Realized P&L
+$401
Unrealized P&L
+$93
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved
416
Trades
3,420
lifetime
Volume
$39.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.10K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-27 02:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Other
58% 52% -$66
Politics
39% 64% +$674
Sports
1% 62% +$17
Pop-Culture
1% 40% -$165
Crypto
0% 75% -$36
Tech
0% 0% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 406 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -343 -$286 84¢ $-290 -$4 09-07 20:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$73 94¢ $-94 -$21 05-05 07:40
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $36 9¢ $94 +$58 05-13 17:12
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -100 -$80 84¢ $-84 -$4 04-28 16:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $63 66¢ $66 +$4 10-15 15:07
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes -1,201 -$111 5¢ $-60 +$51 10-09 12:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -50 -$40 96¢ $-48 -$8 05-08 14:44
Trump out as President before 2027? No -50 -$43 96¢ $-48 -$5 05-08 14:45
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$40 94¢ $-47 -$8 05-11 15:33
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -300 -$19 15¢ $-44 -$25 04-28 12:55
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No -53 -$42 77¢ $-41 +$2 10-12 16:11
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +1,172 $71 3¢ $36 -$35 09-03 10:27
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $29 3¢ $30 +$0 05-23 09:41
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -30 -$28 98¢ $-29 -$1 05-04 23:19
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No -103 -$92 27¢ $-28 +$64 07-15 09:33
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +107 $3 14¢ $15 +$11 07-19 12:30
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,000 -$11 1¢ $-11 +$0 08-18 09:43
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 $0 05-04 23:26
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,000 -$8 1¢ $-9 -$1 10-12 14:56
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -500 -$14 1¢ $-5 +$10 05-20 14:04
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No -20 -$6 12¢ $-2 +$4 05-11 15:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +2 $1 61¢ $1 $0 10-16 11:20
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -614 -$6 0¢ $-1 +$5 05-08 14:41
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -600 -$1 0¢ $-1 $0 10-09 21:13
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -600 -$1 0¢ $-1 $0 10-09 21:11
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -600 -$1 0¢ $-1 $0 10-09 21:10
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -600 -$1 0¢ $-1 $0 10-09 21:13
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -600 -$1 0¢ $-1 $0 10-09 21:16
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -600 -$1 0¢ $-1 $0 10-09 21:15