Incomparable-Snowstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

289

Trades

543

lifetime

Volume

$640

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-12 21:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 68% $-1

Other

44% 32% $-11

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 277 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 15:44
Will Clayton Carpenter win by KO or TKO?	6	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-09 20:43
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 16:04
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 12?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 20:58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 12?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 16:19
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 14:59
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-12 19:22
Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.5B in Q3?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-12 20:26
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 12?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 16:44
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 15:12
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 20:26
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 14:30
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 14:57
Will "Collateral" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	$-0	05-12 19:03
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 15:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 15:41
Will "Ghost" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	$-1	05-12 18:59
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 14:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 14:39
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 16:54
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 16:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 13:44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 12?	2	$3	3	2	+0	Yes	$-2	05-12 20:16
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	2	$3	7	7	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 16:57
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 12?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-12 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 13:02
Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 21:14
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-12 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 21:14:18	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2e1be5…
05-12 21:00:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x427250…
05-12 20:58:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xec7ed4…
05-12 20:58:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0xa9fe3d…
05-12 20:26:56	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.5B in Q3?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x28b655…
05-12 20:26:46	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x9a23ad…
05-12 20:17:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x99344f…
05-12 20:16:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xa3cc78…
05-12 19:58:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5a209e…
05-12 19:22:29	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xf8cc6e…
05-12 19:16:16	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0xccade4…
05-12 19:03:24	Will "Collateral" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x2a036b…
05-12 19:02:07	Will "Collateral" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0xec6229…
05-12 18:59:40	Will "Ghost" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x3552ac…
05-12 18:58:34	Will "Ghost" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0xaf62cf…
05-12 17:44:22	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x022308…
05-12 16:57:44	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x46133b…
05-12 16:57:21	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x83e8fc…
05-12 16:57:16	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xfa3d1f…
05-12 16:56:44	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0xab8613…
05-12 16:54:45	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x1667f9…
05-12 16:54:08	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x07f047…
05-12 16:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0xa90db6…
05-12 16:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x22eef6…
05-12 16:32:23	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 12?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x094cf7…
05-12 16:27:18	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 12?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x64af0c…
05-12 16:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x3a5a31…
05-12 16:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0x9340b2…
05-12 16:10:51	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x2736e0…
05-12 16:04:00	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x86cc63…
05-12 15:57:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x5e4e9c…
05-12 15:57:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x1b7e13…
05-12 15:57:18	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x2ce524…
05-12 15:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xa4d262…
05-12 15:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x9a2919…
05-12 15:41:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x9404bb…
05-12 15:39:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x9b48ff…
05-12 15:38:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x59bcce…
05-12 15:29:37	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x6516e8…
05-12 15:12:30	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x4bf921…
05-12 15:12:24	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x3d02c8…
05-12 15:09:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x30b165…
05-12 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x7dbe66…
05-12 14:59:29	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb011f9…
05-12 14:57:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x310efa…
05-12 14:57:39	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0xa60a5e…
05-12 14:57:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x806ea8…
05-12 14:53:16	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x20fe0b…
05-12 14:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0xdb4d03…
05-12 14:53:13	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x520231…
05-12 14:42:41	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xf0445e…
05-12 14:42:34	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x8e7e1e…
05-12 14:42:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x2a97a2…
05-12 14:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xfd468b…
05-12 14:38:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x14317e…
05-12 14:30:12	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x5d7842…
05-12 14:30:05	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0xde02cb…
05-12 14:22:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x3c1a87…
05-12 14:12:35	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x095b3f…
05-12 14:11:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x2b8853…
05-12 14:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf3a638…
05-12 14:11:46	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xa2db09…
05-12 14:11:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xede76b…
05-12 14:11:11	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x4d7678…
05-12 14:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xe3dcd3…
05-12 14:05:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xa025bb…
05-12 14:05:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 12?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x7e0ca2…
05-12 14:04:34	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x3342cf…
05-12 13:50:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x9dbd09…
05-12 13:50:15	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 12?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6f33ab…
05-12 13:50:13	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $285 on May 12?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x00439a…
05-12 13:50:11	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf2cbb6…
05-12 13:49:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 12?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x313611…
05-12 13:49:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6e4d45…
05-12 13:48:51	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6e58db…
05-12 13:45:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x98635e…
05-12 13:45:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xcda974…
05-12 13:44:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x865e83…
05-12 13:44:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xca8623…
05-12 13:44:23	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xe110b8…
05-12 13:43:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xd1cb1f…
05-12 13:42:33	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb8006b…
05-12 13:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x83b9a6…
05-12 13:39:46	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x407f7e…
05-12 13:33:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x9568e6…
05-12 13:31:50	Ethereum Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x681fbe…
05-12 13:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x1c7789…
05-12 13:13:56	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x04b99a…
05-12 13:12:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa0dc92…
05-12 13:02:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x341d80…
05-12 13:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc4f705…
05-12 13:00:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0xd96e7d…
05-12 12:58:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x0fe2e5…
05-12 12:58:37	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x710396…
05-12 12:58:34	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x769c79…
05-12 12:58:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x34ef2e…
05-12 12:53:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd9ff51…
05-12 12:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x1ba884…
05-12 12:47:04	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x29aaf6…
05-12 12:45:56	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xe0083f…