Earnest-Keyboarding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.52K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

91.3%

Resolved

7,173

Trades

32,296

lifetime

Volume

$408.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-25 22:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Other

100% 87% +$5,516

Crypto

0% 61% +$24

Politics

0% 0% -$16

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No		+20	$17	86¢	$17	+$0	10-04 19:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 6?	10	$3.9K	1,958	1,958	+0	No	+$20	07-06 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 25?	19	$2.5K	1,345	1,345	+0	No	+$9	07-25 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 6?	19	$2.1K	1,050	1,050	+0	No	+$14	06-06 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?	41	$2.0K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$5	07-05 11:43
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 22?	12	$1.9K	972	972	+0	No	+$9	07-22 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?	37	$1.8K	981	981	+0	No	-$20	07-25 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 9?	4	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$6	06-09 08:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?	75	$1.4K	1,007	807	+200	Yes	+$33	07-10 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10?	22	$1.4K	697	697	+0	No	+$9	06-10 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on June 8?	24	$1.1K	541	541	+0	No	+$2	06-08 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	14	$1.0K	660	660	+0	No	-$2	08-11 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?	28	$1.0K	642	476	+166	No	+$6	07-08 04:41
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 5?	11	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	+$2	06-05 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 15?	7	$1.0K	506	500	+6	No	+$4	07-15 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 6?	16	$996	500	500	+0	No	+$3	06-06 08:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?	11	$995	500	500	+0	No	+$4	06-06 12:47
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 10?	15	$964	492	492	+0	No	+$16	06-10 11:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?	12	$910	460	460	+0	No	+$9	06-19 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 6?	8	$894	450	450	+0	No	+$5	06-06 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on June 9?	25	$878	443	443	+0	No	+$7	06-09 09:42
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 15?	3	$861	463	400	+63	No	+$1	07-15 02:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2?	10	$821	426	400	+26	No	+$3	07-02 05:41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11?	8	$796	400	400	+0	No	+$3	06-11 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 4?	19	$735	368	368	+0	No	+$1	06-04 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?	36	$721	499	299	+200	No	+$77	07-10 14:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?	40	$719	577	577	+0	Yes	+$193	07-12 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 8?	55	$706	360	360	+0	No	+$1	06-08 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 11?	35	$686	550	550	+0	No	+$18	07-11 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 8?	8	$662	384	384	+0	No	+$4	07-08 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 11?	30	$656	330	330	+0	No	+$3	06-11 06:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:03:45	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xe79484…
10-23 15:12:20	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xedc7bd…
10-23 15:12:20	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x445b76…
10-21 03:35:56	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9b20a6…
10-15 15:49:44	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0dad8f…
10-04 19:34:05	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xd21fc7…
10-04 19:33:46	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x49028b…
10-02 14:51:32	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x6b4917…
10-02 13:54:32	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xfdc83d…
10-02 10:35:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x251a38…
09-28 12:44:21	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x667a35…
09-28 12:41:11	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x747a0d…
09-28 12:37:21	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc996f9…
09-28 12:37:06	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x90fe24…
09-28 11:36:54	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xedaed7…
09-28 08:00:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xaf22bb…
09-27 10:38:36	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x193e5f…
09-26 01:32:38	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x5a1462…
09-21 16:44:06	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x6aaf40…
09-21 15:25:17	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x92e3f8…
09-21 14:47:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x9bb4a4…
09-18 07:03:55	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xdd5d65…
09-16 04:30:30	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x6f28d3…
09-14 20:50:58	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	58¢	$19	0xbb4de3…
09-14 16:05:58	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xdb23c0…
09-14 13:42:18	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x435db7…
09-10 10:39:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0x40218f…
09-10 02:32:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0xb2601b…
08-31 03:21:03	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3a8230…
08-30 05:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x5257bf…
08-30 04:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x3a3cd6…
08-30 04:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x786699…
08-30 04:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x3f6e56…
08-30 04:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x89b133…
08-30 04:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x5178a8…
08-30 03:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x5225c3…
08-29 13:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x571522…
08-29 11:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0xeeb6b1…
08-29 10:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0x86df74…
08-29 10:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x80dd54…
08-29 10:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x686d9a…
08-29 10:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x78fb3e…
08-27 02:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xb0bdb8…
08-27 02:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9a8fea…
08-27 02:11:33	Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe0483b…
08-27 02:09:48	Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x98b7c5…
08-27 02:09:48	Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x64dd19…
08-27 02:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc1be3e…
08-27 02:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xa717ca…
08-27 02:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6f9eb4…
08-27 02:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x3e9769…
08-27 02:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x453760…
08-27 02:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x9f33b8…
08-27 01:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0xc9893d…
08-27 01:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x15ed51…
08-27 01:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x2a2d9a…
08-26 22:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xce0635…
08-26 22:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	79	3¢	$2	0x40e8ca…
08-26 22:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xa40af6…
08-26 22:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xbd5fe1…
08-26 22:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x6f3c8b…
08-26 21:44:51	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf01e48…
08-26 16:17:33	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x330d66…
08-26 07:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xd31eae…
08-26 07:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8b7aec…
08-26 07:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x68cd57…
08-26 07:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0x17b3bc…
08-26 00:10:46	Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf0d815…
08-26 00:07:37	Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x1238d3…
08-25 19:12:04	Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xdfd3a7…
08-25 03:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x93df9c…
08-25 02:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc3e3f8…
08-25 00:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0xf3d94a…
08-25 00:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x8330ab…
08-25 00:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x8cb50f…
08-25 00:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x0aae4d…
08-24 22:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	44	31¢	$14	0x767588…
08-24 00:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	75	6¢	$4	0x13cd64…
08-24 00:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf69cc6…
08-23 23:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	72	6¢	$4	0x8c82f6…
08-23 23:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	87	3¢	$3	0xc7e73b…
08-23 23:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x5ddbdf…
08-23 23:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x82a4b4…
08-23 23:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x816384…
08-23 23:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xad39d8…
08-23 22:08:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x8a9c0d…
08-23 04:39:55	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x51af6c…
08-23 02:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb720ad…
08-23 01:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x824639…
08-22 23:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x26e03b…
08-22 16:21:01	Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xbb06e7…
08-20 16:36:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x55f60e…
08-19 02:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 19?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb57281…
08-19 02:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x336a58…
08-19 01:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xd616c0…
08-19 01:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x453418…
08-18 17:09:42	Will "The Last House" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	103	3¢	$3	0x73ed54…
08-18 15:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on August 20?	No	BUY	237	99¢	$235	0x73e8b0…
08-18 13:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on August 20?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0xbd00e2…
08-18 04:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xe21d4a…