Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$319
$2,469 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$3,332
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 02:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $53 | $53 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $53 | $180 | $126 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $2 | $82 | $79 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $24 | $24 |
| Median | 6 | $6 | $44 | $38 |
| Below median | 9 | $3 | $73 | $70 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $34 | $30 | +$4 |
| unranked | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | +509 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-13 02:44 |
| Tidy-Washtub 0x973e…15c2 | No | +60 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 05-12 00:12 |
| Little-Derby 0xe579…7849 | Yes | +56 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 08:17 |
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 20:47 |
| Informal-Peertopeer 0x2bb9…ce8f | Yes | +43 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 05:08 |
| Acrobatic-Drama 0xec8b…2554 | Yes | +41 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-13 00:03 |
| Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | +36 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 16:08 |
| Formal-Asphalt 0xed22…6450 | Yes | +34 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 10:31 |
| Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 00:57 |
| Minor-Verdict 0x4986…2c67 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:18 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-12 21:57 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +27 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-11 10:52 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 05-12 23:26 |
| Mushy-South 0xfb1f…4904 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 14:41 |
| Barren-Inverse 0x73a8…a8b7 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 23:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 02:43 |
| Old-Fashioned-Igloo 0x3f13…edcf | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Wasteful-Disarmament 0x8009…3e9a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 13:19 |
| Wavy-Detector 0xa9ff…bfd7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 22:01 |
| Incomparable-Snowstorm 0xba9d…b1f7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 22:58 |
| Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:20 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 02:44:02 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | BUY | 509 | 7¢ | $34 | 0x6b3740… |
| 05-13 02:43:18 | (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x6b2d9f… |
| 05-13 02:12:29 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfafae2… |
| 05-13 02:12:29 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x821ba7… |
| 05-13 02:08:55 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x85f4f2… |
| 05-13 01:51:20 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5d3afb… |
| 05-13 01:43:03 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x7c054c… |
| 05-13 00:57:03 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x6bb66d… |
| 05-13 00:20:43 | Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xbf5ec4… |
| 05-13 00:18:05 | Minor-Verdict 0x4986…2c67 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x652eeb… |
| 05-13 00:03:37 | Acrobatic-Drama 0xec8b…2554 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x60e96d… |
| 05-13 00:02:50 | Old-Fashioned-Igloo 0x3f13…edcf | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xe7c3b7… |
| 05-13 00:00:53 | Acrobatic-Drama 0xec8b…2554 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xaa9382… |
| 05-12 23:46:21 | Barren-Inverse 0x73a8…a8b7 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0a6d0b… |
| 05-12 23:26:00 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x047825… |
| 05-12 22:58:05 | Incomparable-Snowstorm 0xba9d…b1f7 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xb1ed66… |
| 05-12 22:01:14 | Wavy-Detector 0xa9ff…bfd7 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x390ee6… |
| 05-12 22:01:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x06367a… |
| 05-12 22:01:02 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x359d28… |
| 05-12 21:57:53 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x2a3a7f… |
| 05-12 20:47:39 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x0fea23… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7e256d… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdaa20c… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x038808… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfd6bea… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x56d861… |
| 05-12 16:42:11 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x293b12… |
| 05-12 08:17:31 | Little-Derby 0xe579…7849 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x22f360… |
| 05-12 00:12:42 | Tidy-Washtub 0x973e…15c2 | No | BUY | 60 | 96¢ | $57 | 0x1658f3… |
| 05-12 00:03:52 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8b095c… |
| 05-12 00:03:33 | (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | BUY | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0xe7c546… |
| 05-12 00:03:29 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc83fcd… |
| 05-12 00:03:29 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0xee8002… |
| 05-11 16:08:15 | Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xa218fc… |
| 05-11 14:41:58 | Mushy-South 0xfb1f…4904 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x89640a… |
| 05-11 13:19:40 | Wasteful-Disarmament 0x8009…3e9a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6f6a2a… |
| 05-11 10:52:26 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7674fe… |
| 05-11 10:52:26 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf433d8… |
| 05-11 10:52:26 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 27 | 89¢ | $24 | 0x3d10e1… |
| 05-11 10:31:43 | Formal-Asphalt 0xed22…6450 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x0d75cc… |
| 05-11 05:08:51 | Informal-Peertopeer 0x2bb9…ce8f | Yes | BUY | 43 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xfe6a22… |