Superficial-Arithmetic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

1,209

Trades

3,877

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-10 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

97% 93% +$16

Crypto

3% 81% -$34

Sports

0% 50% -$1

Politics

0% 25% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 14c	51	$247	144	170	-26	No	$0	04-21 02:26
highest temperature in atlanta on march 2 2026 62 63f	15	$127	70	60	+10	No	+$2	03-02 14:32
highest temperature in atlanta on march 2 2026 60 61f	17	$107	60	49	+11	No	+$1	03-01 14:18
highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 78 79f	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-22 05:18
highest temperature in dallas on april 1 2026 66 67f	11	$99	70	30	+40	No	+$0	04-01 05:56
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 8corbelow	21	$96	41	55	-14	No	+$0	04-19 17:45
highest temperature in wellington on march 5 2026 17c	9	$87	45	45	+0	No	+$0	03-04 23:23
highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 15c	11	$85	43	44	-1	No	-$1	04-20 13:07
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 33corhigher	10	$78	40	40	+0	No	$0	03-02 14:41
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on April 30?	13	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	04-30 07:21
highest temperature in austin on april 20 2026 70 71f	10	$70	32	40	-8	No	$0	04-20 11:02
highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 78forhigher	8	$69	50	20	+30	No	+$1	03-26 16:46
highest temperature in dallas on april 18 2026 76 77f	7	$68	35	35	+0	No	$0	04-18 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on May 11?	14	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	05-11 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 11?	14	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	05-11 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on May 11?	12	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	05-11 09:53
highest temperature in nyc on march 1 2026 44 45f	7	$67	50	19	+31	No	+$2	03-01 22:12
highest temperature in austin on april 15 2026 74 75f	6	$66	20	46	-26	No	+$0	04-15 16:30
highest temperature in dallas on february 27 2026 72 73f	5	$65	34	34	+0	No	+$1	02-26 10:28
highest temperature in san francisco on march 29 2026 58 59f	12	$64	35	30	+5	No	+$1	03-29 07:23
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 13c	9	$63	24	40	-16	No	+$0	04-17 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on May 11?	12	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-11 11:29
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 2 2026 30corbelow	5	$61	32	32	+0	No	+$0	03-01 13:56
highest temperature in austin on april 18 2026 82 83f	17	$60	16	45	-29	No	$0	04-18 04:47
highest temperature in los angeles on march 29 2026 84forhigher	8	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	03-29 22:32
highest temperature in toronto on april 7 2026 6corhigher	6	$60	40	20	+20	No	+$0	04-07 20:05
highest temperature in los angeles on march 25 2026 88forhigher	6	$59	60	0	+60	No	+$1	03-24 03:04
highest temperature in atlanta on march 20 2026 68 69f	11	$59	46	20	+26	No	+$1	03-20 18:23
highest temperature in ankara on march 1 2026 10corhigher	7	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	03-01 17:48
highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 8corbelow	8	$59	35	25	+10	No	+$1	02-27 09:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 14:56:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x682be1…
10-09 14:14:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3c7576…
08-21 14:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 21?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x093b3d…
08-21 14:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 21?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x626745…
08-21 13:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 21?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9f9e80…
08-21 13:54:54	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xde5ac5…
08-21 13:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6b59e6…
08-21 13:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xaf7b14…
08-21 12:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on August 21?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x84152d…
08-21 12:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x696e46…
08-21 12:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on August 21?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xcc4fc1…
08-21 11:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x32fd3a…
08-21 11:11:37	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1ab3d7…
08-21 10:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x08ee9b…
08-21 09:31:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8ebc32…
08-21 09:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x252fce…
08-21 08:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x58602f…
08-21 08:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x65bdea…
08-21 08:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 21?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x504825…
08-21 08:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe42c48…
08-21 08:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf8a370…
08-21 08:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 21?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x42d39a…
08-21 08:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 21?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc8ee4c…
08-21 07:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 21?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x61c4fc…
08-21 07:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x58e56d…
08-21 07:10:46	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6ce9aa…
08-21 07:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x220abe…
08-21 06:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa0b4ca…
08-21 05:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x90c6b7…
08-21 05:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 21?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x272e0c…
08-21 05:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xdaa898…
08-21 05:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7bdc78…
08-21 05:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfa35fc…
08-21 05:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3119ae…
08-21 05:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5bb03e…
08-21 05:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x019c83…
08-21 05:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 21?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xe814ea…
08-21 05:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 21?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc456ad…
08-21 05:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xb91d47…
08-21 05:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x59cff2…
08-21 05:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x50e48b…
08-21 05:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x352e1d…
08-21 04:08:36	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6c24d9…
08-21 04:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3c6329…
08-21 03:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9df382…
08-21 03:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe6fb7a…
08-21 03:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8e0c33…
08-21 03:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x08e574…
08-21 02:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 21?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x94b9ea…
08-21 02:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xde51b2…
08-21 02:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x32ce44…
08-21 02:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3941a0…
08-21 02:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1875f…
08-21 02:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xfb10da…
08-21 02:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x810fa6…
08-21 02:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc7a044…
08-21 01:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7d9829…
08-21 01:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x509c29…
08-21 01:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 21?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x97aec4…
08-21 01:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x709f74…
08-20 22:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x16dcc0…
08-20 20:37:30	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on August 20?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xed2d3b…
08-20 20:05:25	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on August 20?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdf52df…
08-20 17:56:13	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on August 20?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x4492cf…
08-20 17:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on August 20?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc14b96…
08-20 14:12:09	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 20?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xed4d7a…
08-20 14:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 20?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd6c8aa…
08-20 14:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9a7933…
08-20 13:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4e3409…
08-20 12:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe0f69e…
08-20 12:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 20?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1811fc…
08-20 12:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe8cacc…
08-20 12:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 20?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x774133…
08-20 11:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 20?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb90a75…
08-20 10:48:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 20?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x09c4b2…
08-20 10:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x41bf79…
08-20 10:40:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xdf6f03…
08-20 10:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 20?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdbcc87…
08-20 10:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 20?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8b7c3a…
08-20 10:32:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 20?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xdde118…
08-20 10:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 20?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3f7a5e…
08-20 10:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x7e4014…
08-20 10:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x04a268…
08-20 10:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 20?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8a21b3…
08-20 10:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 20?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf8eed8…
08-20 10:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 20?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x11f019…
08-20 10:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x1ce8ae…
08-20 10:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x665cc6…
08-20 09:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on August 20?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9ae031…
08-20 09:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on August 20?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbcd097…
08-20 09:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on August 20?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7c75cf…
08-20 09:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on August 20?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x048d01…
08-20 09:30:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5ae38d…
08-20 09:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 20?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xca8c5b…
08-20 09:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on August 20?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xd47190…
08-20 08:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 20?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xd686b4…
08-20 08:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x92ff07…
08-20 08:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xef8431…
08-20 08:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x24af0c…
08-20 08:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0db928…