Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$194
$560 in 24h
Trades
42
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$1,038
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 04:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $26 | $26 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $33 | $124 | $91 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $8 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | $115 | $114 |
| Below median | 6 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $11 | $26 | $15 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | +132 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-11 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | +107 | $93 | $93 | 16 | 05-11 04:29 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-11 19:24 |
| Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-11 10:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4ba…c5d8 | Yes | +21 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 01:08 |
| Triangular-Register 0x0b26…d309 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 23:27 |
| Unfinished-Correspondent 0xf038…e718 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 14:48 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 15:17 |
| Striped-Herring-Kick 0x982f…1105 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 15:38 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:13 |
| Bad-Fry-Epoxy 0x4404…be3d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 19:54 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 03:13 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 05:19 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 04:10 |
| Numb-Birthday 0x1e40…1405 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 23:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 04:10:26 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x75ce5c… |
| 05-12 03:13:51 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xe6c630… |
| 05-12 03:13:41 | (anonymous) 0x3e14…9187 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x59233c… |
| 05-12 01:08:18 | (anonymous) 0xa4ba…c5d8 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 48¢ | $10 | 0xf8264e… |
| 05-12 00:11:48 | Low-Mail 0xbc13…5eb6 | No | SELL | 7 | 50¢ | $4 | 0xaaafcb… |
| 05-11 23:38:21 | Numb-Birthday 0x1e40…1405 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xfad1f5… |
| 05-11 23:27:45 | Triangular-Register 0x0b26…d309 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xca5be1… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x454cde… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x1be788… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x9fa297… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x30d035… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xef2a07… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf343c5… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x92c4b7… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xfeb336… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf71f09… |
| 05-11 15:38:17 | Striped-Herring-Kick 0x982f…1105 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x1f2d79… |
| 05-11 15:17:28 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7476cc… |
| 05-11 14:48:02 | Unfinished-Correspondent 0xf038…e718 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x183c17… |
| 05-11 10:28:01 | Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x96f54c… |
| 05-11 10:27:54 | Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0xc0e7e4… |
| 05-11 05:19:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x3b9183… |
| 05-11 05:19:24 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xfc9d5a… |
| 05-11 04:29:16 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x961f1f… |
| 05-11 04:28:44 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x1f3111… |
| 05-11 04:28:16 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xbc0265… |
| 05-11 04:27:43 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x768241… |
| 05-11 04:23:59 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x7258c7… |
| 05-11 04:23:26 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x0777de… |
| 05-11 04:22:56 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x6e8e37… |
| 05-11 04:22:23 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xda9428… |
| 05-11 04:19:12 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x708b49… |
| 05-11 04:18:46 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x58565c… |
| 05-11 04:18:14 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xdfb4e9… |
| 05-11 04:17:41 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xb3b040… |
| 05-11 04:17:10 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xaf3c1a… |
| 05-11 04:13:57 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x759abb… |
| 05-11 04:13:26 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x0245e8… |
| 05-11 04:12:56 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x572d40… |
| 05-11 00:04:14 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 132 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x951786… |
| 05-10 19:54:21 | Bad-Fry-Epoxy 0x4404…be3d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x835dc8… |
| 05-10 07:13:54 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xfbae53… |