Infantile-Pincenez — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$771

Unrealized P&L

+$75

Hit rate

79.1%

Resolved

5,802

Trades

22,673

lifetime

Volume

$223.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$204

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 10-27 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

90% 50% -$964

Politics

7% 80% +$1,664

Crypto

3% 48% +$54

Sports

0% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+590	$124	34¢	$204	+$80	10-27 13:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+0	$4	2¢	$0	-$4	05-08 19:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	39	$8.3K	10,188	10,188	+0	No	-$62	06-30 22:23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	6	$3.4K	2,027	2,027	+0	Yes	+$684	06-21 12:08
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 80°F or higher on May 28?	176	$2.7K	1,332	1,332	+0	No	+$6	05-28 23:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?	144	$2.1K	1,083	1,082	+0	No	+$22	05-25 03:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	50	$2.1K	2,770	2,899	-129	Yes	+$424	05-08 18:33
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 26?	105	$1.6K	792	792	+0	No	+$12	05-26 22:20
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 27?	108	$1.5K	783	783	+0	No	+$17	05-27 23:47
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 24?	201	$1.5K	745	744	+1	No	+$14	05-25 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?	14	$1.3K	694	694	+0	No	+$41	05-08 07:47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on May 26?	86	$1.3K	668	667	+0	No	+$22	05-26 22:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on May 26?	92	$1.2K	615	615	+0	No	+$15	05-26 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 22?	81	$1.1K	580	580	+0	No	+$10	05-22 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 2?	77	$1.1K	551	551	+0	No	+$10	06-02 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or higher on June 18?	153	$994	510	509	+0	No	+$24	06-18 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?	6	$956	549	549	+0	No	+$0	05-08 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on May 22?	62	$938	474	474	+0	No	+$9	05-22 06:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	3	$931	813	813	+0	No	+$511	04-21 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 26?	71	$906	457	456	+0	No	+$6	05-26 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 10:25 UTC	43	$906	792	704	+89	Up	+$18	04-05 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 3?	58	$900	461	461	+0	No	+$20	06-03 20:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?	14	$877	455	454	+0	No	+$14	05-03 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on May 23?	60	$851	426	426	+0	No	+$1	05-23 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 23?	56	$845	426	426	+0	No	+$5	05-23 20:02
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 15?	56	$843	424	424	+0	No	+$3	05-15 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on July 7?	54	$828	423	423	+0	No	+$17	07-07 10:35
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 23?	54	$795	411	411	+0	No	+$25	05-23 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 17?	54	$789	446	393	+53	No	-$4	05-17 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 25?	58	$774	390	390	+0	No	+$4	05-26 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 22?	55	$773	388	388	+0	No	+$3	05-22 04:03
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on May 25?	51	$752	410	376	+34	No	-$1	05-25 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:39:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	590	21¢	$124	0x834a15…
10-20 08:54:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,684	2¢	$36	0x8422e9…
10-20 08:54:29	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	840	2¢	$18	0x268576…
10-20 08:54:22	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	536	5¢	$28	0xe67b59…
10-19 21:30:25	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	536	8¢	$45	0xed2dce…
10-19 21:19:57	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	840	12¢	$100	0xe16c98…
10-11 20:31:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,684	4¢	$59	0x0615bb…
08-22 20:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xed4460…
08-22 20:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x58e02d…
08-22 20:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc7c853…
08-22 20:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	44	13¢	$6	0x9aa1ee…
08-22 20:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	89	9¢	$8	0x8f9ac0…
08-22 20:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x6f8202…
08-22 20:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xcebfd4…
08-22 20:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x0baec8…
08-22 20:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x9ec9a1…
08-22 19:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x631c02…
08-22 19:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xdd1fea…
08-22 19:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	37	16¢	$6	0xdf20d5…
08-22 19:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xe8139d…
08-22 19:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x763f65…
08-22 18:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb709b9…
08-22 18:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x7146cd…
08-22 18:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x913a37…
08-22 17:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6f695e…
08-22 17:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	31	24¢	$7	0x93995b…
08-22 17:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x668c83…
08-22 17:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xb32045…
08-22 17:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x4ff0ea…
08-22 17:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2a5d51…
08-22 17:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xb10246…
08-22 17:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x5ab4a4…
08-22 17:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x324a16…
08-22 16:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x355771…
08-22 16:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x68b285…
08-22 16:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeebfe9…
08-22 16:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0xb5de51…
08-22 16:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x561189…
08-22 16:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x51571e…
08-22 16:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf7fba5…
08-22 15:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x520e36…
08-22 15:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x4009b6…
08-22 14:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x169ec0…
08-22 12:47:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf9bee9…
08-22 12:06:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x314032…
08-22 11:38:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9f1a92…
08-22 10:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x6ef461…
08-22 10:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0xaa837d…
08-22 10:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xa69cb5…
08-22 10:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	19	29¢	$6	0xd7faa8…
08-22 10:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0xcfb81c…
08-22 10:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x81993a…
08-22 10:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xa5a730…
08-22 10:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xecfdb9…
08-22 09:36:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0xfc39a6…
08-22 09:36:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x6158fb…
08-22 09:36:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0xa5f759…
08-22 09:36:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0c9e94…
08-22 09:36:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe1bd99…
08-22 08:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xc07c2a…
08-22 08:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xdfcf91…
08-22 08:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x38329d…
08-22 08:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x0fd93c…
08-22 07:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on August 22?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc396ba…
08-22 07:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on August 22?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7e7b34…
08-22 07:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xe706c3…
08-22 07:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2ee9e0…
08-22 07:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x4c4fc3…
08-22 07:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x8715e5…
08-22 07:00:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x38bf01…
08-22 07:00:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0xe62d59…
08-22 07:00:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x21bdd3…
08-22 07:00:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x294d7b…
08-22 06:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5eba0f…
08-22 05:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4c36b7…
08-22 05:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0x8e3616…
08-22 05:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc4f198…
08-22 05:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x4aa9df…
08-22 05:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0x4f6a7f…
08-22 05:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4d0b51…
08-22 05:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xae105c…
08-22 04:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x0b5345…
08-22 03:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd4b3d8…
08-22 03:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x35254a…
08-22 03:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa61b93…
08-22 03:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x57d569…
08-22 03:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1e6e95…
08-22 03:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x7c40c3…
08-22 03:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x9cbfa0…
08-22 03:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x39696d…
08-22 01:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x7b3224…
08-22 01:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x681157…
08-22 01:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x49c2b1…
08-22 01:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x6d7985…
08-22 00:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfa77b9…
08-22 00:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9d6a1e…
08-22 00:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x676ae9…
08-22 00:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xfd9be5…
08-22 00:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x53f201…
08-21 23:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x954b82…