Separate-Shirt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

446

Trades

750

lifetime

Volume

$6.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-07 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

94% 83% -$51

Sports

3% 84% +$4

Crypto

2% 59% +$9

Politics

1% 68% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No		-1	-$1	95¢	$-1	$0	07-03 10:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in madrid on april 17 2026 26c	4	$71	51	50	+1	Yes	+$2	04-17 18:01
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	4	$54	56	54	+2	Yes	+$11	04-17 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 11?	3	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-11 21:24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-07 22:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 8?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-08 22:43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 11?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-11 00:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-28 21:17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or higher on May 7?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-07 14:40
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 8?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-08 22:44
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 7?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-07 22:31
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 6?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-06 17:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-07 22:31
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 7?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-07 22:31
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on May 9?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	05-09 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 6?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	05-06 17:13
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	4	$35	26	10	+16	Yes	-$15	05-11 11:58
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 11?	3	$30	21	10	+10	No	+$0	05-11 11:59
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 28?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	04-28 07:39
highest temperature in milan on april 18 2026 22c	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$0	04-18 08:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 14:55 UTC	2	$26	22	22	+0	Down	+$10	08-30 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 27?	2	$24	13	13	+0	No	-$1	04-27 07:56
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 18 2026 14c	2	$23	22	21	+1	Yes	+$4	04-18 08:14
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 9c	2	$23	29	28	+1	No	+$3	04-17 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on April 27?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	04-27 07:56
highest temperature in helsinki on april 18 2026 12c	2	$22	22	22	+1	Yes	+$2	04-18 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	08-31 22:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 19	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-19 13:45
highest temperature in madrid on april 23 2026 29c	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-23 19:09
highest temperature in munich on april 23 2026 19c	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-23 19:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 3?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-03 17:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 12:04:53	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xa923a0…
09-27 11:29:20	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4d1cd8…
09-27 11:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x34998c…
09-27 11:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x74ac6e…
09-27 11:12:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf0464c…
09-20 14:44:10	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd13a0b…
09-20 14:05:27	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xfe4ff2…
09-20 14:05:10	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x00e4a0…
09-20 14:03:40	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfe6039…
09-20 01:33:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc3ca36…
09-19 15:13:17	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc09709…
09-19 15:12:12	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf03ca0…
09-19 14:58:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9caee3…
09-03 12:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe7e60d…
09-03 12:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x150d2a…
09-03 12:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfb954a…
09-03 12:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2151f0…
09-02 19:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xadc265…
09-01 14:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on September 1?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x291d5a…
08-31 22:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x479974…
08-31 22:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x29d335…
08-31 20:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x14b807…
08-31 20:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0104b3…
08-30 15:03:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0x15560d…
08-30 15:02:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd9a221…
08-30 14:58:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	22	83¢	$18	0xc3593e…
08-30 14:57:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xb4a34d…
08-29 14:17:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x14542f…
08-29 14:11:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbc2be8…
08-26 01:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa4101a…
08-24 16:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x176574…
08-23 08:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x6edd9c…
08-23 08:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x69f846…
08-22 21:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x3433df…
08-11 19:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdc368a…
08-11 19:22:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5ce6a4…
08-11 19:14:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe24fad…
08-11 19:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x01a2d7…
08-11 19:06:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9cbc28…
08-11 19:03:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3eae24…
08-11 19:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x899094…
08-09 22:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0e7a62…
08-09 22:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4b01fc…
08-09 22:12:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9f8fe9…
08-09 22:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x24a773…
08-09 22:05:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x820ec3…
08-09 22:01:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb09929…
08-09 21:51:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa86b17…
08-09 21:46:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc147ea…
08-09 21:43:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 21:40 UTC	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xb35be0…
08-09 21:42:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x34ce5f…
08-09 21:40:09	Hotstuff FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9bd649…
08-09 21:37:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0084e4…
08-09 21:37:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x332afe…
08-01 22:53:50	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xa60660…
08-01 22:53:14	Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xf324eb…
08-01 22:52:51	Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x4b4d17…
07-04 10:31:59	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x21a2e6…
07-04 10:29:28	Hotstuff FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7e3a90…
07-03 19:12:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x31c589…
07-03 10:51:56	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9a83f3…
06-24 21:26:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd52ad5…
06-20 21:54:10	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdb8f56…
06-19 23:04:25	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x46d2a9…
06-17 13:36:07	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd83ce8…
06-16 11:57:06	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x77c056…
06-15 15:07:42	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 16 2026	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe6434c…
06-15 15:07:31	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 18 2026	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x2e2433…
06-15 15:06:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x8ac715…
06-15 09:31:30	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb6b00f…
06-14 12:32:54	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x74b04b…
06-13 21:03:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x381c75…
06-12 13:16:25	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xeec2b5…
06-10 23:04:00	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x6499ca…
06-10 23:02:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x740a35…
06-07 19:17:13	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7a81af…
06-07 19:17:03	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb894c7…
06-07 19:16:49	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5624b5…
06-07 19:15:10	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x831d1c…
06-05 20:33:58	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa4d432…
06-04 19:06:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa9ab03…
06-04 19:06:28	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4d6dbb…
06-04 19:06:16	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5a743b…
06-04 19:06:03	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd3c809…
06-04 19:05:51	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5929d9…
06-04 19:05:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x138a3a…
06-04 19:04:18	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa017d9…
06-04 18:30:22	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xe5d6c0…
06-04 18:28:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe62574…
06-02 23:10:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x757890…
06-02 23:10:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbd899f…
06-02 23:10:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x05b42c…
06-02 23:10:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1a9494…
06-02 23:10:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5b48cf…
06-01 13:46:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x812c43…
06-01 08:27:55	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb080aa…
06-01 08:27:38	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x4eff64…
05-31 09:28:55	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xeef9bf…
05-31 01:12:21	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0xee66d4…
05-31 00:54:01	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe121fe…