Optimal-Pepper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

179

Trades

427

lifetime

Volume

$3.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 07-12 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 69% +$0

Other

41% 72% +$2

Politics

2% 75% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 460 479	6	$50	30	20	+10	No	+$0	02-02 16:54
bitcoin above 76k on march 11	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-11 09:22
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 140 164	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-07 15:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 1	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-01 12:35
bitcoin above 78k on march 14	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-14 02:51
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 215 239	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-08 11:04
bitcoin above 62k on march 6	4	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 11:06
bitcoin above 64k on march 5	4	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 11:58
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	4	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-09 10:18
bitcoin above 72k on february 27	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-27 11:54
bitcoin above 70k on february 23	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-23 12:44
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 165 189	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-16 09:17
will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 16	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-16 19:49
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 440 459	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-30 09:14
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-08 11:44
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 165 189	5	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-18 11:07
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 140 164	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-26 16:35
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 190 214	5	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-25 17:27
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 580 599	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-20 15:22
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-28 16:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-09 03:30
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-13 06:47
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 115 139	5	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	01-14 16:59
bitcoin above 68k on february 23	4	$34	20	15	+5	No	+$0	02-23 16:21
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 400 419	3	$30	10	20	-10	No	+$0	02-19 13:07
bitcoin above 72k on march 30	3	$30	20	10	+10	No	+$0	03-30 12:39
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	4	$29	26	26	+0	No	+$5	01-27 16:56
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	7	$23	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	01-17 11:49
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 140 164	4	$23	20	20	+0	No	+$2	01-19 16:02
bitcoin above 58k on march 3	3	$20	20	10	+10	Yes	$0	03-03 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 13:59:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x34c307…
06-29 14:05:40	bitcoin above 66k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x027bcf…
06-29 06:32:35	bitcoin above 66k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f7d31…
06-28 19:49:50	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfe6be1…
06-28 12:36:10	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x824d71…
06-08 10:46:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbdb9f6…
05-30 23:42:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x39237d…
05-30 22:00:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x321e6f…
05-30 16:16:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x95d8db…
05-30 04:26:23	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd6ecf2…
05-30 03:58:02	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xee8bef…
05-29 08:48:38	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13ab53…
05-28 15:25:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa33b3b…
05-28 08:18:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x833493…
05-28 06:00:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x61fa5b…
05-27 13:14:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0cfd6…
05-24 19:55:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf3a49c…
05-24 13:50:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80ff83…
05-24 00:02:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x6dc245…
05-23 15:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x20fe78…
05-23 07:01:43	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa0dc66…
05-22 15:37:29	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f493f…
05-21 14:17:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc693b2…
05-20 16:37:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x996c9c…
05-19 09:28:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3f0712…
05-19 02:37:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bd290…
05-14 04:15:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfc4f9b…
05-14 01:03:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd3452…
05-13 16:01:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x67c6e9…
05-12 15:06:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x110055…
05-10 11:16:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x24ec31…
05-09 16:43:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3277e6…
05-09 03:30:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3e4a20…
05-08 09:14:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb22d04…
05-08 09:11:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf0bbfe…
05-06 01:54:18	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x7b5be0…
05-06 01:21:32	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x3cc509…
04-26 10:56:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3f0ec0…
04-25 22:21:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe9469c…
04-25 21:03:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xebe4a7…
04-24 23:56:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f1b4e…
04-23 16:44:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc85e50…
04-23 00:05:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf20ef0…
04-22 15:14:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb90b5b…
04-21 20:50:02	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x52874c…
04-21 15:46:08	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x40621b…
04-21 00:11:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xddf242…
04-19 05:10:22	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc67f1d…
04-19 01:16:58	will bitcoin reach 82k april 13 19	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x259f9a…
04-16 15:56:50	will bitcoin reach 82k april 13 19	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2c2e73…
04-16 08:07:18	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xea52ea…
04-15 17:53:32	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x64db88…
04-15 15:55:52	bitcoin above 82k on april 16	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf9083c…
04-15 00:02:28	bitcoin above 82k on april 16	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x448f2a…
04-14 20:39:20	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6beab4…
04-14 16:06:53	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x40083d…
04-14 14:59:03	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc04294…
04-14 14:58:29	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3414c4…
04-13 06:03:15	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe09183…
04-12 04:57:57	bitcoin above 80k on april 13	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x79d91d…
04-08 03:01:05	bitcoin above 80k on april 13	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa6b880…
04-07 16:36:21	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe6fc28…
04-07 09:56:47	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0801d4…
04-07 02:35:29	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6714f2…
04-05 04:37:59	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd3255f…
04-05 01:38:47	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9a552b…
04-04 12:54:23	bitcoin above 58k on april 5	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8e7d20…
04-03 16:22:59	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x88f8c6…
04-03 06:14:51	bitcoin above 58k on april 5	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa5571d…
04-02 17:17:23	bitcoin above 58k on april 3	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8d4abc…
04-02 13:25:49	bitcoin above 58k on april 3	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6ef7d…
04-02 11:48:41	bitcoin above 58k on april 3	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6b1f34…
04-02 10:05:25	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1c7d1a…
04-01 09:55:21	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x94469f…
04-01 03:37:49	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4accf1…
03-31 17:21:27	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe350fa…
03-30 12:39:04	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd2cb13…
03-30 08:16:10	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd8916f…
03-30 07:06:30	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x77dfbc…
03-30 04:56:10	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2b644f…
03-29 13:39:00	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x131bb7…
03-28 16:10:47	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb3004f…
03-27 09:22:35	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2ec31e…
03-27 08:51:23	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x82a431…
03-26 01:35:25	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc55430…
03-25 15:40:35	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 25	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x935669…
03-25 15:38:53	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 25	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x950335…
03-25 12:19:59	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x472bab…
03-24 17:01:19	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5ba9a…
03-24 15:41:45	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9ec24c…
03-24 15:27:39	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbb2a22…
03-24 09:49:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x93a3fd…
03-24 08:16:31	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd2da5…
03-24 04:38:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcb7b9c…
03-23 15:25:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa48ef6…
03-23 10:45:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa4dae4…
03-23 10:29:29	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ed321…
03-23 01:07:59	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 16 22	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x560787…
03-22 16:39:35	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 16 22	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x237041…
03-22 06:22:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 22	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x62c38b…