Plump-Reciprocity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-01 10:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 50% $-2

Other

32% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	03-30 12:25
bitcoin above 74k on march 19	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	03-19 12:37
ethereum above 2400 on april 4	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	04-03 09:07
highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 72 73f	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	04-10 09:46
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 23	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	03-22 10:35
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	03-26 09:43
bitcoin above 96k on january 24	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	01-24 01:29
ethereum above 1700 on march 8	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-08 06:04
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 400 419	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	02-08 11:46
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	02-01 11:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 18	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	01-18 11:18
ethereum above 2300 on march 1	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-01 07:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	05-04 02:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	04-26 07:36
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	01-30 10:56
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	04-23 12:26
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 4	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-04 08:06
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-14 06:55
bitcoin above 66k on march 10	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-10 12:31
ethereum above 2900 on january 4	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-04 07:07
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 98forhigher	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-15 06:40
ethereum above 2700 on april 18	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-18 03:50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	05-23 06:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	05-12 13:04
will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	1	$75	75	+75	open	—	01-08 10:56
xrp above 1pt6 on january 9	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	01-08 10:55
ethereum above 1700 on august 1 2026	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	08-01 10:35
ethereum above 2600 on april 15	1	$2	1,100	+1,100	open	—	04-15 06:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	1	$2	1,100	+1,100	Yes	$-2	05-12 13:03
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 4	1	$2	590	+590	open	—	01-04 07:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 10:35:24	ethereum above 1700 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc9e13c…
05-23 06:32:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x2aad2a…
05-12 13:04:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x1b5d35…
05-12 13:03:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,100	0¢	$2	0x62f7dd…
05-04 02:23:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x41d630…
04-26 07:36:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x4dc95f…
04-23 12:26:58	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xd54330…
04-18 03:50:56	ethereum above 2700 on april 18	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x450c5e…
04-15 06:40:08	highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 98forhigher	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x324b4b…
04-15 06:37:48	ethereum above 2600 on april 15	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$2	0xb7d528…
04-10 09:46:49	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x79ee8a…
04-03 09:07:43	ethereum above 2400 on april 4	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x0c3bbb…
03-30 12:25:24	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xddb679…
03-26 09:43:31	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x630b7b…
03-22 10:35:13	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 23	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xf3d736…
03-19 12:37:29	bitcoin above 74k on march 19	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x31eefc…
03-14 06:55:15	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x30e999…
03-10 12:31:57	bitcoin above 66k on march 10	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xf7a8b5…
03-08 06:04:49	ethereum above 1700 on march 8	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x59487c…
03-04 08:06:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 4	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x3fa517…
03-01 07:57:17	ethereum above 2300 on march 1	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x61792e…
02-08 11:46:17	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 400 419	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x5c132a…
02-01 11:00:22	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 0 39	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x05b1dc…
01-30 10:56:36	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xf98509…
01-24 01:29:52	bitcoin above 96k on january 24	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x1c5cae…
01-18 11:18:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 18	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x29714a…
01-08 10:56:09	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xf2a759…
01-08 10:55:41	xrp above 1pt6 on january 9	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x79c2ff…
01-04 07:07:53	ethereum above 2900 on january 4	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xde2729…
01-04 07:07:31	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 4	Yes	BUY	590	0¢	$2	0x54929d…