Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$77
Hit rate
95.6%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,341
lifetime
Volume
$16.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$382
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-22 18:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
58% 80% +$6
Politics
37% 100% +$1
Sports
2%
Pop-Culture
2%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -150 $-128 72¢ $-109 +$19 06-26 18:57
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No -153 $-124 68¢ $-105 +$19 07-15 09:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-118 86¢ $-86 +$32 07-12 09:18
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -100 $-87 80¢ $-80 +$7 06-09 21:35
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? Yes +15 $1 12¢ $2 +$1 07-12 12:07