Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$506
$2,398 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$3,785
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 02:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $363 | $363 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $3 | $119 | $116 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $136 | $136 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $202 | $202 |
| Median | 8 | $2 | $62 | $61 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $66 | $66 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +200 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 05-11 23:40 |
| Formal-Asphalt 0xed22…6450 | Yes | +165 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 02:49 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +113 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 05-11 23:25 |
| Second-Hand-Recapitulation 0x1b16…201d | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-12 22:57 |
| Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:08 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 21:57 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-11 10:52 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 05-12 23:26 |
| Playful-Understanding 0x600a…10c1 | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-12 20:36 |
| Wasteful-Disarmament 0x8009…3e9a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-11 13:19 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 23:25 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 05:18 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Wavy-Detector 0xa9ff…bfd7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 22:01 |
| Incomparable-Snowstorm 0xba9d…b1f7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 23:07 |
| Mean-Question 0x1e0e…c012 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 23:21 |
| Hungry-Labor 0x7dc6…b32c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Homely-Bead 0xd04d…b3c9 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 02:12:29 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6efcf6… |
| 05-13 02:12:29 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf292ba… |
| 05-13 02:08:55 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x037076… |
| 05-13 01:11:59 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa47e21… |
| 05-12 23:26:00 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x1dd67b… |
| 05-12 23:07:56 | Incomparable-Snowstorm 0xba9d…b1f7 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x82af8b… |
| 05-12 22:57:12 | Second-Hand-Recapitulation 0x1b16…201d | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xbf6a82… |
| 05-12 22:01:14 | Wavy-Detector 0xa9ff…bfd7 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x25cac9… |
| 05-12 22:01:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x23ba90… |
| 05-12 22:01:02 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf5a4aa… |
| 05-12 21:57:53 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x6cb1c5… |
| 05-12 20:36:43 | Playful-Understanding 0x600a…10c1 | No | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xb0c3b4… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8f28d9… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb060d0… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x99c16d… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f6255… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd5e769… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xae31a3… |
| 05-12 02:49:13 | Formal-Asphalt 0xed22…6450 | Yes | BUY | 165 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x9af553… |
| 05-12 00:38:26 | Homely-Bead 0xd04d…b3c9 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xfdce81… |
| 05-12 00:38:24 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6caf1e… |
| 05-12 00:38:24 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1530f5… |
| 05-12 00:03:59 | Classic-Vault 0x6c27…4db9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3c2743… |
| 05-12 00:03:24 | Hungry-Labor 0x7dc6…b32c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8315cb… |
| 05-11 23:40:51 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 200 | 98¢ | $196 | 0x1271e6… |
| 05-11 23:25:36 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x6297b1… |
| 05-11 23:25:34 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 113 | 98¢ | $111 | 0xfd2ba9… |
| 05-11 23:21:33 | Mean-Question 0x1e0e…c012 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe59c01… |
| 05-11 16:08:16 | Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xdd8635… |
| 05-11 13:19:36 | Wasteful-Disarmament 0x8009…3e9a | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x131283… |
| 05-11 13:19:33 | Wasteful-Disarmament 0x8009…3e9a | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc32178… |
| 05-11 10:52:26 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0xecf76d… |
| 05-11 10:52:26 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc94408… |
| 05-11 10:52:26 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x468d51… |
| 05-11 05:18:23 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xec381c… |