Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?
open
Total volume
$192
$82 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$183
Latest YES mid
50¢
Latest NO mid
50¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 00:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $4 | $1 | +$3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $97 | $59 | +$38 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $22 | $7 | +$15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $8 | $15 | $7 |
| Median | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| Below median | 7 | $8 | $10 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $48 | $16 | +$32 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 4 | $4 | $13 | $9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | +69 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-11 05:43 |
| Big-Shopping 0x8302…8b44 | Yes | +68 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-11 06:09 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-11 18:09 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +25 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-11 23:36 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 23:36 |
| Female-Lout 0x873d…f7a9 | No | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 00:07 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | +18 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 23:36 |
| Outrageous-Kendo 0xf585…aae1 | Yes | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 06:44 |
| Meager-Guarantee 0xbe49…27a9 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 21:18 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 16:22 |
| Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 18:25 |
| Putrid-Filing 0xa7f4…1b2f | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 23:38 |
| Sugary-Boysenberry 0xc197…3099 | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-11 18:14 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 23:36 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 10:12 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 22:18 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 17:22 |
| Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd6e…8115 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 23:36 |
| Corny-Sculpting 0x3822…68be | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 23:38 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d79…af63 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x60e8…fae4 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 00:09:10 | (anonymous) 0x3d79…af63 | No | BUY | 3 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x1626f4… |
| 05-12 00:07:25 | Female-Lout 0x873d…f7a9 | No | BUY | 18 | 53¢ | $10 | 0x37a580… |
| 05-12 00:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x60e8…fae4 | No | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x37391b… |
| 05-11 23:43:06 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 47¢ | $12 | 0x58c223… |
| 05-11 23:38:22 | Corny-Sculpting 0x3822…68be | Yes | BUY | 3 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x015b3c… |
| 05-11 23:38:01 | Putrid-Filing 0xa7f4…1b2f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 48¢ | $4 | 0xac7a29… |
| 05-11 23:36:51 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x15e8f8… |
| 05-11 23:36:50 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 3 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xe16da2… |
| 05-11 23:36:50 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 25 | 54¢ | $14 | 0x9b346b… |
| 05-11 23:36:50 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 7 | 55¢ | $4 | 0xc8cb8b… |
| 05-11 23:36:50 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 19 | 54¢ | $10 | 0xe312ac… |
| 05-11 23:36:25 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 47¢ | $4 | 0x9202d2… |
| 05-11 23:36:23 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 45¢ | $8 | 0x995d8d… |
| 05-11 22:18:57 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x2467c2… |
| 05-11 21:18:59 | Meager-Guarantee 0xbe49…27a9 | No | BUY | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x7c3656… |
| 05-11 20:33:40 | Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xbb1503… |
| 05-11 20:33:27 | (anonymous) 0xfd6e…8115 | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x927fe6… |
| 05-11 18:25:14 | Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 44¢ | $4 | 0x67e1c5… |
| 05-11 18:14:32 | Sugary-Boysenberry 0xc197…3099 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x279793… |
| 05-11 18:14:32 | Sugary-Boysenberry 0xc197…3099 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xb500db… |
| 05-11 18:09:19 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 60¢ | $18 | 0x7c16d5… |
| 05-11 17:22:13 | Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x2ed290… |
| 05-11 16:22:41 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x37a9e3… |
| 05-11 12:08:49 | (anonymous) 0x5934…48fc | Yes | SELL | 3 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xedebf3… |
| 05-11 12:08:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x66cd25… |
| 05-11 10:12:26 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 57¢ | $4 | 0x098b47… |
| 05-11 06:44:17 | Outrageous-Kendo 0xf585…aae1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 47¢ | $5 | 0xd16e9a… |
| 05-11 06:09:45 | Big-Shopping 0x8302…8b44 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 59¢ | $40 | 0x5c30ef… |
| 05-11 05:43:47 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 28¢ | $19 | 0xf7597b… |