Realized P&L
+$342
Unrealized P&L
-$110
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved
32
Trades
11,445
lifetime
Volume
$1.49M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$130
Open exposure
$13.4K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 02:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
38% 100% +$68
Sports
37% 78% +$235
Politics
21% 44% +$39
Pop-Culture
3%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No -6,609 $-6,280 94¢ $-6246 +$34 07-21 19:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -6,149 $-5,817 97¢ $-5950 $-133 06-10 20:59
Will Alberta join the US? No -799 $-769 97¢ $-778 $-9 06-05 17:07
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes +340 $177 50¢ $172 $-5 07-10 14:21
EU dissolves before 2027? No +114 $111 98¢ $112 +$1 07-17 01:43
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No -85 $-82 96¢ $-82 $-0 05-31 21:04
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -66 $-65 97¢ $-64 +$1 07-20 02:24
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +28 $26 97¢ $27 +$1 07-15 19:45
Will Kim Min-Jae record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League? No +7 $6 100¢ $7 +$1 04-06 16:35