Will Croatia win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
open
Total volume
$1,581
$2,543 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$12,412
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-17 00:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-22.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $10
vs crowd: 22% YES on $1.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $115 | $115 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $61 | $61 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $285 | $1.0K | $716 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $61 | $42 | +$19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $647 | $647 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $206 | $206 |
| Median | 5 | $0 | $55 | $54 |
| Below median | 6 | $286 | $27 | +$259 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $195 | $195 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $70 | $70 |
| unranked | 3 | $60 | $10 | +$50 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overcooked-Neighbour 0x04d7…b035 | Yes | +2,864 | $285 | $285 | 1 | 05-12 23:20 |
| Sweet-Victory 0x9652…4287 | Yes | +953 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-14 15:06 |
| Buzzing-Sage 0x8f2f…b226 | No | +542 | $493 | $493 | 1 | 05-13 06:00 |
| Passionate-Left 0xaa75…a864 | No | +222 | $206 | $206 | 1 | 05-12 23:43 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +119 | $115 | $115 | 4 | 05-14 17:06 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +110 | $102 | $102 | 2 | 05-13 09:14 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +81 | $80 | $80 | 2 | 05-12 19:20 |
| Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | +75 | $70 | $70 | 2 | 05-14 17:06 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 19:20 |
| Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-14 17:06 |
| Spotless-Shoot 0xa4e3…5a09 | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:30 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 4 | 05-11 22:58 |
| Strange-Minimum 0x8de2…8483 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0246…15c5 | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-13 00:12 |
| Strange-Minimum 0x8de2…8483 | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 22:51 |
| Amusing-Pathogenesis 0xb341…5838 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 23:03 |
| Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-17 00:47 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 20:12 |
| Thorny-Cicada 0x423e…a3a6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 04:58 |
| Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 00:51 |
| Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xfcab…bbf2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 00:53:27 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x38c83f… |
| 05-17 00:51:07 | Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x87d282… |
| 05-17 00:47:40 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe69dac… |
| 05-16 12:11:31 | Cylindrical-Combine 0x3535…75b2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x60a93d… |
| 05-14 17:06:34 | Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $23 | 0xc534d1… |
| 05-14 17:06:34 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xb3ea2a… |
| 05-14 17:06:34 | Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x9032ea… |
| 05-14 15:06:36 | Sweet-Victory 0x9652…4287 | Yes | BUY | 953 | 6¢ | $60 | 0x7019c2… |
| 05-13 09:14:52 | Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $22 | 0xb5c62d… |
| 05-13 09:14:52 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | SELL | 144 | 9¢ | $13 | 0x7beed9… |
| 05-13 09:14:52 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 80 | 91¢ | $73 | 0x98369e… |
| 05-13 09:14:43 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0xf27e88… |
| 05-13 06:00:39 | Buzzing-Sage 0x8f2f…b226 | No | BUY | 542 | 91¢ | $493 | 0x630da5… |
| 05-13 04:58:26 | Thorny-Cicada 0x423e…a3a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x8fe5a1… |
| 05-13 00:12:24 | (anonymous) 0xfcab…bbf2 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd1aff7… |
| 05-13 00:12:20 | (anonymous) 0x0246…15c5 | No | BUY | 17 | 91¢ | $16 | 0x8a025f… |
| 05-12 23:58:24 | Superb-Moody 0xbe7c…8356 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9cb893… |
| 05-12 23:43:23 | Passionate-Left 0xaa75…a864 | No | BUY | 222 | 93¢ | $206 | 0xa234fb… |
| 05-12 23:20:53 | Overcooked-Neighbour 0x04d7…b035 | Yes | BUY | 2,864 | 10¢ | $285 | 0xd47290… |
| 05-12 21:30:58 | Spotless-Shoot 0xa4e3…5a09 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4ded17… |
| 05-12 21:17:27 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | SELL | 28 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcf849f… |
| 05-12 21:17:27 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x4e30a6… |
| 05-12 20:12:44 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x1fe249… |
| 05-12 19:21:12 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 35 | 98¢ | $34 | 0xebbc0d… |
| 05-12 19:20:25 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 38 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x7300b0… |
| 05-12 19:20:21 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x4417b4… |
| 05-12 19:20:21 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0xd4da14… |
| 05-12 12:42:57 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x15501c… |
| 05-11 23:03:40 | Amusing-Pathogenesis 0xb341…5838 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xaa7ae3… |
| 05-11 22:58:30 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x57d9bc… |
| 05-11 22:58:21 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x589169… |
| 05-11 15:27:39 | Strange-Minimum 0x8de2…8483 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x72f752… |
| 05-11 09:35:10 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x57dce3… |
| 05-11 09:04:59 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x460891… |
| 05-10 22:51:50 | Strange-Minimum 0x8de2…8483 | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0x80daca… |