Incomparable-Snowstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

41.9%

Resolved

688

Trades

1,371

lifetime

Volume

$1.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$50

11 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-13 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

73% 34% -$39

Crypto

20% 65% -$1

Politics

6% 25% -$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	05-13 14:22
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	05-13 14:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	05-13 14:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	05-13 14:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+5	$5	95¢	$5	$0	05-13 14:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+5	$5	93¢	$5	$0	05-13 14:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+5	$4	92¢	$5	+$0	05-13 14:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+5	$4	90¢	$5	+$0	05-13 14:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+5	$4	88¢	$4	+$0	05-13 14:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+5	$5	86¢	$4	$0	05-13 14:22
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+5	$4	57¢	$3	-$1	05-13 14:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 13?	6	$18	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-13 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 13?	6	$17	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-13 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 13?	6	$13	9	9	+0	No	+$1	05-13 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 11?	7	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$0	05-11 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	5	$12	11	6	+5	Yes	-$2	05-13 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 13?	4	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-12 22:28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 13?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-13 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-13 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on May 12?	3	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	05-12 14:47
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	6	$10	9	9	+0	Yes	-$2	05-13 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 13?	3	$8	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-12 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 11?	5	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-11 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 15:44
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$7	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-13 13:30
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$7	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-13 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	4	$7	10	10	+0	Yes	-$1	05-12 22:26
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$7	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-13 13:30
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	05-13 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?	3	$7	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-12 22:29
Will Romania win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$7	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-12 22:22
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$6	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-13 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 11?	4	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-11 17:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?	4	$6	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-13 11:07
Will Clayton Carpenter win by KO or TKO?	6	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-09 20:43
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 11?	4	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	05-11 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	3	$6	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-12 22:29
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 12?	3	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-12 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	4	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	05-11 17:01
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 11?	4	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	05-11 16:04
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	05-13 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 16:09:41	Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-13?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xff2bff…
05-13 16:09:41	Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x2b60e7…
05-13 16:09:39	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xc192aa…
05-13 16:08:38	Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-13?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbdb1cf…
05-13 16:08:38	Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xb7c8ab…
05-13 16:08:38	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x152cec…
05-13 14:22:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf53b60…
05-13 14:22:03	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xea9b1a…
05-13 14:22:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe5f0ce…
05-13 14:22:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb17758…
05-13 14:22:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xafed2a…
05-13 14:22:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xaea7b0…
05-13 14:22:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8982c3…
05-13 14:22:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4bf87a…
05-13 14:22:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x413400…
05-13 14:22:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1a5afd…
05-13 14:22:01	Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x130970…
05-13 13:30:19	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xc4b379…
05-13 13:30:17	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x1d7d3b…
05-13 13:30:17	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x034076…
05-13 13:30:15	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xecb3d5…
05-13 13:30:15	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xe5d4bf…
05-13 13:16:20	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf0c830…
05-13 13:16:20	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc4ca54…
05-13 13:16:20	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xbba3c5…
05-13 13:16:20	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x3fb372…
05-13 13:16:20	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x01122f…
05-13 13:16:01	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xdf9b9a…
05-13 13:16:01	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x55703f…
05-13 13:16:01	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x505bda…
05-13 13:16:01	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x2dca0b…
05-13 13:16:01	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x26d11b…
05-13 11:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x568067…
05-13 11:07:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xc1a077…
05-13 11:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 13?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x96834b…
05-13 11:07:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x4a8539…
05-13 11:07:41	Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x2e5dde…
05-13 11:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x03845c…
05-13 11:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaba45d…
05-13 11:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x26b322…
05-13 11:07:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 13?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x02a402…
05-13 11:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x771c7c…
05-13 11:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x714937…
05-13 11:07:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 13?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xe89547…
05-13 11:07:20	Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x219c45…
05-13 11:07:15	Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xf9fef1…
05-13 11:07:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x1ba6b3…
05-13 06:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xaa301c…
05-12 23:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xad9a08…
05-12 23:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 13?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x051cd0…
05-12 23:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x82af8b…
05-12 23:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x17d830…
05-12 22:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb1ed66…
05-12 22:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xd3c63a…
05-12 22:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xd331ce…
05-12 22:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 13?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xfe330d…
05-12 22:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 13?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xec6e50…
05-12 22:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5d0522…
05-12 22:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 13?	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x5083d1…
05-12 22:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x05a815…
05-12 22:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x9642e6…
05-12 22:29:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x0c54cc…
05-12 22:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xb8202c…
05-12 22:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 13?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x6ca4bb…
05-12 22:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 13?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x0b0cc3…
05-12 22:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf7a5f2…
05-12 22:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xa3d93e…
05-12 22:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x789d86…
05-12 22:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb4905a…
05-12 22:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 12?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb234bd…
05-12 22:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0xd31a83…
05-12 22:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x62c8cb…
05-12 22:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x4e759c…
05-12 22:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x427e7f…
05-12 22:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x2b2091…
05-12 22:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9ee645…
05-12 22:22:07	Will Romania win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xac7875…
05-12 22:22:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x269374…
05-12 22:22:02	Will Croatia win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x2d0b00…
05-12 22:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x85ecae…
05-12 22:10:03	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 12?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xc92ec7…
05-12 21:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xbda827…
05-12 21:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xa84ece…
05-12 21:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa660eb…
05-12 21:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x9f3ec1…
05-12 21:43:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xfbf8d4…
05-12 21:43:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xe8d5e9…
05-12 21:43:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb85241…
05-12 21:43:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6ba3e2…
05-12 21:43:55	Will Romania win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xcee6cc…
05-12 21:43:55	Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x77c9ee…
05-12 21:43:55	Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x680f07…
05-12 21:43:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x31335c…
05-12 21:43:55	Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2a545b…
05-12 21:43:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x1c963c…
05-12 21:43:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x08dbdf…
05-12 21:43:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9b3390…
05-12 21:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xef33e9…
05-12 21:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7c5112…
05-12 21:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x575e6b…