x560787…
03-22 16:40:09	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 16 22	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48ee21…
03-22 06:22:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 22	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2ba734…
03-22 06:21:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 22	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb56ea…
03-21 19:25:25	bitcoin above 78k on march 22	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xde3910…
03-21 17:18:31	bitcoin above 78k on march 22	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20eaf2…
03-21 14:11:51	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 21	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x105b98…
03-21 11:17:19	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 21	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf21e5…
03-20 19:29:43	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 20	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbb7756…
03-20 16:50:01	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 20	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6204d…