Splendid-Seat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

342

Trades

663

lifetime

Volume

$8.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-01 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

80% 87% -$12

Crypto

11% 88% +$0

Politics

7% 56% $0

Sports

2% 54% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	6	$134	67	67	+0	No	$0	05-19 19:16
Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	6	$91	45	45	+0	No	$0	05-16 19:30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 17?	4	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	05-17 06:17
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 19c	4	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	04-15 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 10?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-10 11:55
highest temperature in miami on march 28 2026 73forbelow	1	$60	61	0	+61	No	+$0	03-28 02:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	3	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 01:57
Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-18 23:01
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on May 7?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-07 18:45
Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-15 17:06
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 22corhigher	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	04-03 04:20
Will Alfonso López Chau and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	04-13 18:15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 18?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-17 19:14
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 10?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-09 16:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-07 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 49°C on May 16?	4	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-15 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 8?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-08 21:09
Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-18 03:56
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or higher on May 4?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-04 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 4?	5	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-04 08:23
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-04 22:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-15 08:11
highest temperature in houston on april 11 2026 70 71f	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	04-11 03:31
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	02-05 17:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on May 15?	4	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-15 06:28
Will John Walz win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	3	$52	35	18	+17	No	+$0	05-12 14:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 7?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-06 16:11
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$51	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	05-15 13:04
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	05-19 11:30
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 20	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-20 17:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:54:39	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa3fb80…
10-11 16:51:16	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x996d22…
10-11 16:50:27	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8838b5…
10-11 16:49:31	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x34ce59…
10-11 16:48:37	Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x71a033…
10-11 16:47:42	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7256ba…
10-11 16:46:52	Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0b3437…
10-08 20:57:59	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f8470…
09-23 16:19:58	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc59c7c…
09-18 06:11:10	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x24d68f…
09-13 08:08:42	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3f9411…
08-29 20:57:33	Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa361dc…
08-12 23:24:07	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeec76d…
08-10 08:31:12	Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9ea786…
08-08 02:39:09	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x807084…
08-08 02:38:03	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0ef8b0…
08-08 02:36:52	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdb10be…
08-08 02:35:42	Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4b653b…
08-08 02:34:33	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd43b22…
08-08 02:33:25	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf79e69…
07-29 10:10:35	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd28ad8…
07-25 20:52:43	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd8407f…
07-20 02:53:15	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x78fdde…
07-06 14:21:53	Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x98046d…
06-28 18:56:01	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x733646…
06-26 04:26:52	Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31abb4…
06-21 08:03:34	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x339839…
06-18 21:49:59	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xaa8c8e…
05-21 07:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 21?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x16d2a4…
05-20 16:56:17	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa7b216…
05-20 12:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7efab0…
05-20 12:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on May 20?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfd1609…
05-20 08:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on May 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb17587…
05-20 00:05:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3af3d3…
05-19 19:16:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xc4dfbf…
05-19 19:10:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x350554…
05-19 16:57:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x200be5…
05-19 13:37:16	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x84a9fd…
05-19 11:30:09	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x97a664…
05-19 11:29:36	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x286f5b…
05-19 10:54:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$8	0xdce9c9…
05-19 10:52:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1a0c02…
05-19 10:24:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbbe025…
05-19 09:46:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa6c0fc…
05-19 08:20:40	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x8f85e6…
05-19 06:38:33	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x502b3f…
05-19 01:50:39	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xed436b…
05-19 00:00:38	Will Joe Lester be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x25207c…
05-18 23:59:33	Will Douglas T. Muck Jr. be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0x3eeb64…
05-18 23:20:49	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc34f1e…
05-18 23:01:58	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9e8b90…
05-18 22:56:36	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x24ab8f…
05-18 22:50:29	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe1891e…
05-18 22:37:56	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1cc91d…
05-18 21:09:51	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x29f83b…
05-18 20:27:32	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdce8cd…
05-18 20:19:27	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8ff6b5…
05-18 19:00:13	Will Joe Lester be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x20ee2b…
05-18 18:50:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1f7818…
05-18 18:39:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb9eb3f…
05-18 18:36:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 19?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5098e0…
05-18 18:12:30	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 19?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xcbc299…
05-18 14:17:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1e162c…
05-18 13:30:27	Will Doug Mastriano win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x65aca1…
05-18 12:07:04	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x61a926…
05-18 10:50:46	Will Doug Mastriano win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb5659c…
05-18 10:33:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x178bcb…
05-18 10:27:50	Will Doug Mastriano win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1e873a…
05-18 08:28:22	Will Doug Mastriano win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe173f3…
05-18 08:24:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4680df…
05-18 06:53:49	Will Douglas T. Muck Jr. be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x42360f…
05-18 05:40:19	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x99708c…
05-18 03:56:31	Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x45db9d…
05-18 03:56:15	Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x833237…
05-18 03:19:19	Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7e14e5…
05-18 02:05:21	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6282d8…
05-18 01:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 18?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8c13f4…
05-18 01:14:43	Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc4fa26…
05-17 22:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x159a48…
05-17 21:09:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3be469…
05-17 19:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 18?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x178969…
05-17 19:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 18?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x9b73f6…
05-17 19:04:59	Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4f95c5…
05-17 18:56:40	Will William Lillich be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1df75d…
05-17 15:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 18?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa634f3…
05-17 14:18:04	Will William Lillich be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa0eff…
05-17 11:54:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 17?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa0ccd9…
05-17 11:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x378c83…
05-17 10:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 17?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x31deb0…
05-17 09:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x68757b…
05-17 06:17:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 17?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x415df9…
05-17 03:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9f7db5…
05-17 02:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa8f7c8…
05-16 22:41:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 17?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xade55f…
05-16 19:35:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 17?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0164d0…
05-16 19:30:10	Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb27907…
05-16 19:21:28	Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1edf7a…
05-16 19:18:54	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 16?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xccd1db…
05-16 18:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x04ad1e…
05-16 17:45:17	Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xac1750…