Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 10?
open
Total volume
$1,167
$2,473 in 24h
Trades
57
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$4,785
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 14:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+100.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $0
vs crowd: 0% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $127 | $127 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $0 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $56 | $56 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | — | $277 | $277 |
| Median | 11 | — | $267 | $267 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $4 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | $16 | $16 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $533 | $533 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upright-Warming 0x4fbc…186d | No | +501 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-10 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | +178 | $178 | $178 | 1 | 05-10 07:38 |
| Third-Swimsuit-Iridescence 0x82d5…0614 | No | +106 | $106 | $106 | 3 | 05-10 10:21 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +62 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 05-10 13:17 |
| Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 4 | 05-10 10:29 |
| Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | +43 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-09 18:20 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 05-09 23:45 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 12:29 |
| Actual-Pipeline 0x61dc…3d86 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-09 00:19 |
| Well-Made-Veterinarian 0xd671…2caa | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-09 15:20 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 05-10 06:13 |
| Complex-Joey 0x21c4…09c8 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-10 01:40 |
| Naughty-Scarification 0xe2fe…1063 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 12:17 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 01:05 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 11:15 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 11:15 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 04:39 |
| Splendid-Seat 0x586e…2bff | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 15:37 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 23:45 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 23:26 |
| Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 10:09 |
| Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 14:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 14:51:10 | Shrill-Pest 0x7888…8632 | No | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xb89e38… |
| 05-10 13:17:34 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 62 | 100¢ | $62 | 0xcc3a14… |
| 05-10 12:17:19 | Naughty-Scarification 0xe2fe…1063 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x7fae50… |
| 05-10 11:15:34 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e9b18… |
| 05-10 11:15:34 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c0713… |
| 05-10 10:29:29 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x60fd09… |
| 05-10 10:21:19 | Third-Swimsuit-Iridescence 0x82d5…0614 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x867d2a… |
| 05-10 10:20:51 | Third-Swimsuit-Iridescence 0x82d5…0614 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xb76eb8… |
| 05-10 10:18:15 | Third-Swimsuit-Iridescence 0x82d5…0614 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x9239b4… |
| 05-10 07:38:20 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 178 | 100¢ | $178 | 0x98a527… |
| 05-10 06:13:00 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3563ad… |
| 05-10 06:06:22 | Upright-Warming 0x4fbc…186d | No | BUY | 501 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xd27dc2… |
| 05-10 06:01:49 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xc1670c… |
| 05-10 05:58:25 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x565d29… |
| 05-10 01:40:28 | Complex-Joey 0x21c4…09c8 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x05ace8… |
| 05-10 01:05:14 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x9be5d4… |
| 05-10 01:05:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4236fc… |
| 05-10 00:55:55 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1c87c… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2d06d4… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b660b… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x44654a… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xefb27e… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x739a86… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x616d3a… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa43bb3… |
| 05-09 23:45:27 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc30b6a… |
| 05-09 23:45:27 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x23b224… |
| 05-09 23:45:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe86a74… |
| 05-09 23:45:27 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc627c4… |
| 05-09 23:45:27 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd6aa79… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3ef496… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde1b13… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x145a91… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3e960c… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb22ea… |
| 05-09 22:10:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x856fd7… |
| 05-09 22:10:28 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda7692… |
| 05-09 21:48:09 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4928cf… |
| 05-09 21:48:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x107b39… |
| 05-09 20:23:32 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x7a2398… |
| 05-09 18:20:38 | Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | BUY | 43 | 100¢ | $43 | 0x50b979… |
| 05-09 15:37:14 | Splendid-Seat 0x586e…2bff | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x35218b… |
| 05-09 15:20:19 | Well-Made-Veterinarian 0xd671…2caa | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x76fe3e… |
| 05-09 14:38:19 | Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xc06e73… |
| 05-09 10:09:56 | Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xad9a86… |
| 05-09 00:31:02 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x653022… |
| 05-09 00:31:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf6078a… |
| 05-09 00:31:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x827b1c… |
| 05-09 00:19:53 | Actual-Pipeline 0x61dc…3d86 | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x848f3c… |
| 05-08 23:26:32 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x63c211… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2d1b18… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd8852e… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xae4eb9… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b4a5e… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x1b7a2d… |
| 05-08 06:29:53 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x49607b… |
| 05-08 04:39:16 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xebe938… |