Lighthearted-Criteria — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.86K

Unrealized P&L

+$475

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

3,476

Trades

4,232

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-12 18:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

77% 98% +$1,498

Crypto

23% 94% +$365

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes		-1,097	-$509	3¢	$-34	+$475	05-12 18:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nothing ever happens microstrategy	36	$2.1K	1,815	1,815	+0	No	+$1,493	03-16 12:36
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	28	$989	688	688	+0	Yes	+$383	03-16 12:11
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	92	$530	283	283	+0	Yes	+$7	05-12 18:12
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	5	$509	0	1,097	-1,097	open	—	05-12 18:16
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	3	$65	34	34	+0	No	+$1	03-04 07:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$59	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	03-21 16:00
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	6	$43	45	0	+45	Yes	+$2	04-13 15:22
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	3	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	+$1	04-10 11:41
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	3	$23	158	158	+0	No	-$22	05-04 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:35 UTC	3	$15	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	04-08 08:41
highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 76 77f	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-05 14:47
highest temperature in paris on march 5 2026 16c	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-05 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 7?	2	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	+$4	05-07 18:37
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	03-04 18:37
Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	01-31 11:46
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	-$11	01-13 19:59
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-19 12:57
highest temperature in seattle on march 4 2026 48 49f	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-04 18:38
highest temperature in seattle on march 4 2026 56 57f	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-05 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:15 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-08 08:20
highest temperature in ankara on march 5 2026 8c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-05 11:34
highest temperature in miami on march 4 2026 76 77f	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-04 16:26
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-19 12:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:10 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-08 08:16
bitcoin above 62k on march 4	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-04 16:27
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-04 07:38
will donald trump say nuclear 3 times during israel president events on december 29	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	01-02 13:03
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 11:36
bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-11 14:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 11:20 UTC	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	04-08 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 18:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf86a58…
05-12 18:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc27fd2…
05-12 18:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x30f663…
05-12 18:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x46edf6…
05-12 18:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x114be2…
05-12 18:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd00af3…
05-12 18:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x573bb2…
05-12 18:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd63f9a…
05-12 18:31:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 12?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x08bb27…
05-12 18:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x621818…
05-12 18:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4b2ebd…
05-12 18:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5ac619…
05-12 18:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbd4fa7…
05-12 18:31:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf413fe…
05-12 18:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa511e3…
05-12 18:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6f44aa…
05-12 18:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5484fe…
05-12 18:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xf58b4c…
05-12 18:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xfcd445…
05-12 18:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x048cf3…
05-12 18:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb81806…
05-12 18:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xca899c…
05-12 18:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x114d79…
05-12 18:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x59bfff…
05-12 18:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x14d7cf…
05-12 18:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7b1399…
05-12 18:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8ecd78…
05-12 18:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5b243f…
05-12 18:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc699e4…
05-12 18:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x11450b…
05-12 18:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc8af25…
05-12 18:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x287412…
05-12 18:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x28cffb…
05-12 18:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x90615f…
05-12 18:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xde50c4…
05-12 18:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x96b0a4…
05-12 18:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa417fa…
05-12 18:24:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6b33c2…
05-12 18:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x467a59…
05-12 18:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x10a877…
05-12 18:23:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x759d52…
05-12 18:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xdb7ce0…
05-12 18:23:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x60a7aa…
05-12 18:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C or below on May 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd185b9…
05-12 18:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6c086c…
05-12 18:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x0d70c2…
05-12 18:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7d7903…
05-12 18:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x315db9…
05-12 18:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf09b5f…
05-12 18:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9538dd…
05-12 18:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x11a692…
05-12 18:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x26d3ba…
05-12 18:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x486153…
05-12 18:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x97cf6a…
05-12 18:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x379662…
05-12 18:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x12ced7…
05-12 18:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8bba93…
05-12 18:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x637ce9…
05-12 18:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xa38030…
05-12 18:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x85543b…
05-12 18:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x9865f2…
05-12 18:21:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 13?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x99a7d2…
05-12 18:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x3d4221…
05-12 18:20:48	Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xed600f…
05-12 18:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa0de33…
05-12 18:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5538d4…
05-12 18:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9cd2ae…
05-12 18:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc94309…
05-12 18:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe39837…
05-12 18:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5c0600…
05-12 18:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2399da…
05-12 18:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x713d18…
05-12 18:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf4c09f…
05-12 18:18:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5fd171…
05-12 18:16:27	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	SELL	153	46¢	$70	0x948053…
05-12 18:16:18	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	SELL	147	46¢	$68	0x10b5fc…
05-12 18:16:06	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	SELL	105	46¢	$49	0xfa6d92…
05-12 18:15:48	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	SELL	406	46¢	$187	0x978f84…
05-12 18:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9d7d6c…
05-12 18:15:24	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	SELL	285	48¢	$136	0xe6777c…
05-12 18:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5de563…
05-12 18:12:53	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	Yes	SELL	283	95¢	$268	0x17ecd2…
05-12 12:56:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 13?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2eb3d7…
05-12 12:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 13?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf18b0d…
05-12 12:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 13?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x576d35…
05-12 12:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0529c7…
05-12 12:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfc23bb…
05-12 12:51:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x36a210…
05-12 12:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8ff263…
05-12 12:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x31f599…
05-12 12:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 13?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5856d2…
05-12 12:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C on May 13?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdf2806…
05-12 10:37:24	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x93cc65…
05-12 10:37:17	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x566694…
05-12 10:37:06	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9d2e93…
05-12 10:36:57	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x55918c…
05-12 10:36:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x62a7b8…
05-12 10:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x273ef5…
05-12 10:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9aa01b…
05-12 10:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x29a0b9…