Realized P&L
+$342
Unrealized P&L
-$69
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved
32
Trades
10,396
lifetime
Volume
$1.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$120
Open exposure
$10.0K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
44% 100% +$68
Sports
28% 78% +$235
Politics
23% 44% +$39
Pop-Culture
4%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -6,149 $-5,817 96¢ $-5897 $-81 06-10 20:59
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No -2,619 $-2,488 94¢ $-2475 +$13 06-30 09:32
Will Alberta join the US? No -799 $-769 98¢ $-783 $-15 06-05 17:07
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +346 $325 100¢ $345 +$20 06-02 10:42
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes +545 $285 52¢ $281 $-5 06-02 16:32
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30? No -90 $-86 100¢ $-90 $-3 05-29 15:03
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No -85 $-82 95¢ $-81 +$1 05-31 21:04
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -43 $-41 96¢ $-41 $-0 06-22 11:32
Will Kim Min-Jae record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League? No +7 $6 100¢ $7 +$1 04-06 16:35