Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

337

lifetime

Volume

$4.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-09 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

59% 92% $-8

Politics

31% 100% +$2

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No		+3	$3	92¢	$3	+$0	06-08 06:12
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?	No		+3	$3	94¢	$3	+$0	06-05 00:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	2	$91	48	48	+0	open	—	03-23 03:14
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	2	$86	46	46	+0	open	—	03-20 18:29
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	2	$78	41	41	+0	open	—	03-21 05:46
will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	2	$76	40	40	+0	open	—	03-20 19:16
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	2	$75	39	39	+0	open	—	03-18 15:29
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	2	$74	40	40	+0	open	—	03-21 06:01
will trumps approval rating be between 40pt5 and 40pt9 on march 20 2026	2	$67	36	36	+0	open	—	03-21 05:29
will trump say khamenei this week march 22	2	$65	36	36	+0	open	—	03-22 07:59
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 40 64	2	$59	32	32	+0	open	—	03-22 02:29
nba por ind 2026 03 18	1	$56	66	0	+66	open	—	03-18 16:43
cbb mcnst vand 2026 03 19	1	$56	66	0	+66	open	—	03-18 16:43
nba gsw bos 2026 03 18	1	$56	66	0	+66	open	—	03-18 16:43
will mrbeasts next video get between 68 and 71 million views on day 3	2	$49	26	26	+0	open	—	03-24 07:59
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	2	$49	26	26	+0	open	—	03-23 21:14
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$45	27	27	+0	open	—	03-25 20:00
will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65 and 70	2	$42	28	28	+0	open	—	03-25 20:00
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-09 16:29
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$40	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 15:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$39	21	21	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 15:29
spx up or down on april 23 2026	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-23 19:44
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 80 99	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-03 13:45
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	2	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	04-24 14:31
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	2	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 00:15
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	04-03 00:00
sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-02 16:30
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-24 06:44
highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 72 73f	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	03-26 17:29
spx up or down on april 22 2026	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-22 18:44
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 100 119	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	04-03 13:45
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	05-01 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:12:19	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x071f58…
06-08 06:12:16	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x054fa4…
06-08 01:29:12	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4f8271…
06-07 02:29:12	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9ce634…
06-07 01:12:15	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x065063…
06-06 09:59:12	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa963c6…
06-06 08:42:16	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xfd5acd…
06-06 08:29:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9fbe80…
06-05 17:42:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x92a87f…
06-05 00:27:27	US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc2bb1b…
06-05 00:27:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xb94839…
06-04 19:59:12	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9ad7ff…
06-04 04:44:13	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaef939…
06-03 22:12:18	will spy reach 765 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xc448d7…
06-03 17:27:18	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x5bc533…
06-03 17:14:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x448be2…
06-02 21:27:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x6bad32…
06-01 04:27:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x3ddfac…
06-01 04:14:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x34558b…
05-31 21:44:13	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc1c996…
05-31 21:29:11	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x435f77…
05-31 20:44:13	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	13	88¢	$11	0x69d6c4…
05-31 20:42:21	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xaa8201…
05-31 20:42:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x285e92…
05-31 20:29:13	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4b7b43…
05-31 09:57:28	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x611107…
05-31 08:12:23	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x71ed0b…
05-31 07:59:10	Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc0a565…
05-29 20:42:15	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9f3b83…
05-29 20:27:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd5aa6b…
05-29 20:14:15	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd792d4…
05-29 00:29:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x436987…
05-27 21:29:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb7d9d2…
05-27 15:42:15	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x092563…
05-27 15:29:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x418b03…
05-27 09:43:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x710cba…
05-27 00:27:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x9c5bd2…
05-24 12:27:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x10012f…
05-24 10:44:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x679246…
05-23 03:12:19	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x3c1ec8…
05-23 02:59:29	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9f1dd5…
05-22 20:59:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa0a589…
05-22 04:27:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xf54cbb…
05-22 00:27:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xda215e…
05-22 00:27:36	Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xeddbd8…
05-20 09:27:14	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x371b20…
05-20 09:14:28	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc55aaa…
05-19 21:42:48	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xc51585…
05-19 00:27:19	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7b771d…
05-18 19:12:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x70d8f6…
05-16 22:59:36	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6ab3f1…
05-16 22:44:37	Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4b53e5…
05-15 20:59:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xe9712c…
05-15 07:57:17	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x22ee5d…
05-15 07:44:38	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf7f04b…
05-15 06:57:18	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xf9e284…
05-15 06:44:40	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd604f5…
05-14 23:57:42	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x45f44d…
05-14 23:57:39	Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x9f7e51…
05-14 23:57:35	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x86d3d9…
05-14 20:42:38	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x4ce5e5…
05-14 20:42:36	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$11	0x7c7ac9…
05-14 20:29:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x2ee85d…
05-14 15:12:21	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x6124dc…
05-12 15:42:15	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd2e8af…
05-12 13:57:15	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xa8081c…
05-11 03:27:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x289c34…
05-10 21:42:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xff2006…
05-10 21:14:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xfcbf06…
05-10 02:12:20	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xb7be5a…
05-09 16:29:34	Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x60fb02…
05-08 19:29:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1947c1…
05-08 18:27:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xb8cf69…
05-08 18:27:12	Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xab8649…
05-08 18:14:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x07d9b1…
05-08 15:27:17	Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xa60f31…
05-08 12:57:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x7948b5…
05-07 23:27:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xcb4c7d…
05-07 20:14:37	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x83c79b…
05-06 20:14:40	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5526f0…
05-06 19:12:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x5f339b…
05-06 15:42:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x1fee1d…
05-06 15:29:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x7ab2e2…
05-06 15:29:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xf623c5…
05-06 13:42:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x8f65a8…
05-06 09:12:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x0f8e5c…
05-05 20:27:24	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x8600fb…
05-04 03:12:26	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0x3b667c…
05-03 00:15:10	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x195190…
05-03 00:14:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x731a89…
05-02 19:42:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$16	0x9c5413…
05-01 20:42:14	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xf33a8b…
05-01 07:29:52	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x143e7d…
05-01 07:27:12	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x5d018d…
05-01 00:15:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0x836cbb…
04-30 23:00:26	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2dea66…
04-30 15:57:12	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x06fd3d…
04-30 15:45:18	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x388917…
04-30 11:12:12	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x2278de…
04-29 15:12:56	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$11	0x879fe2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	168	$285.0K	23,324	06-10 01:28
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	166	$530.4K	11,931	06-10 00:58
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	146	$275.5K	21,157	06-01 05:20
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	145	$40.8K	9,601	05-08 13:24
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	141	$8.23M	15,264	06-10 01:28
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	125	$14.7K	2,664	06-08 20:55
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	116	$97.5K	2,943	06-10 00:46
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	115	$53.4K	6,191	06-08 08:06