Formal-Asphalt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$878

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

654

Trades

5,421

lifetime

Volume

$67.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 09-01 08:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

100% 37% +$880

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 28c	24	$2.1K	2,161	2,161	+0	Yes	+$1,037	03-25 09:09
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 27c	10	$1.7K	928	928	+0	No	+$31	03-27 14:28
highest temperature in seoul on march 29 2026 16c	34	$1.4K	1,139	1,334	-195	Yes	+$879	03-29 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?	31	$1.1K	1,317	1,294	+23	No	-$617	04-28 05:17
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 22 2026 27c	31	$824	1,093	1,093	+0	Yes	-$706	03-22 07:55
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 29c	100	$816	1,260	1,237	+24	Yes	+$440	04-09 06:24
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 30corhigher	118	$758	4,039	3,415	+625	No	-$206	04-09 08:24
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 28 2026 28c	33	$725	793	793	+0	Yes	+$178	03-28 07:44
highest temperature in shanghai on april 7 2026 18c	6	$723	418	413	+5	No	+$75	04-07 06:05
highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 24c	48	$708	1,859	1,846	+13	Yes	-$499	04-05 07:57
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 27c	15	$669	526	518	+8	No	+$23	04-09 05:18
highest temperature in chongqing on april 2 2026 19c	12	$648	390	384	+6	Yes	+$124	04-02 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?	22	$644	889	876	+13	Yes	-$554	04-26 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 27?	18	$613	408	408	+0	No	+$146	05-27 04:58
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	15	$573	590	586	+4	Yes	-$302	04-02 07:46
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	11	$566	595	595	+0	Yes	+$312	03-24 06:06
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 22 2026 25c	3	$556	318	318	+0	No	+$79	03-22 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 29?	31	$548	782	782	-0	Yes	-$152	04-29 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on April 25?	36	$543	766	242	+524	No	+$145	04-25 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	20	$536	349	343	+6	Yes	+$116	04-27 21:02
highest temperature in shanghai on april 6 2026 25c	11	$534	621	0	+621	No	+$88	04-06 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	24	$496	656	644	+12	No	+$148	04-27 07:00
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 30c	15	$490	538	532	+6	No	+$147	04-09 07:51
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 21 2026 24c	16	$483	772	0	+772	No	+$289	03-21 04:56
highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 21c	17	$434	725	725	+0	Yes	-$273	03-28 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?	7	$424	722	0	+722	No	-$424	04-27 10:04
highest temperature in singapore on april 9 2026 32c	16	$402	241	237	+3	No	+$62	04-09 06:02
highest temperature in busan on april 9 2026 17c	49	$394	432	431	+1	No	+$329	04-09 12:50
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 21c	8	$387	522	0	+522	No	+$135	04-02 05:28
highest temperature in taipei on april 7 2026 25corhigher	8	$386	515	409	+106	No	-$59	04-06 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 08:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0x0ab060…
09-01 08:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0xc577cc…
08-31 15:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xacb8ac…
08-31 15:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x4041df…
08-31 15:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x6f3e1f…
08-31 15:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x84c247…
08-25 11:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xc31202…
08-25 11:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0xa6dfd9…
08-25 11:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x02b544…
08-25 11:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xa9b902…
08-25 11:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0xb84912…
08-25 05:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	55	65¢	$36	0xd68813…
08-24 07:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	41	27¢	$11	0x29a5b5…
08-24 07:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	35	33¢	$12	0x87e433…
08-24 06:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0xed6d25…
08-24 06:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x0f0c3d…
08-24 06:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	74	4¢	$3	0xbfde85…
08-24 06:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x0cb3a7…
08-24 06:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	77	5¢	$4	0x80eb8f…
08-24 06:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xbb755f…
08-24 06:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x3fad38…
08-24 06:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x606395…
08-24 06:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x264ee3…
08-24 06:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x084554…
08-24 06:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0xa00769…
08-24 06:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	110	2¢	$2	0x65f473…
08-24 06:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0xe50b7c…
08-24 06:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x3f054d…
08-24 05:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x2d323f…
08-24 05:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	46	1¢	$0	0x4190a1…
08-24 05:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x222f53…
08-24 05:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0x8b6022…
08-24 05:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	49	9¢	$5	0xfbd359…
08-24 04:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xeaf2b6…
08-24 04:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x1926ae…
08-24 04:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x820b8a…
08-24 04:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x279944…
08-24 04:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x062495…
08-24 04:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x5b5c41…
08-24 04:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x51f8b2…
08-24 04:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0x8b68f0…
08-24 04:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x17fbb6…
08-24 04:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	42	18¢	$8	0x91de07…
08-24 04:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x79cfaf…
08-24 04:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xedf20d…
08-24 04:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xbefc12…
08-24 04:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	318	0¢	$1	0x6751ea…
08-24 04:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$0	0xacb774…
08-24 04:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x166318…
08-24 04:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x3ffa83…
08-24 04:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x224311…
08-24 01:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0xf4f91c…
08-24 01:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	27	24¢	$6	0x532cb2…
08-24 01:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0xccde92…
08-24 00:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	33	20¢	$7	0x8b64be…
08-24 00:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x645433…
08-24 00:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xdca717…
08-24 00:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x4ace00…
08-24 00:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x1db283…
08-24 00:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x178831…
08-24 00:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	86	0¢	$0	0x423a3d…
08-24 00:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0xaea222…
08-24 00:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8a6b31…
08-24 00:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x7782e0…
08-24 00:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x6c07c8…
08-24 00:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x4159b7…
08-24 00:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	29	12¢	$3	0x3ffba2…
08-24 00:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	139	1¢	$1	0xed807f…
08-24 00:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x9427a7…
08-24 00:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x3e9676…
08-24 00:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xa49001…
08-24 00:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xc8762b…
08-24 00:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xf1a492…
08-24 00:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x90ec58…
08-23 23:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x1f29fa…
08-23 23:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xfdec99…
08-23 23:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x140be0…
08-23 23:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x02f6ac…
08-23 23:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x386264…
08-23 23:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x93bd9c…
08-23 23:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	45	28¢	$13	0x8f752d…
08-23 23:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6f0c81…
08-23 23:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf764a2…
08-23 23:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	126	0¢	$1	0x6da05c…
08-23 23:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0x5c0df4…
08-23 23:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$4	0xfcdbaa…
08-23 23:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x0a7252…
08-23 23:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xf32945…
08-23 23:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x9d0f29…
08-23 23:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	121	16¢	$19	0x1455ab…
08-23 23:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	85	10¢	$9	0x92a8b8…
08-23 23:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xd64652…
08-23 23:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	209	0¢	$1	0x3cee8b…
08-23 16:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x04c71b…
08-23 16:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	95	35¢	$33	0x9b0d2d…
08-23 16:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x772836…
08-23 15:34:49	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x4dcae8…
08-23 15:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 23?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x66fb5a…
08-23 15:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x221384…
08-23 15:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x47266a…